2nd Annual NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge – 2017

Welcome to the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge!

Enter your picks for Week 12.

(Entries submitted after the start of the game will not be counted)

This competition is sponsored by the Department of Mathematics and the Sport Management Program at Trinity University. The challenge is maintained by the STAT seminar and supports the educational mission of the Oracle rankings project to teach about predictive analytics in sports. Participation is free!

Results will be updated as we are able to process the results. Games that have not finished or have not been updated are shown in gray.

13% 39% 48% 45% 3% 98% 84% 48% 96% 46% 31% 91% 77% 24%
Overall Consensus (9-4) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
87% 61% 52% 55% 97% 2% 16% 52% 4% 54% 69% 9% 23% 76%
Week 11 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
39 Mark Montalbano 8-5 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 1 111-48 70%
17 Jonathan Prescott 9-4 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 2 108-51 68%
6 Keener STAT 10-3 PIT TB HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI ATL 3 107-52 67%
6 Massey STAT 10-3 PIT TB HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 4 106-53 67%
1 Chris Fanick 11-2 PIT TB HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 5 105-54 66%
61 Jordan Bruce 7-6 TEN TB ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 5 105-54 66%
17 Marie Lutz 9-4 PIT TB HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 5 105-54 66%
39 Will Farner 8-5 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 5 105-54 66%
61 Chris DiPaolo 7-6 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI ATL 9 104-55 65%
61 Craig Mills 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 9 104-55 65%
17 Marc Goodrich 9-4 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 9 104-55 65%
17 NFL Oracle 9-4 PIT TB HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 9 104-55 65%
6 Johnny Biology 10-3 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI ATL 13 103-56 65%
6 Brent Morgan 10-3 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 14 102-57 64%
17 Douglas Dellmore 9-4 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI ATL 14 102-57 64%
6 Josh Moczygemba 10-3 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 14 102-57 64%
39 Maddie Heliste 8-5 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 14 102-57 64%
6 Ghost of Tony Romo 10-3 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 14 102-57 64%
39 Bob Nicholson 8-5 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 14 102-57 64%
6 Steven Hargis 10-3 TEN TB HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE DAL ATL 14 102-57 64%
17 Bryan Fowler 9-4 PIT TB HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 21 101-58 64%
1 Christina Cooley 11-2 PIT TB HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 21 101-58 64%
39 Chris Robinson 8-5 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 21 101-58 64%
17 Diana Riddle 9-4 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 21 101-44 70%
17 Liza Southwick 9-4 TEN TB HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI ATL 21 101-58 64%
39 Brian Miceli 8-5 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 26 100-59 63%
61 Colley STAT 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI ATL 26 100-59 63%
6 Harry Wallace 10-3 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 26 100-59 63%
17 Reese Murphy 9-4 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE DAL SEA 26 100-59 63%
61 Dillon Wolf 7-6 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 26 100-59 63%
39 Patrick Pringle 8-5 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN OAK PHI SEA 31 99-60 62%
17 Damon Bullis 9-4 TEN MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI ATL 31 99-60 62%
17 David Wood 9-4 PIT TB ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 31 99-60 62%
1 Liam Crawley 11-2 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 31 99-60 62%
39 stella artois 8-5 PIT TB ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE DAL ATL 31 99-60 62%
61 PageRank STAT 7-6 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC CHI MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI ATL 31 99-60 62%
39 Ryan Reynolds 8-5 PIT TB HOU GB NO KC CHI MIN JAC LAC DEN OAK PHI ATL 31 99-60 62%
61 Sam Hyden 7-6 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 31 99-60 62%
61 Biased Voter STAT 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI ATL 39 98-61 62%
39 Ben Newhouse 8-5 TEN MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 39 98-61 62%
39 Eric Suhler 8-5 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 39 98-60 62%
17 Jeremy Lynch 9-4 PIT TB ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 39 98-61 62%
61 Best OFF STAT 7-6 TEN TB HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 39 98-61 62%
61 Oracle/Wins STAT 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 39 98-61 62%
17 Deven Nongbri 9-4 PIT TB ARI BAL NO KC CHI LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 45 97-62 61%
6 Davis King 10-3 TEN TB ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI ATL 45 97-62 61%
39 Jim Freeman 8-4 TB ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 45 97-61 61%
17 Michele Johnson 9-4 PIT TB HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 45 97-62 61%
17 Michael Dennis 9-4 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI ATL 45 97-62 61%
39 OFF Yds STAT 8-5 TEN TB ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC CIN NE DAL ATL 45 97-62 61%
83 Alexander Krantz 6-7 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC CHI MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 51 96-63 60%
39 Clint Schroeder 8-5 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC CHI MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 51 96-63 60%
39 Dylan Holland 8-5 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 51 96-63 60%
1 Mitchell Kight 11-2 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 51 96-63 60%
6 Enrique Alcoreza 10-3 PIT TB HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 55 95-64 60%
17 Ryan Gray 9-4 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 55 95-64 60%
17 Tim O’Sullivan 9-4 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 55 95-64 60%
90 Valerie Schweers 5-8 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC CHI LAR JAC BUF DEN NE DAL SEA 55 95-64 60%
61 Jordan Bethea 7-6 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE DAL SEA 59 94-65 59%
39 Shawn Sunday 8-5 PIT TB ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 59 94-64 59%
39 Tim Ward 8-5 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE DAL SEA 59 94-65 59%
39 Matt Sidhom 8-5 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 62 93-66 58%
61 WinPct STAT 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 62 93-66 58%
83 Dylan Hendel 6-7 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF CIN NE DAL ATL 62 93-66 58%
17 Adam Mueller 9-4 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 65 92-51 64%
61 Susan Coker 7-6 TEN MIA ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI ATL 65 92-67 58%
6 Arastu Jahanbin 10-3 PIT TB ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 67 91-54 63%
17 Dale Cochran 9-4 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 67 91-68 57%
61 Tom Tegtmeyer 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC CHI MIN JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 67 91-68 57%
17 Kipp Smithers 9-4 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 70 90-54 62%
61 Braxton Bartlett 7-6 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 70 90-53 63%
61 Joshua Adame 7-6 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 70 90-56 62%
17 Matthew Jones 9-4 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 73 89-57 61%
83 Jacob Tingle 6-7 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC CHI LAR JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 74 88-55 62%
61 TD Gunslinger 7-6 TEN MIA HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC BUF CIN OAK PHI ATL 75 86-73 54%
83 Craig Burton 6-7 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE DAL SEA 76 85-60 59%
39 Callum Squires 8-5 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN OAK PHI ATL 76 85-58 59%
61 DEF Yds STAT 7-6 TEN TB HOU GB WAS NYG DET LAR JAC BUF DEN NE PHI SEA 76 85-74 53%
83 Rick McMullen 6-7 PIT TB HOU GB WAS KC DET LAR JAC BUF DEN OAK PHI SEA 76 85-74 53%
61 Mary Love 7-6 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF CIN OAK PHI ATL 76 85-74 53%
83 Finlay McCracken 6-7 PIT TB HOU GB NO KC DET LAR CLE BUF DEN OAK PHI SEA 81 84-75 53%
39 Tessa Uviedo 8-4 TB HOU GB NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC DEN NE DAL ATL 81 84-59 59%
61 Taylor Stakes 7-6 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC CHI LAR JAC LAC DEN NE PHI SEA 83 83-62 57%
92 Best DEF STAT 4-9 TEN MIA HOU GB WAS NYG DET MIN CLE BUF DEN OAK DAL ATL 84 81-78 51%
39 Manny Gonzalez 8-5 PIT MIA ARI BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC BUF CIN NE PHI SEA 84 81-62 57%
90 Suzy Gray 5-8 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC CHI LAR JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 84 81-48 63%
83 Britni Ridolfi 6-7 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC CHI LAR CLE LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 87 80-79 50%
92 Heather H. Smith 4-9 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC CHI MIN CLE BUF DEN NE DAL SEA 88 79-80 50%
61 Sarah Farrell 7-6 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC CHI LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 88 79-54 59%
61 Nicole Fratto 7-6 PIT MIA HOU GB NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 90 75-69 52%
92 Ben Nunes 4-9 PIT MIA ARI GB NO KC CHI LAR JAC BUF DEN NE DAL ATL 91 49-38 56%
39 Paul Willstrop 8-5 PIT TB ARI GB NO KC CHI LAR JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 92 45-22 67%
1 Samantha Gonzalez 11-2 PIT MIA HOU BAL NO KC DET MIN JAC LAC CIN NE PHI SEA 93 28-11 72%
17 Matthew Patty 9-4 PIT TB HOU BAL NO KC DET LAR JAC LAC DEN NE DAL SEA 94 18-9 67%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2nd Annual NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge – 2017

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 13

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 13 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  TCU Washington State

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

NCAAF Oracle – Week 13

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Alabama(11-0)--
2Wisconsin(11-0)--
3Clemson(10-1)--
4Georgia(10-1)--
5Miami FL_(10-0)--
6Southern California(10-2)--
7Notre Dame(9-2) 3
8Oklahoma(10-1)--
9Central Florida(10-0)--
10Penn State(9-2) 1
11Ohio State(9-2) 1
12Washington State(9-2) 5
13Auburn(9-2)--
14Boise State(9-2)--
15Texas Christian(9-2)--
16Memphis(9-1)--
17Washington(9-2) 1
18San Diego State(9-2) 1
19Michigan State(8-3) 1
20Toledo(9-2) 2
21Florida Atlantic(8-3) 7
22Stanford(8-3) 8
23Mississippi State(8-3) 8
24Louisiana State(8-3) 3
25Northwestern(8-3) 4
26South Carolina(8-3)--
27North Texas(8-3) 11
28Oklahoma State(8-3) 11
29Virginia Tech(8-3) 8
30Michigan(8-3) 9
31South Florida(9-1) 4
32Troy(8-2) 9
33Wake Forest(7-4) 10
34North Carolina State(7-4) 10
35Fresno State(8-3) 10
36Ohio(8-3) 11
37Iowa State(7-4) 2
38Northern Illinois(8-3) 9
39Kentucky(7-4) 7
40Army(8-3) 7
41Texas A&M(7-4) 9
42Iowa(6-5) 8
43Louisville(7-4) 10
44Arizona(7-4) 8
45Boston College(6-5) 9
46Central Michigan(7-4) 6
47Wyoming(7-4) 6
48Marshall(7-4) 8
49Alabama-Birmingham(7-4) 3
50West Virginia(7-4) 8
51Oregon(6-5) 8
52Houston(6-4) 8
53Arizona State(6-5) 3
54Virginia(6-5) 5
55Navy(6-4) 7
56Southern Methodist(6-5) 5
57Southern Mississippi(7-4) 5
58Akron(6-5) 15
59Colorado State(7-5) 4
60Missouri(6-5) 10
61Texas(6-5) 16
62Florida International(6-4) 7
63UCLA(5-6) 5
64Purdue(5-6) 14
65Kansas State(6-5) 15
66Western Michigan(6-5) 9
67Georgia Tech(5-5) 6
68Utah State(6-5) 8
69Mississippi(5-6) 9
70Arkansas State(6-3) 11
71Tulane(5-6) 17
72Georgia State(6-3) 7
73Appalachian State(6-4) 7
74Western Kentucky(6-5) 9
75California(5-6) 11
76Duke(5-6) 18
77Texas-San Antonio(6-4) 21
78Temple(5-6) 9
79Utah(5-6) 12
80Texas Tech(5-6) 12
81Buffalo(5-6) 6
82Syracuse(4-7) 11
83Nevada-Las Vegas(5-6) 8
84Colorado(5-6) 10
85Minnesota(5-6) 13
86Louisiana-Lafayette(5-5) 11
87Indiana(5-6) 14
88Old Dominion(5-6) 5
89Florida(4-6) 13
90Middle Tennessee State(5-6) 15
91Louisiana Tech(5-6) 8
92South Alabama(4-7) 13
93Florida State(4-6) 10
94Tennessee(4-7) 12
95Miami OH_(4-7) 11
96Maryland(4-7) 11
97Nebraska(4-7) 11
98Vanderbilt(4-7) 9
99Pittsburgh(4-7) 9
100Air Force(4-7) 5
101Rutgers(4-7) 9
102Louisiana-Monroe(4-6) 2
103Arkansas(4-7) 7
104Massachusetts(4-7) 4
105Eastern Michigan(4-7) 5
106New Mexico State(4-6) 2
107Idaho(3-7) 2
108Cincinnati(3-8) 1
109Connecticut(3-8) 3
110North Carolina(3-8) 6
111East Carolina(3-8) 8
112New Mexico(3-8) 3
113Brigham Young(3-9) 2
114Hawaii(3-8) 2
115Tulsa(2-9) 2
116Kent State(2-9) 2
117Ball State(2-9) 2
118Illinois(2-9) 1
119Coastal Carolina(2-9) 8
120Bowling Green State(2-9) 2
121Texas State(2-9) 1
122Nevada(2-9) 1
123Charlotte(1-10) 1
124Georgia Southern(1-9) 12
125San Jose State(1-11) 2
126Kansas(1-10) 2
127Oregon State(1-10) 1
128Baylor(1-10) 3
129Rice(1-10) 1
130Texas-El Paso(0-11)--
Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Alabama 52% 10% 18% 15% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Wisconsin 22% 37% 20% 15% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Clemson 17% 21% 14% 9% 13% 14% 9% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Georgia 7% 20% 19% 10% 12% 17% 12% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Miami FL_ 3% 11% 16% 15% 10% 12% 16% 12% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Southern California 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 7% 18% 27% 26% 15% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Notre Dame 0% 2% 8% 18% 16% 6% 1% 2% 6% 12% 14% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Oklahoma 0% 0% 3% 11% 17% 13% 5% 2% 6% 12% 16% 11% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9 Central Florida 0% 0% 1% 7% 16% 16% 8% 2% 0% 3% 12% 18% 12% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10 Penn State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 11% 14% 11% 9% 12% 15% 12% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
11 Ohio State 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 10% 16% 14% 6% 1% 2% 7% 12% 12% 8% 5% 2% 1% 0%
12 Washington State 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 11% 14% 12% 5% 1% 0% 1% 6% 13% 15% 10% 4% 1% 0%
13 Auburn 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 10% 17% 14% 5% 0% 0% 0% 3% 8% 11% 11% 8% 5% 2% 1%
14 Boise State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 12% 14% 10% 4% 1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 12% 9%
15 Texas Christian 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 8% 16% 15% 8% 4% 6% 10% 11% 10%
16 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 8% 16% 15% 7% 1% 1% 3% 7% 10%
17 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 10% 14% 12% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 7%
18 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 11% 12% 9% 6% 3% 2%
19 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 9% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2%
20 Toledo 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 11% 11% 9% 4%

>>

Have a great rest of the week and weekend.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

>>

Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 13

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 11

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 11

Bounce back! A week after posting a 7-6 projection mark, Oracle returned to form by going 11-3 for Week 10 of the 2017 NFL season. Those three incorrect picks were linked to the (16) Dallas Cowboys, (20) New York Jets, and (30) New York Giants. Just looking at the respective rankings for each of those teams can tell you that all three were, to some degree, in different tiers of the NFL landscape. The Cowboys were favored over the (12) Atlanta Falcons with 62% confidence, but ultimately lost 27-7. Without running back Ezekiel Elliott, the Cowboys offense struggled to manufacture points; it also didn’t help that Falcons defensive end Adrian Clayborn produced an Atlanta-record six sacks against Dak Prescott and the Dallas offensive line. We gave you this game as one of our two swing games last week, as the result would have the largest swing on the Playoff Odds for at least one of the two teams. With this loss, the Cowboys single-handedly dropped their Playoff Odds 20%, which was then dropped an additional 3% due to the outcomes of other games, bringing their current Playoff Odds to 34% (see below). A tier below the Cowboys in the playoff hunt, the Jets had been playing well and trending in the right direction, until their uneventful match-up against the (27) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a game that saw only one touchdown. The Jets had been given nearly 61% odds to win this game, particularly since Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston was sidelined as he continues to rest his ailing shoulder. Instead, it was the veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick who led the Bucs to an unconvincing win. With this loss, the Jets have effectively removed almost any possibility of making the playoffs, not that their odds were great to begin with. In the final tier are the Giants, a team ravaged with injuries to pretty much their entire receiving core. Still, New York was slotted up against the winless (31) San Francisco 49ers, giving the Giants 64% odds to scrape together a win. Surprisingly, there was plenty of offense in this game, as the scoreboard read 31-21 by game’s end. The only catch was that those 31 points belonged to the no-longer winless 49ers, who had an even bigger lead until Eli Manning connected for a touchdown in garbage time. Neither team had any chance of making the playoffs, so this game was ultimately inconsequential, but nonetheless, shame on the Giants and good job 49ers.

After a week of some tightly-played football games, check out how the playoff picture has changed from a week ago:

NFL Oracle Postseason Chances – Week 11

Rk Team Rk Change Exp. Wins Playoffs Chance Division 1st Round Bye Super Bowl
1 NO 2 11.2 91.3% 71.8% 32.4% 14.1%
2 PHI 1 12.3 97.8% 91.4% 67.0% 11.4%
3 CAR 3 10.3 70.0% 24.9% 7.6% 2.5%
4 NE 1 11.5 97.1% 87.5% 61.5% 11.2%
5 MIN 2 11.2 91.3% 80.9% 39.0% 5.7%
6 PIT 2 11.3 97.8% 93.7% 55.4% 5.3%
7 KC 5 10.6 94.2% 91.2% 31.7% 5.9%
8 LAR 11.6 93.6% 81.8% 46.5% 21.2%
9 JAC 1 10.5 94.6% 63.1% 35.1% 15.0%
10 TEN 1 9.6 77.0% 35.9% 10.3% 1.9%
11 SEA 3 9.3 43.8% 17.8% 3.6% 0.9%
12 ATL 3 8.1 16.5% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3%
13 GB 4 8.1 13.5% 3.2% 0.2% 0.2%
14 BUF 5 8.6 51.7% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0%
15 DET 4 9.0 35.4% 15.6% 1.5% 0.6%
16 DAL 4 9.0 34.0% 8.4% 1.4% 0.8%
17 OAK 4 7.3 16.8% 6.5% 0.3% 0.3%
18 MIA 2 6.5 6.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
19 WAS 1 8.0 10.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
20 NYJ 2 6.7 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
21 BAL 8.2 44.2% 6.2% 1.3% 1.0%
22 CHI 6.3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
23 ARI 1 6.7 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
24 DEN 1 6.3 5.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1%
25 LAC 5.8 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
26 HOU 6.3 4.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
27 TB 2 5.7 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
28 CIN 1 5.8 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
29 IND 1 5.1 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
30 NYG 3.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
31 SF 1 3.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
32 CLE 1 2.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

What jumps out first is that, within the top-10, the (8) Los Angeles Rams were the only team that maintained their previous position in the rankings. With a 47-10 blowout win over the (14) Buffalo Bills, the (1) New Orleans Saints are the new king of the hill, impressive when considering they started the season 0-2 but have now gone on for seven straight wins, and counting. Trending-wise, this loss dropped the Bills in the rankings (-5), tied for the worst move with the (7) Kansas City Chiefs, a team affected by last week’s bye.

The favorites to win each of the eight divisions remained the same, although each and every favorite successfully increased their odds of winning their respective division heading into Week 11. That said, there was some movement in the wild card picture in both conferences: a week ago, we gave you, in order, the (3) Carolina Panthers and Cowboys in the NFC and the (10) Tennessee Titans and Bills in the AFC. As of today, the (11) Seattle Seahawks have replaced the Cowboys as the top-dog for that second wild card. For their part, the Panthers odds of making the playoffs rose from 62% to 70%. In the AFC, the wild card seeding remained the same, but the Titans now have a 77% chance of making the playoffs, up from 64% a week ago. On the other hand, the Bills are flirting with danger, dropping to 52% odds, a little too close for comfort to the (21) Baltimore Ravens who are sitting at 44% odds.

With regards to the 1st round bye, the (2) Philadelphia Eagles remain unchallenged in the NFC, but the (4) New England Patriots flip-flopped with the (6) Pittsburgh Steelers as the favorite for the AFC 1st round bye, as if the Patriots need an easier path to the Super Bowl. Get this though: the Rams increased their Super Bowl odds from about 18% to just over 21%, and their nearest competition in the NFC at present are the Saints at 14% (last week it was the Eagles at almost 16%, so the spread is more favorable for the Rams now). The (9) Jacksonville Jaguars are still the favorites to win the AFC at 15% (down from about 19%), but those Patriots are inching closer, now at 11%.

Now that we’ve had our fun, back to reality for the Week 11 predictions, with the addition of our Impact game of the Week and Swing game of the Week.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 11

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Nov 16 2017(10) TEN @ (6) PIT(6) PIT54.11%
Sun Nov 19 2017(27) TB @ (18) MIA(27) TB50.11%
Sun Nov 19 2017(8) LAR @ (5) MIN(8) LAR58.14%
Sun Nov 19 2017(15) DET @ (22) CHI(15) DET57.55%
Sun Nov 19 2017(9) JAC @ (32) CLE(9) JAC87.38%
Sun Nov 19 2017(19) WAS @ (1) NO(1) NO68.72%
Sun Nov 19 2017(21) BAL @ (13) GB(21) BAL54.92%
Sun Nov 19 2017(23) ARI @ (26) HOU(26) HOU64.45%
Sun Nov 19 2017(7) KC @ (30) NYG(7) KC75.54%
Sun Nov 19 2017(14) BUF @ (25) LAC(14) BUF60.63%
Sun Nov 19 2017(4) NE @ (17) OAK(4) NE62.30%
Sun Nov 19 2017(28) CIN @ (24) DEN(24) DEN55.62%
Sun Nov 19 2017(2) PHI @ (16) DAL(2) PHI57.18%
Mon Nov 20 2017(12) ATL @ (11) SEA(11) SEA52.75%

Impact game of the Week: BAL @ GB
Among all games in the week, the results of this game will have a significant impact on the Playoff Odds acorss the largest number of teams.

If BAL wins If GB wins
DAL 33.21% DAL 29.91%
BUF 45.06% BUF 55.16%
BAL 61.96% BAL 36.06%
TEN 79.33% TEN 84.26%
GB 13.80% GB 31.70%

Coming into this game, the Ravens are favored over the (13) Green Bay Packers at 55%, with both teams fighting for a playoff spot. As we just told you, the Ravens are poised to steal that second wild card spot in the AFC, and a win here could seriously help them do that, increasing their playoff odds to 62%. A loss, and Baltimore would seriously hurt their chances of making the playoffs, although it wouldn’t be the final nail in the coffin by any means. While the Packers are nowhere near being as much in the hunt as the Ravens, we’ve been telling you that Green Bay has an opportunity to tread water to remain relevant, in case Aaron Rodgers is able to strap on that helmet before season’s end. Pulling out a win in Week 11 would help keep the Pack afloat, whereas a loss would basically end their season.

Logically, the Bills will be scoreboard watching this one, as the Ravens are their primary threat for that last wild card spot, so Buffalo will be rooting for their distant neighbors in the north. Likewise, a Packers win would go a long way in solidifying the Titans in that first wild card spot, even though a Ravens win wouldn’t necessarily hurt Tennessee’s chances.

Swing game of the Week:
This is the game where the results will have the largest swing on the Playoff Odds of at least one of the teams involved:

Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks

If ATL wins Curr. Odds If SEA wins
ATL 25.35% ATL 16.59% ATL 7.76%
SEA 32.15% SEA 43.78% SEA 65.28%

There were a few games this week that were worthy of consideration for the swing game of the week, but we ultimately chose this match-up due to the current standing of both teams. It also doesn’t hurt that this is the Monday Night Football game for Week 11. Oracle favors the Seahawks at roughly 53%, making this a potential flip a coin game in its own right. As you can see, Seattle has far better odds of making the playoffs as things stand, and we already touched on their positioning in that second wild card spot. A win here would do wonders to not only separate the Seahawks from the lurking Cowboys, but also close the gap on that first wild card spot with the Panthers. A loss would not necessarily be devastating, but it would keep things tight and interesting between Seattle and Dallas, especially depending upon what the Cowboys are able to do against the Eagles.

On the other sideline, Atlanta doesn’t necessarily have great odds at present, but that can change if they prove to be the better team on Monday. Let’s face it, 25% odds aren’t going to cut it when it comes to making the playoffs, and that’s the best case scenario for the Falcons, at least from this game. That 25% could rise to 30% depending upon how other games turn out, and Atlanta has to look at this long-term; it’s impossible for them to jump to the top of the wild card list in Week 11, but a strong performance here could lead to another in Week 12, then Week 13, etc. With all of that out of the way, should the Falcons remain shaky and lose this game, any hope of building towards a playoff spot would fade away.

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

Last week’s sure-fire picks (give or take) was a reunion with the (32) Cleveland Browns, the (15) Detroit Lions favored at 79%. Shockingly – no, that’s not sarcastic – this was a close and exciting game; the two teams exchanged blows through the first three quarters before the Lions stopped playing with their food and put up 14 points in the fourth quarter, giving Detroit a 38-24 victory. Not as shocking was the fact that there were several controversial calls made by Browns head coach Hue Jackson, including a quarterback sneak from beyond the 2-yard line with no timeouts and less than 15-seconds left in the first half. Guess what? Rookie quarterback DeShone Kizer couldn’t extend the ball 2+ yards and time expired before he could call another play.

Now we’re going to be mean and throw the Browns right back into the ring as the Week 11 sure-fire pick (give or take) as they get ready for the Jaguars, who are favored at an insane 87%. Making matters worse for the Browns is that Kizer suffered a ribs injury in last week’s game against the Lions. While Kizer plans to suit up and start this weekend, don’t think that lethal Jaguars defense isn’t aware of that injury and looking to take advantage of it.

Flip a coin

The flip a coin game for Week 10 was between the (22) Chicago Bears and Packers, the Packers granted the slight advantage. Green Bay backed this up, producing a 23-16 win in a freezing game that has seemingly defined this rivalry.

With several games projected to be close, the one we’ll label as our flip a coin match-up is the Buccaneers and (18) Miami Dolphins. Despite the fact that Miami has the better ranking (+9), Oracle is giving Tampa Bay the better chance of winning this game at 50.11%. Going back to Week 7, both teams are 1-3 with each teams earning that lone win against the Jets. In that same time, both teams lost to the Panthers. Looking at the side-by-side, the Dolphins put up 31 points to the Buccaneers 15 in the wins against the Jets, and the Dolphins put up 21 points to the Buccaneers 3 in the loss against the Panthers. Still, Miami has lost three straight, whereas Tampa Bay is coming off a win. However you slice this, it is projected to be a close game, so we feel confident making this your flip a coin match-up.

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

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2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 12

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 12 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  TCU Washington State

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

Impressively, (7) Washington State has retained its bid for the Pac-12 representative in the 2017 Valero Alamo Bowl, extending their presence in our projection to three consecutive weeks. After jumping out to an early 13-0 lead in the first quarter, the Cougars managed to fend off (67) Utah late in the game, moving to 9-2 overall with the 33-25 victory. (6) Southern California has already secured the Pac-12 title, leaving (30) Stanford, (7) Washington State, (18) Washington, and (36) Arizona to fight for the Pac-12 spot in the Valero Alamo Bowl. Of those teams, (7) Washington State has the best overall record and is tied for the best record in-conference. This is where it is good timing for the Cougars to have their bye, while the other three teams compete in relatively uncompetitive games on paper. Looking ahead to Week 13, (30) Stanford will have a tough fight against (10) Notre Dame and (7) Washington State will challenge (18) Washington. All that in consideration, (7) Washington State remains the top projection out of the Pac-12.

For the Big 12, guess what, we’ve got a new program projected to enter the ring against (7) Washington State; (15) Texas Christian was unable to remain competitive with (8) Oklahoma last week, despite allowing 0 points in the second half. With their 38-20 loss, the Horned Frogs fell to 5-2 in-conference, placing them in a three-way tie for second with (17) Oklahoma State and (42) West Virginia (the Horned Frogs and Cowboys have the overall edge, sitting at 8-2 to the Mountaineers 7-3 record). Separating the Horned Frogs and Cowboys from the Mountaineers further is the fact that (42) West Virginia has to travel to face (8) Oklahoma in Week 13, not exactly the team you want to face to end your season. As things currently stand, the edge is granted to (15) Texas Christian over (17) Oklahoma State, due in no small part to the September 23rd match-up between the two teams: playing on the road, the Horned Frogs duked it out with the Cowboys in an early-season epic shootout, holding on for a 44-31 win. For those of you wondering, a win like that on the road is absolutely a factor as Oracle projects which teams have the best odds of playing in the 25th anniversary of the Valero Alamo Bowl.

Should (15) Texas Christian make an appearance, it would mark only their second trip deep in the heart of Texas, although that one other occasion was the infamous 2016 slugfest with the Oregon Ducks that took three overtimes before the Horned Frogs could put an end to the madness. As for (7) Washington State, this would be their second appearance as well. However, it has been far longer since the Cougars took this stage, going all the way back to 1994 in a 10-3 win over Baylor, just the second year of existence for the Valero Alamo Bowl.

Here’s an updated look at the standings in the respective conferences:

Pac-12 North: (30) Stanford, (7) Washington State, (18) Washington, (64) California, (59) Oregon, and (126) Oregon State.

Pac-12 South: (6) Southern California, (36) Arizona, (56) Arizona State, (58) UCLA, (67) Utah, and (74) Colorado.

Big 12: (8) Oklahoma, (17) Oklahoma State, (42) West Virginia, (15) Texas Christian, (77) Texas, (39) Iowa State, (80) Kansas State, (68) Texas Tech, (127) Baylor, and (124) Kansas.

NCAAF Oracle – Week 12

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Alabama(10-0) 1
2Wisconsin(10-0) 2
3Clemson(9-1)--
4Georgia(9-1) 3
5Miami FL_(9-0) 5
6Southern California(9-2)--
7Washington State(9-2) 1
8Oklahoma(9-1) 3
9Central Florida(9-0) 2
10Notre Dame(8-2) 5
11Penn State(8-2) 4
12Ohio State(8-2) 5
13Auburn(8-2) 7
14Boise State(8-2) 5
15Texas Christian(8-2) 6
16Memphis(8-1) 3
17Oklahoma State(8-2) 9
18Washington(8-2) 4
19San Diego State(8-2) 7
20Michigan State(7-3) 4
21Michigan(8-2) 3
22Toledo(8-2) 4
23Troy(8-2) 2
24North Carolina State(7-3) 8
25Ohio(8-2) 17
26South Carolina(7-3) 5
27Louisiana State(7-3) 6
28Florida Atlantic(7-3) 6
29Northwestern(7-3)--
30Stanford(7-3) 11
31Mississippi State(7-3) 10
32Kentucky(7-3) 5
33Army(8-2) 3
34Iowa(6-4) 11
35South Florida(8-1) 13
36Arizona(7-3) 1
37Virginia Tech(7-3) 10
38North Texas(7-3)--
39Iowa State(6-4) 11
40Marshall(7-3) 10
41Wyoming(7-3) 4
42West Virginia(7-3) 5
43Wake Forest(6-4) 9
44Houston(6-3) 14
45Fresno State(7-3) 4
46Alabama-Birmingham(7-3) 7
47Northern Illinois(7-3) 1
48Navy(6-3) 8
49Virginia(6-4) 10
50Texas A&M(6-4) 4
51Southern Methodist(6-4) 11
52Central Michigan(6-4) 6
53Louisville(6-4) 9
54Boston College(5-5) 10
55Florida International(6-3) 9
56Arizona State(5-5) 13
57Western Michigan(6-4) 6
58UCLA(5-5) 10
59Oregon(5-5) 8
60Mississippi(5-5) 11
61Georgia Tech(5-4) 20
62Southern Mississippi(6-4) 2
63Colorado State(6-5) 8
64California(5-5) 7
65Georgia State(6-3) 8
66Appalachian State(6-4) 1
67Utah(5-5) 8
68Texas Tech(5-5) 4
69Temple(5-5) 19
70Missouri(5-5) 15
71Syracuse(4-6) 11
72Minnesota(5-5) 23
73Akron(5-5) 8
74Colorado(5-6) 13
75Middle Tennessee State(5-5) 5
76Utah State(5-5) 10
77Texas(5-5) 6
78Purdue(4-6) 3
79South Alabama(4-6) 19
80Kansas State(5-5) 10
81Arkansas State(5-3) 12
82Tennessee(4-6) 5
83Western Kentucky(5-5) 7
84Miami OH_(4-6) 19
85Maryland(4-6) 3
86Nebraska(4-6) 12
87Buffalo(4-6) 13
88Tulane(4-6) 13
89Vanderbilt(4-6) 11
90Pittsburgh(4-6) 11
91Nevada-Las Vegas(4-6) 4
92Rutgers(4-6) 8
93Old Dominion(4-6) 16
94Duke(4-6) 3
95Air Force(4-6) 9
96Arkansas(4-6) 4
97Louisiana-Lafayette(4-5) 3
98Texas-San Antonio(5-4) 9
99Louisiana Tech(4-6) 6
100Louisiana-Monroe(4-5) 10
101Indiana(4-6) 4
102Florida(3-6) 6
103Florida State(3-6) 6
104New Mexico State(4-5) 5
105Idaho(3-6) 3
106Connecticut(3-7) 2
107Cincinnati(3-7) 1
108Massachusetts(3-7) 8
109New Mexico(3-7) 3
110Eastern Michigan(3-7) 3
111Brigham Young(3-8) 8
112Hawaii(3-7) 2
113Tulsa(2-8) 2
114Kent State(2-8) 1
115Ball State(2-8) 3
116North Carolina(2-8) 7
117Illinois(2-8) 3
118Bowling Green State(2-8) 3
119East Carolina(2-8) 2
120Texas State(2-8) 2
121Nevada(2-8) 3
122Charlotte(1-9) 2
123San Jose State(1-10)--
124Kansas(1-9)--
125Coastal Carolina(1-9) 1
126Oregon State(1-9) 1
127Baylor(1-9)--
128Rice(1-9)--
129Georgia Southern(0-9)--
130Texas-El Paso(0-10)--

As you can see, there was no shortage of exciting movement in the rankings: playing it tight into the 4th quarter against (31) Mississippi State, (1) Alabama remained undefeated as they rolled right on back atop the leaderboard; (2) Wisconsin and baby-Badger-bruiser Jonathan Taylor stayed in the hunt with their 38-14 victory over (34) Iowa, who plummeted 11 spots in the rankings; (4) Georgia got absolutely embarrassed by the surging (13) Auburn Tigers who continued to scratch on the door of the top-10, helped out most recently by this 40-17 win.

There’s clearly plenty of good games with serious ramifications that we could go on about, but two had a way of separating themselves from the herd: (5) Miami_FL and (12) Ohio State. Let’s start where it’s hot before moving north for an icy rivalry game. In the eyes of many, the U is back, now with an exclamation point following that after the Hurricanes took it to (10) Notre Dame in a message-sending game. With this 41-8 rout, (5) Miami_FL effectively stripped (10) Notre Dame down to just the Fighting Irish. It’s hard to say the U can do anything quietly, but they’re now 9-0 on the season and are headed to the ACC Championship with their eyes set on the College Football Playoff. Turning our attention to the north, (12) Ohio State got ready for the latest rendition of their rivalry with “the other” Michigan school, (20) Michigan State. Those looking for a battle of exchanging blows would have been sorely disappointed; the Buckeyes came out swinging with two touchdowns in the first, continuing the pounding in the second quarter with 21 more points. For their effort, the Spartans didn’t just stand there and take this beating, as they flailed an arm in desperation with a field goal before the half was over. The second half was simply a matter of technicality, as (12) Ohio State cushioned their lead with an additional 13 points before winning handily.

Staying in-state, (25) Ohio earned the designation as our best positive mover of the week within the top-25 (+17) thanks to a 38-10 win over (22) Toledo. Unfortunately for them, (19) San Diego State received the opposing honors from dropping the most in the rankings (-7), a tough break for the Aztecs considering they were on a bye this past week. Let’s see if veteran running back Rashaad Penny can put his team on his back and keep (19) San Diego State on the outskirts of the top-20.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 12

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Alabama 42% 33% 18% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Wisconsin 40% 12% 10% 15% 13% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Clemson 10% 23% 18% 12% 15% 13% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Georgia 8% 21% 17% 5% 5% 13% 16% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Miami FL_ 0% 6% 16% 18% 8% 3% 5% 10% 14% 11% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Southern California 0% 4% 14% 18% 12% 6% 8% 12% 12% 9% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Washington State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Oklahoma 0% 0% 1% 5% 13% 18% 17% 14% 12% 10% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9 Central Florida 0% 0% 3% 8% 13% 13% 8% 4% 3% 6% 10% 11% 10% 6% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10 Notre Dame 0% 0% 3% 10% 16% 13% 6% 1% 0% 1% 4% 9% 13% 12% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
11 Penn State 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 8% 13% 13% 9% 4% 1% 1% 4% 9% 13% 12% 7% 2% 0% 0%
12 Ohio State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 12% 12% 9% 5% 4% 8% 12% 13% 9% 4% 1% 0%
13 Auburn 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 7% 7% 5% 5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 5% 3%
14 Boise State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 9% 14% 13% 7% 4% 5% 9% 11% 10% 7%
15 Texas Christian 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 9% 12% 11% 7% 4% 4% 6% 8% 9% 8%
16 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 2% 3% 6% 7%
17 Oklahoma State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 10% 11% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2%
18 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 11% 11% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2%
19 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 5% 10% 13% 11% 7% 3%
20 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 9% 13% 12% 7% 3% 1%

Once again, the number of teams vying for the (1) ranking has been trimmed of excess fat, leaving us with (1) Alabama at 42%, (2) Wisconsin at 40%, (3) Clemson at 10%, (4) Georgia at 8%. It appears as if (2) Wisconsin might have the toughest match-up in Week 12, taking on (21) Michigan at home. This isn’t to say the other three contenders will have a cake-walk, but with (1) Alabama facing Mercer, (3) Clemson facing Citadel, and (4) Georgia facing (32) Kentucky, it’s not as if any of these games are must-watch television.

Two interesting games to keep an eye on, in terms of potential movement, would be with (5) Miami_FL and (6) Southern California. In Miami’s case, they’re by all means trending in the right direction, and their competition – (49) Virginia – is trending in the wrong direction, not to mention the U is home. While the Hurricanes can’t claim that dubious (1) spot, there is a 6% chance of them emerging from Week 12 at (2). However, should the improbable happen and they lose their unbeaten bid this week, Miami could plummet all the way back down to (12), a crushing blow after all the strides they have taken. A loss would most likely secure them between (8) and (10), but to even consider blowing this game would be sacrilege to the Hurricanes. As for (6) Southern California, their game is hands-down more intriguing on paper, as it is against cross-town rival (58) UCLA. Coming into this season, the narrative was centered around Trojans quarterback Sam Darnold and Bruins quarterback Josh Rosen as the front-runners for the Heisman, and the top-available quarterbacks in the upcoming NFL draft. As of a week ago, neither field general was even on the ESPN Heisman Watch, as both have gone through rough stretches throughout this season. While the Bruins season is effectively over at this point, (6) Southern California still has a 4% chance of climbing to (2) this week, assuming there is some external help. With an overall record of 9-2 and an in-conference record of 7-1, not only have the Trojans clinched the Pac-12, but there is still hope for them to secure one of the four spots in the College Football Playoff. If the Bruins can play spoiler at the Los Angeles Coliseum, all of that hope for (6) Southern California could quickly dissipate, with potential for the Trojans to fall to (12). More likely, however, would be a braced-fall anywhere from (7) to (10), but this still would not be enough to hold onto any hope. All that said, (5) Miami_FL and (6) Southern California find themselves in similar situations heading into Week 12, and both want a taste of that top-4, but to break through that ceiling, they’ll have to indirectly go through four formidable foes: the Crimson Tide, Badgers, Tigers, and Bulldogs.

Have a great rest of the week and weekend.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

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2017 NFL Oracle – Week 10

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 10

Let’s call Week 9 a (slightly) humbling experience for Oracle; after selecting games at a 75% success rate over the prior two weeks, Oracle was only 7-6 in projections this past week. If we were forced to pick one of those incorrect projections that was a surprise, on first glace it would be (26) Houston Texans losing at home to (28) Indianapolis Colts, as Houston was favored at nearly 78%. However, as was noted last week, these projections – and their respective confidence levels – were finalized only hours before Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson suffered a torn ACL, seriously evening the playing field on Sunday. Two of the other incorrect picks were each decided by a mere three points, (21) Baltimore Ravens losing to the (11) Tennessee Titans who keep finding ways to narrowly win football games, and (14) Seattle Seahawks coming back with too little too late against (20) Washington Redskins. That leaves (2) Kansas City Chiefs, (9) Buffalo Bills, and (17) Green Bay Packers, who averaged a 12.3 deficit in their combined losses this past weekend. The highest confidence level Oracle had in any of these games was the Bills at about 61% over (18) New York Jets, so it’s not like blowouts were anticipated in the wrong direction. That being said, the fact that all three of these games were kept within two possessions is somewhat reassuring, although it doesn’t change the outcome. In fact, as you will see below with updated trends, the Ravens and Packers had the least-friendly movement in the new rankings (-6).

With some of these unprecedented outcomes, check out how the playoff picture has changed from a week ago:

NFL Oracle Postseason Chances – Week 10

Rk Team Rk Change Exp. Wins Playoffs Chance Division 1st Round Bye Super Bowl
1 PHI 1 12.2 98.2% 86.1% 70.1% 15.7%
2 KC 1 10.5 93.4% 89.9% 39.4% 10.1%
3 NO 3 10.9 88.2% 71.5% 31.2% 8.3%
4 PIT 1 11.2 96.9% 92.4% 62.2% 8.1%
5 NE 1 10.9 91.8% 76.2% 45.4% 4.4%
6 CAR 1 9.9 62.6% 25.7% 7.4% 1.4%
7 MIN 2 10.9 87.7% 79.7% 35.1% 5.7%
8 LAR 1 11.2 90.8% 79.8% 43.6% 17.7%
9 BUF 1 9.0 58.9% 19.8% 8.0% 1.3%
10 JAC 4 10.2 88.0% 63.2% 31.6% 18.7%
11 TEN 5 9.3 64.0% 34.3% 9.2% 1.7%
12 DAL 7 9.6 57.2% 13.5% 6.7% 1.8%
13 OAK 5 7.3 15.8% 6.3% 0.6% 0.3%
14 SEA 4 9.0 37.1% 18.2% 3.5% 1.0%
15 ATL 3 7.4 10.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2%
16 MIA 3 7.1 13.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
17 GB 6 7.7 10.9% 3.4% 0.2% 0.2%
18 NYJ 4 7.3 12.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2%
19 DET 2 8.6 30.9% 16.0% 1.4% 0.6%
20 WAS 3 8.3 19.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
21 BAL 6 8.2 40.1% 7.1% 2.1% 1.5%
22 CHI 5 6.7 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
23 DEN 3 6.7 8.7% 2.6% 0.2% 0.1%
24 ARI 3 7.1 4.3% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1%
25 LAC 1 6.1 3.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
26 HOU 1 6.7 7.2% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1%
27 CIN 1 6.1 3.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
28 IND 1 5.5 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
29 TB 1 4.8 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
30 NYG 4.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
31 CLE 2.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
32 SF 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Should we even be surprised that (1) Philadelphia Eagles flip-flopped again with Kansas City? As noted above, the Chiefs dropped courtesy of their loss to the (12) Dallas Cowboys, unable to prevent them from scoring in each quarter. As a reward for overpowering the formerly-top-ranked team, the Cowboys experienced our largest positive trend (+7). Flying back atop their comfortable perch overlooking the NFL landscape, the Eagles provided one of two 51-point games this week, easily breaking the (23) Denver Broncos and leaving that mile-high defense panting for breath. The other 51-point bludgeoning came from (8) Los Angeles Rams, making the (30) New York Giants cower and quiver on their own turf.

Last week’s divisional-favorites remained the same this go around, but there has been some jostling for position in the wildcard race. Previously, the Seahawks and Ravens were in position to receive the first wild card in the NFC and second wild card in the AFC, respectively. With that loss to the Redskins – among other factors – not only did the Seahawks lose that first wild card positioning to (6) Carolina Panthers, but they self-destructed to the point of conceding the second wild card in the NFC to those Cowboys on the come-up. On the AFC side of the coin, after losing to the Titans on Sunday, the Ravens ever-so-graciously shook their opponents’ hands, giving Tennessee that second wild card seed for the time being. Remember, none of this is anywhere close to being in the bag, but don’t think these games won’t ultimately matter down the stretch when comparing head-to-head records.

The Eagles and (4) Pittsburgh Steelers are still the favorites for a first round bye in each conference, just as the Rams and (10) Jacksonville Jaguars are still our projected Super Bowl LII contestants. The Eagles are still hot on the tails of both teams, while the Chiefs stumbled and subsequently lost precious ground, although it is still more than possible to atone for that error.

Now that we’ve had our fun, back to reality for the Week 10 predictions, with the addition of our Impact game of the Week and Swing games of the Week.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 10

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Nov 09 2017(14) SEA @ (24) ARI(14) SEA68.37%
Sun Nov 12 2017(3) NO @ (9) BUF(3) NO60.16%
Sun Nov 12 2017(18) NYJ @ (29) TB(18) NYJ60.90%
Sun Nov 12 2017(17) GB @ (22) CHI(17) GB54.01%
Sun Nov 12 2017(4) PIT @ (28) IND(4) PIT74.58%
Sun Nov 12 2017(27) CIN @ (11) TEN(11) TEN63.33%
Sun Nov 12 2017(7) MIN @ (20) WAS(7) MIN60.39%
Sun Nov 12 2017(25) LAC @ (10) JAC(10) JAC73.16%
Sun Nov 12 2017(31) CLE @ (19) DET(19) DET79.27%
Sun Nov 12 2017(26) HOU @ (8) LAR(8) LAR64.14%
Sun Nov 12 2017(12) DAL @ (15) ATL(12) DAL62.27%
Sun Nov 12 2017(30) NYG @ (32) SF(30) NYG63.93%
Sun Nov 12 2017(5) NE @ (23) DEN(5) NE59.98%
Mon Nov 13 2017(16) MIA @ (6) CAR(6) CAR62.71%

Impact game of the Week: CIN @ TEN
Among all games in the week, the results of this game will have a significant impact on the Playoff Odds acorss the largest number of teams.

If CIN wins If TEN wins
DAL 56.28% DAL 56.27%
BUF 64.04% BUF 58.63%
BAL 50.03% BAL 45.89%
CIN 6.04% CIN 0.63%
TEN 49.74% TEN 77.53%

We’re all looking at this table shown above – great. How should you interpret this data? The percentages displayed here are purely for the odds of each team in each of the two situations making the playoffs. In addition to this, it is important to recognize that these playoff odds are how they would be impacted by the outcome of this particular game, not accounting for the outcome of other games. With that in mind, let’s dig deeper.

Dallas doesn’t really care what happens between (27) Cincinnati Bengals and Titans; instead, the Cowboys can turn their attention to their own game against (15) Atlanta Falcons. As Buffalo and Tennessee are presently competing for the top wild card in the AFC, the Bills would greatly appreciate it if the Bengals could find a way to win this game in order to provide some breathing room. However, even if the Titans win (by three) again, the Bills are still more likely than not to make the playoffs. Sitting at 40% odds of making the playoffs at present, Baltimore could also use a Bengals victory to have a better chance at the second AFC wild card over the Titans. As for the two teams actually playing in this match-up, the Titans could go a long way towards securing a playoff spot, whether that be via the division by breaking the tie with Jacksonville for sole possession of the AFC South lead, or keeping pace and shooting for a wild card at the bare minimum. Cincinnati, your season has pretty much been over for a while now, so tuck your tail between your legs and hope for a better 2018 campaign.

Swing games of the Week:
These are the the games where the results will have the largest swing on the Playoff Odds of at least one of teams involved:

Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons

If DAL wins Curr. Odds If ATL wins
DAL 65.90% DAL 57.28% DAL 37.55%
ATL 3.51% ATL 10.29% ATL 13.52%

Dallas, didn’t we tell you to focus on Atlanta? There’s a reason we said that. With a win, you could leave your fate in your own hands for Week 10 and jump by over 8% in playoff chances, while a loss would be a crushing blow to “America’s Team,” nearly a 20% skydive. The Falcons are essentially clawing for any remaining hope, shocking after appearing for 3/4 of last year’s Super Bowl.

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals

If SEA wins Curr. Odds If ARI wins
SEA 55.63% SEA 37.10% SEA 28.83%
ARI 0.12% ARI 4.37% ARI 1.64%

The Rams are still our NFC Super Bowl favorite, are now a game above their division-rivals in Seattle, and have a favorable match-up against the Texans this upcoming week. As such, Seattle basically needs to win this game against (24) Arizona Cardinals to remain relevant in the wild card race, if not the division. Like many other teams at this point, the Cardinals can really only play spoiler

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

Well, last week we told you the Texans over the Colts was our sure-fire picks (give or take)…looks like it was more of the “give or take” than “sure-fire.” We won’t spend too much time on this though, as we’ve already discussed at great lengths the quarterback injury Houston suffered.

This week we are pleased to welcome back (31) Cleveland Browns to this category. In Week 10, the Browns will face-off against (19) Detroit Lions, the Lions favored at over 79%. Unsurprisingly, the Browns have 0.00% chance of making the playoffs as things currently stand (we wanted to provide decimal places to show you we weren’t rounding unfavorably), and this likelihood will not change, regardless of who wins this game. But here’s where things get interesting: heading into this match-up, the Lions have 30.4% odds of making the playoffs. Should the Browns somehow win on Sunday, the Lions odds would logically drop, in this case to 13.24%. Even if reality plays out as is easily-predictable and Detroit wins, their playoff odds would still drop, in this case to 27.50%. Here’s where we’d like to remind you that these odds, as represented here, are purely based off the outcome of this game. So, if the Lions odds will drop no matter what happens in this game, that is indicative of the fact that Detroit’s fate is largely out of its owns hands for Week 10. Ideally (from the Lions’ perspective) the (7) Minnesota Vikings will lose to the Redskins, diminishing the NFC North lead the Vikings currently have.

Flip a coin

The flip a coin match-up for Week 9 involved the team we just put in our sure-fire picks (give or take) for Week 10: the Detroit Lions. Last week, they were considered the underdogs against the Packers, who were favored at roughly 56%. However, as was mentioned at the beginning of this piece, the Lions pounced on the wounded Packers for an easy-enough 30-17 win.

It seems that Week 10 is putting the NFC North under the microscope, as the flip a coin game this week is the Packers against the (22) Chicago Bears. Once again, the Packers are favorites, by a slight edge of 4% in the latest edition of the NFL’s longest-running rivalry. Interestingly enough, should Chicago force Green Bay into a tie for last-place in the division, the two teams would have nearly identical playoff odds of 7.61% and 6.88% respectively. However, the Packers have the edge for now, as they currently have 11% odds to the Bears 2.21% odds coming into this battle. As such, should the Packers win as Oracle projects, they could elevate their odds to 24.41% while practically crushing whatever remaining hope the Bears have of making the playoffs. Think of it this way: if the Packers win, there’s still some life for them and, should they manage to tread water and find a way to limp into the playoff hunt, what’s stopping Aaron Rodgers from suiting up and giving his team that spark (besides his recovering broken collarbone)?

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

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See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 10

2017 Challenge – Week 10 Results

Week 10 Consensus Picks by Affiliation Season
__Affiliation__ Week PCT Season PCT
Other 73.81% 75% 92% 100% 83% 75% 33% 50% 100% 58% 83% 58% 25% 100% 100% 64.78%
Student 72.50% 95% 100% 95% 95% 85% 30% 35% 90% 50% 95% 30% 30% 85% 100% 62.49%
Computer 72.02% 83% 75% 92% 83% 100% 25% 83% 100% 75% 83% 17% 17% 92% 83% 61.42%
Alumni 70.27% 86% 100% 95% 92% 70% 22% 41% 84% 59% 84% 41% 35% 92% 84% 61.25%
Faculty/Staff 66.67% 76% 90% 95% 100% 48% 29% 24% 81% 48% 81% 52% 29% 90% 90% 59.87%
Week 10 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
7 Mark Montalbano 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF TB CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 1 103-43 71%
2 Jonathan Prescott 12-2 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 2 99-47 68%
39 Jordan Bruce 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 3 98-48 67%
2 Chris DiPaolo 12-2 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 4 97-49 66%
39 Craig Mills 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 4 97-49 66%
7 Keener STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 4 97-49 66%
7 Will Farner 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 4 97-49 66%
7 Massey STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 8 96-50 66%
7 Marie Lutz 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 8 96-50 66%
39 Marc Goodrich 10-4 SEA PIT DET LAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 10 95-51 65%
7 NFL Oracle 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 10 95-51 65%
7 Chris Fanick 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI CIN MIN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 12 94-52 64%
7 Maddie Heliste 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 12 94-52 64%
7 Bob Nicholson 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 12 94-52 64%
68 Chris Robinson 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 15 93-53 64%
7 Colley STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 15 93-53 64%
7 Douglas Dellmore 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE MIA 15 93-53 64%
39 Johnny Biology 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 15 93-53 64%
39 Dillon Wolf 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 15 93-53 64%
2 Bryan Fowler 12-2 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB GB TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
68 Brian Miceli 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF TB CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
68 Brent Morgan 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN HOU NYG DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
7 Diana Riddle 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 20 92-40 70%
2 Liza Southwick 12-2 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
7 Josh Moczygemba 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF ATL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
39 Ghost of Tony Romo 10-4 SEA IND DET JAC NO TB GB TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
39 PageRank STAT 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
39 Steven Hargis 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
39 Sam Hyden 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 20 92-54 63%
7 Biased Voter STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 30 91-55 62%
39 Patrick Pringle 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL DEN CAR 30 91-55 62%
85 stella artois 8-6 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB CIN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 30 91-55 62%
7 Best OFF STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 30 91-55 62%
7 Oracle/Wins STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 30 91-55 62%
7 Reese Murphy 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 30 91-55 62%
2 Ryan Reynolds 12-2 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR SF ATL NE CAR 30 91-55 62%
85 Alexander Krantz 8-6 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI CIN MIN LAR NYG DAL DEN CAR 37 90-56 62%
39 Ben Newhouse 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 37 90-56 62%
7 Christina Cooley 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 37 90-56 62%
39 Damon Bullis 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 37 90-56 62%
7 David Wood 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 37 90-56 62%
7 Eric Suhler 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR SF ATL NE CAR 37 90-55 62%
7 Harry Wallace 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 37 90-56 62%
68 Valerie Schweers 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 37 90-56 62%
7 Jim Freeman 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 45 89-57 61%
7 Jeremy Lynch 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 45 89-57 61%
39 OFF Yds STAT 10-4 ARI IND DET LAC NO TB GB TEN WAS LAR SF ATL NE CAR 45 89-57 61%
85 Clint Schroeder 8-6 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
39 Deven Nongbri 10-4 ARI PIT DET LAC NO TB CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
39 Dylan Holland 10-4 SEA PIT CLE JAC NO TB GB TEN WAS HOU SF DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
7 Tanner Kohfield 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB GB TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 48 88-44 67%
39 Liam Crawley 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
85 Michele Johnson 8-6 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI CIN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
68 Michael Dennis 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
39 Kevin Davis 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 48 88-58 60%
7 Davis King 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 56 87-59 60%
85 Jordan Bethea 8-6 ARI PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL DEN CAR 56 87-59 60%
68 Dylan Hendel 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN MIN HOU NYG DAL NE CAR 56 87-59 60%
39 Ryan Gray 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ GB CIN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 59 86-60 59%
7 Shawn Sunday 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 59 86-59 59%
85 Tim Ward 8-6 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN MIN HOU NYG DAL NE CAR 59 86-60 59%
85 Tim O’Sullivan 8-6 ARI PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 59 86-60 59%
7 WinPct STAT 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 59 86-60 59%
68 Enrique Alcoreza 9-5 SEA PIT DET LAC NO TB CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL DEN CAR 64 85-61 58%
7 Jesse Gamble 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 64 85-48 64%
39 Mitchell Kight 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 64 85-61 58%
68 Matt Sidhom 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 64 85-61 58%
85 Susan Coker 8-6 SEA PIT DET LAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE MIA 64 85-61 58%
68 Tom Tegtmeyer 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 69 84-62 58%
68 Adam Mueller 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE MIA 70 83-47 64%
1 Braxton Bartlett 13-1 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB GB TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 70 83-47 64%
39 Rebecca Cook 10-4 ARI PIT DET JAC NO TB GB TEN MIN HOU NYG DAL NE CAR 70 83-63 57%
7 Joshua Adame 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF TB CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 70 83-50 62%
7 Dale Cochran 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO TB GB CIN MIN HOU SF DAL NE CAR 74 82-64 56%
39 Jacob Tingle 10-4 ARI PIT DET JAC BUF TB CHI TEN MIN HOU SF ATL NE CAR 74 82-48 63%
39 Kipp Smithers 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE MIA 76 81-50 62%
39 Joshua Hernandez 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 76 81-52 61%
68 Kevin McIntyre 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 76 81-52 61%
39 Matthew Jones 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 79 80-53 60%
96 Rick McMullen 7-7 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS HOU NYG DAL DEN CAR 80 79-67 54%
7 TD Gunslinger 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 80 79-67 54%
85 DEF Yds STAT 8-6 SEA IND DET JAC NO TB GB TEN WAS HOU NYG DAL NE MIA 82 78-68 53%
96 Finlay McCracken 7-7 SEA PIT CLE JAC BUF NYJ GB TEN WAS HOU NYG DAL NE CAR 82 78-68 53%
96 Mary Love 7-7 ARI PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI CIN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE MIA 82 78-68 53%
39 Callum Squires 10-4 ARI PIT DET JAC NO TB GB TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL DEN MIA 85 77-53 59%
100 Best DEF STAT 5-9 ARI IND CLE LAC NO TB GB TEN WAS HOU SF DAL DEN MIA 85 77-69 53%
39 Suzy Gray 10-4 ARI PIT DET JAC NO TB CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 87 76-40 66%
68 Tessa Uviedo 9-5 SEA IND DET LAC NO NYJ GB TEN MIN HOU SF DAL NE CAR 87 76-55 58%
68 Taylor Stakes 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB CIN MIN LAR NYG DAL NE MIA 87 76-56 58%
100 Heather H. Smith 5-9 ARI IND CLE JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS HOU NYG ATL DEN CAR 90 75-71 51%
68 Britni Ridolfi 9-5 SEA PIT CLE LAC NO TB GB TEN WAS HOU SF DAL NE CAR 91 74-72 51%
85 Manny Gonzalez 8-6 ARI PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI CIN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 92 73-57 56%
39 Sarah Farrell 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE CAR 93 72-48 60%
68 Nicole Fratto 9-5 ARI PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR SF DAL DEN CAR 94 68-63 52%
85 Josh Huskin 8-6 ARI PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 95 42-31 58%
39 Paul Willstrop 10-4 SEA PIT DET JAC BUF NYJ CHI CIN MIN LAR SF ATL NE CAR 96 37-17 69%
39 Clyde Sikes 10-4 ARI PIT DET JAC BUF TB CHI TEN MIN LAR NYG ATL NE CAR 97 23-20 53%
68 Samantha Gonzalez 9-5 ARI PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB TEN WAS LAR SF DAL NE MIA 98 17-9 65%
96 J Mart 7-7 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI CIN WAS HOU NYG DAL NE CAR 99 14-13 52%
7 Matt Meador 11-3 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ CHI TEN MIN LAR SF DAL NE CAR 100 11-3 79%
68 Matthew Patty 9-5 SEA PIT DET JAC NO NYJ GB CIN WAS LAR NYG DAL NE CAR 101 9-5 64%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.
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Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 10 Results

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 11

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 11 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma Washington State

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

NCAAF Oracle – Week 11

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Georgia(9-0)--
2Alabama(9-0)--
3Clemson(8-1) 1
4Wisconsin(9-0) 1
5Notre Dame(8-1) 1
6Southern California(8-2) 3
7Central Florida(8-0) 3
8Washington State(8-2) 4
9Texas Christian(8-1) 4
10Miami FL_(8-0) 4
11Oklahoma(8-1) 5
12San Diego State(8-2) 4
13Memphis(8-1) 2
14Washington(8-1) 1
15Penn State(7-2) 10
16Michigan State(7-2) 6
17Ohio State(7-2) 10
18Toledo(8-1) 5
19Boise State(7-2)--
20Auburn(7-2) 14
21Mississippi State(7-2)--
22South Florida(8-1) 6
23Iowa(6-3) 12
24Michigan(7-2) 9
25Troy(7-2) 6
26Oklahoma State(7-2) 9
27Virginia Tech(7-2) 7
28Iowa State(6-3) 10
29Northwestern(6-3) 12
30Houston(6-3) 6
31South Carolina(6-3) 6
32North Carolina State(6-3) 8
33Louisiana State(6-3) 6
34Florida Atlantic(6-3) 15
35Arizona(6-3) 9
36Army(7-2) 10
37Kentucky(6-3) 8
38North Texas(6-3) 6
39Virginia(6-3) 11
40Southern Methodist(6-3) 8
41Stanford(6-3) 11
42Ohio(7-2) 5
43Arizona State(5-4) 13
44Boston College(5-4) 7
45Wyoming(6-3) 10
46Florida International(6-2) 8
47West Virginia(6-3) 17
48Northern Illinois(6-3) 10
49Fresno State(6-3) 2
50Marshall(6-3) 11
51Oregon(5-5) 9
52Wake Forest(5-4) 12
53Alabama-Birmingham(6-3) 1
54Texas A&M(5-4) 11
55Colorado State(6-4) 10
56Navy(5-3) 8
57California(5-5) 11
58Central Michigan(5-4) 18
59Utah(5-4) 16
60Syracuse(4-5) 2
61Colorado(5-5) 8
62Louisville(5-4)--
63Western Michigan(5-4) 3
64Southern Mississippi(5-4) 7
65Akron(5-4) 6
66Utah State(5-5) 14
67Appalachian State(5-4) 4
68UCLA(4-5) 7
69Arkansas State(5-2) 4
70Kansas State(5-4) 16
71Mississippi(4-5) 21
72Texas Tech(4-5) 6
73Georgia State(5-3) 9
74Nebraska(4-5) 7
75Purdue(4-5) 9
76Western Kentucky(5-4) 6
77Tennessee(4-5) 13
78Vanderbilt(4-5) 20
79Pittsburgh(4-5) 7
80Middle Tennessee State(4-5) 5
81Georgia Tech(4-4) 10
82Maryland(4-5) 13
83Texas(4-5) 10
84Rutgers(4-5) 11
85Missouri(4-5) 9
86Air Force(4-5) 12
87Nevada-Las Vegas(4-5) 4
88Temple(4-5) 15
89Texas-San Antonio(5-3) 11
90Louisiana-Monroe(4-5) 14
91Duke(4-5) 10
92Arkansas(4-5) 4
93Louisiana Tech(4-5) 16
94Louisiana-Lafayette(4-4) 7
95Minnesota(4-5) 16
96Florida(3-5) 13
97Florida State(3-5) 11
98South Alabama(3-6) 11
99New Mexico State(4-5) 8
100Buffalo(3-6) 12
101Tulane(3-6) 12
102Idaho(3-6) 9
103Miami OH_(3-6) 6
104Connecticut(3-6) 4
105Indiana(3-6) 3
106New Mexico(3-6) 7
107Eastern Michigan(3-6) 7
108Cincinnati(3-6) 8
109Old Dominion(3-6) 6
110Hawaii(3-6) 5
111Tulsa(2-8) 5
112Ball State(2-7) 2
113Kent State(2-7) 4
114Illinois(2-7) 3
115Bowling Green State(2-7) 7
116Massachusetts(2-7) 4
117East Carolina(2-7) 4
118Texas State(2-7) 1
119Brigham Young(2-8) 1
120Charlotte(1-8) 1
121North Carolina(1-8) 5
122Nevada(1-8) 1
123San Jose State(1-9) 1
124Kansas(1-8) 1
125Coastal Carolina(1-8) 2
126Oregon State(1-8)--
127Baylor(1-8) 4
128Rice(1-8) 2
129Georgia Southern(0-8)--
130Texas-El Paso(0-9)--

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 10 performances. While the top-2 ranks remained unchanged, the same cannot be said for most of the other top teams. Within the range starting at (5) Notre Dame and extending to (11) Oklahoma, all teams experienced positive trends. However, our biggest positive trends belong to (20) Auburn and (23) Iowa, (+14) and (+12) respectively. For one to rise, another must fall, as was the case for both (15) Penn State and (17) Ohio State, each dropping (-10) to make way for the Tigers and Hawkeyes. It’s hard to believe that it wasn’t long ago that we were discussing (15) Penn State and (17) Ohio State as being in prime position to contest the top ranking, but that’s what makes sports so compelling: it’s not the best team that wins, but the team that plays the best on any given day.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 11

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Georgia 52% 14% 18% 12% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Alabama 26% 26% 12% 17% 11% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Clemson 3% 12% 18% 13% 6% 9% 15% 13% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Wisconsin 7% 20% 18% 5% 1% 4% 11% 15% 12% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Notre Dame 11% 23% 14% 2% 0% 0% 3% 9% 15% 14% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Southern California 0% 0% 1% 8% 17% 16% 7% 3% 5% 10% 11% 10% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Central Florida 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 12% 17% 12% 5% 5% 11% 14% 11% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Washington State 0% 0% 0% 3% 10% 16% 13% 6% 2% 3% 8% 11% 11% 9% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
9 Texas Christian 0% 0% 3% 16% 20% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 12% 12% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0%
10 Miami FL_ 0% 5% 15% 16% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 11% 12% 9% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0%
11 Oklahoma 0% 0% 0% 6% 15% 16% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 11% 10% 8% 4% 2%
12 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 5% 11% 16% 20% 19% 14% 8%
13 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 10% 18% 22% 20% 14% 7%
14 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 6% 11% 13% 10% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 8% 6% 4%
15 Penn State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 10% 15% 13% 6% 2% 0% 1% 3% 8% 12% 12% 9%
16 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 12% 14% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 8% 13%
17 Ohio State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 9% 15% 14% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 8%
18 Toledo 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 9% 15% 14% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5%
19 Boise State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 11% 12% 9% 5% 2% 0% 0%
20 Auburn 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 5% 10% 13% 11% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

There’s been a scale-back with regards to the number of teams that have the opportunity to claim the (1) rank; in order of most favorable odds, (1) Georgia is more likely than not to retain the top-rank, then (2) Alabama, (5) Notre Dame, (4) Wisconsin, and (3) Clemson. While it isn’t likely we’ll see a new (1) team a week from now, (1) Georgia could lose to the surging (20) Auburn that we mentioned earlier. Should this game result in an upset, the Bulldogs could drop down to (5) while the Tigers could continue trending in the right direction, taking baby-steps all the way up to (9) if they are lucky. Turning our attention to the rest of the top-5 teams, take a look at the Week 11 match-ups:

(2) Alabama @ (21) Mississippi State

(3) Clemson vs. (97) Florida State

(4) Wisconsin vs. (23) Iowa

(5) Notre Dame @ (10) Miami FL

By no means is (21) Mississippi State a bad team, but with as good as (2) Alabama is, they are projected to win this game, which would almost certainly lock them in at one of those top-2 rankings. A loss, on the other hand, could see the Crimson Tide backpedal to (7).

(3) Clemson has, on paper, the easiest match-up this week, which helps explain why there’s potential for them to end up in any number of rankings, from (1) all the way through to (11). Even with a win, which is borderline expected, (3) Clemson could still lose ground in the rankings, as Oracle rewards teams for wins on the road, against top-tier teams, and when the wins are convincing. That’s where things favor (4) Wisconsin and (5) Notre Dame. Basic logic would suggest that, because there is a smaller discrepancy in ranking between each team in these two games, it will be more challenging to win, let alone by a substantial margin. However, that same logic suggests that, should (4) Wisconsin and/or (5) Notre Dame win, they will be rewarded more for emerging victorious in a tougher match-up, again on paper. The Fighting Irish also have the potential advantage of playing on the road, which could help them jump into the top-3 with a win.

All that being said, a loss for either (4) Wisconsin or (5) Notre Dame would significantly hurt their trends. Worst case scenario, a loss would turn (4) Wisconsin and (5) Notre Dame into (11) and (12) ranked teams, respectively. Keep in mind this would require everything to go wrong from the perspective of these teams; there is also the potential for the Badgers and Fighting Irish to lose and only drop to (6) and (7), still not great, but not as bad as the prior example.

The other big match-up this week is between (9) Texas Christian and (11) Oklahoma. Besides the fact that the outcome of this game could have significant ramifications on the College Football Playoff picture, not to mention the Valero Alamo Bowl projections, this game could do wonders to help either team’s overall ranking. A win for the Horned Frogs would likely move them to (4) or (5), with the potential to get as high as (3), while a loss could move them anywhere from (11) to (18), with (14) or (15) possessing the strongest likelihood. For their part, the Sooners could secure (5) or (6), with a chance for (4) by beating their conference-rival. With a loss, (11) Oklahoma could find themselves fighting to remain in the top-20. For what it’s worth, the Sooners and Horned Frogs bear the same conference record at 5-1, and (9) Texas Christian is as strong on the road as (11) Oklahoma is at home, both sitting at 3-1, so something will have to give this weekend.

Have a great rest of the week and weekend.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

>>

Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 11

2017 Challenge – Week 09 Results

84% 31% 45% 86% 10% 25% 7% 10% 70% 10% 66% 72% 58%
Consensus (9-4) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
16% 69% 55% 14% 90% 75% 93% 90% 30% 90% 34% 28% 42%
Week 9 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
19 Mark Montalbano 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 1 92-40 70%
4 Jordan Bruce 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 2 88-44 67%
4 Craig Mills 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 3 87-45 66%
46 Jonathan Prescott 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 3 87-45 66%
4 Keener STAT 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF WAS KC OAK DET 5 86-46 65%
19 Will Farner 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 5 86-46 65%
46 Chris DiPaolo 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 7 85-47 64%
19 Marc Goodrich 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 7 85-47 64%
85 Massey STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 7 85-47 64%
4 Marie Lutz 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 7 85-47 64%
4 Tucker Morrow 9-4 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 7 85-47 64%
19 Chris Robinson 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 12 84-48 64%
46 NFL Oracle 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 12 84-48 64%
19 Brian Miceli 8-5 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 14 83-49 63%
85 Brent Morgan 6-7 BUF BAL CAR NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 14 83-49 63%
19 Chris Fanick 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 14 83-49 63%
4 Johnny Biology 9-4 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS DAL OAK GB 14 83-49 63%
1 stella artois 10-3 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC IND PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 14 83-49 63%
46 Maddie Heliste 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 14 83-49 63%
19 Bob Nicholson 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 14 83-49 63%
19 Dillon Wolf 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 14 83-49 63%
46 Alexander Krantz 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 22 82-50 62%
85 Colley STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 22 82-50 62%
19 Douglas Dellmore 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC IND PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 22 82-50 62%
98 Ghost of Tony Romo 5-8 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 22 82-50 62%
4 PageRank STAT 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK GB 22 82-50 62%
4 Steven Hargis 9-4 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 22 82-50 62%
19 Sam Hyden 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 22 82-50 62%
4 Arastu Jahanbin 9-4 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 29 81-51 61%
46 Patrick Pringle 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 29 81-51 61%
4 Diana Riddle 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 29 81-37 69%
46 Josh Moczygemba 7-6 NYJ BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 29 81-51 61%
46 Valerie Schweers 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL OAK GB 29 81-51 61%
19 Bryan Fowler 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
85 Biased Voter STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 34 80-52 61%
46 Ben Newhouse 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
19 Clint Schroeder 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
19 Damon Bullis 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
46 Liza Southwick 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
4 Michele Johnson 9-4 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
19 Best OFF STAT 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
85 Oracle/Wins STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 34 80-52 61%
4 Reese Murphy 9-4 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
85 Brady Walker 6-7 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-52 60%
19 Craig Burton 8-5 NYJ BAL ATL LAR NO CIN IND PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 44 79-53 60%
4 Christina Cooley 9-4 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
4 David Wood 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Eric Suhler 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-52 60%
46 Harry Wallace 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Jordan Bethea 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 44 79-53 60%
1 Michael Dennis 10-3 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
19 OFF Yds STAT 8-5 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO JAC IND PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Ryan Reynolds 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Keller Murphey 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
85 Deven Nongbri 6-7 NYJ BAL ATL NYG NO CIN IND PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 55 78-54 59%
4 Dylan Holland 9-4 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
19 Jim Freeman 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 55 78-54 59%
85 Jeremy Lynch 6-7 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC MIA DET 55 78-54 59%
46 Liam Crawley 7-6 NYJ TEN ATL NYG NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 55 78-54 59%
19 Kevin Davis 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
19 Tim Ward 8-5 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
46 Tim O’Sullivan 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC MIA DET 55 78-54 59%
46 Dylan Hendel 7-6 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
19 Tanner Kohfield 8-5 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 64 77-41 65%
46 Susan Coker 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 64 77-55 58%
85 Davis King 6-7 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK GB 66 76-56 58%
98 Enrique Alcoreza 5-8 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 66 76-56 58%
46 Ryan Gray 7-6 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 66 76-56 58%
46 Matt Sidhom 7-6 BUF TEN CAR NYG NO JAC HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 66 76-56 58%
46 Mitchell Kight 7-6 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 70 75-57 57%
19 Shawn Sunday 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL OAK DET 70 75-56 57%
46 Tom Tegtmeyer 7-6 BUF TEN CAR NYG NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL MIA DET 70 75-57 57%
46 WinPct STAT 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 70 75-57 57%
19 Adam Mueller 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 74 74-42 64%
104 Hugh Daschbach 4-9 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI SF SEA KC MIA DET 74 74-58 56%
46 Rebecca Cook 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 76 73-59 55%
46 Les Bleamaster 7-6 BUF BAL CAR NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI WAS DAL MIA DET 76 73-59 55%
46 Best DEF STAT 7-6 NYJ TEN ATL NYG TB CIN IND DEN SF WAS DAL OAK DET 78 72-60 55%
46 Joshua Adame 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 78 72-47 61%
19 Jacob Tingle 8-5 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 78 72-44 62%
19 Rick McMullen 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 78 72-60 55%
46 Kipp Smithers 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI SF WAS KC OAK DET 82 71-46 61%
104 Dale Cochran 4-9 BUF BAL ATL LAR TB CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 82 71-61 54%
19 Finlay McCracken 8-5 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK GB 82 71-61 54%
46 Joshua Hernandez 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 82 71-48 60%
98 Mary Love 5-8 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 82 71-61 54%
1 Braxton Bartlett 10-3 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK DET 87 70-46 60%
46 DEF Yds STAT 7-6 NYJ TEN ATL LAR TB JAC HOU PHI SF WAS KC OAK GB 87 70-62 53%
98 Heather H. Smith 5-8 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 87 70-62 53%
46 Daniel Dahlinger 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU DEN SF SEA KC OAK DET 90 68-49 58%
46 TD Gunslinger 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 90 68-64 52%
85 Callum Squires 6-7 BUF TEN CAR LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 92 67-49 58%
85 Taylor Stakes 6-7 BUF TEN ATL LAR TB CIN HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 92 67-51 57%
19 Suzy Gray 8-5 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 94 66-36 65%
85 Britni Ridolfi 6-7 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN IND DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 95 65-67 49%
46 Manny Gonzalez 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 95 65-51 56%
46 Jack Wisniewski 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 97 62-43 59%
98 Nicole Fratto 5-8 NYJ BAL CAR NYG NO CIN HOU DEN SF SEA DAL OAK GB 98 59-58 50%
46 DARRIN Harzewski 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 99 50-38 57%
85 Janie Childers 6-7 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO JAC HOU DEN SF WAS DAL OAK GB 100 46-43 52%
19 Paul Willstrop 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 101 27-13 68%
46 Jeff Beneski 7-6 NYJ TEN CAR LAR TB CIN HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 102 26-19 58%
46 Devon Wright 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 103 15-14 52%
98 Clyde Sikes 5-8 NYJ TEN ATL NYG TB JAC HOU DEN SF SEA DAL MIA DET 104 13-16 45%
46 J Mart 7-6 BUF TEN CAR NYG NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 105 7-6 54%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 09 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 9

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 09

It was another strong week for Oracle, compiling a 10-3 record during Week 8 of the 2017 NFL season, giving Oracle a 75% success rate over the past two weeks combined. As always, the numbers provide incredible insight, but we also use them as a stepping stone to look beyond the data. In that spirit, the three games Oracle picked incorrectly had confidence levels of 50%, 52%, and 54% respectively (rounding to the nearest whole). Of those three, two were tightly-played contests as the (10) Seattle Seahawks won by three and the (12) Atlanta Falcons won by five, the lone exception being the (8) Buffalo Bills stampeding to a 20-point margin of victory. With that said, take a look at a new aspect of NFL Oracle, now that we’ve passed the midpoint in the 2017 season. In the following chart, you will still see how each team is trending, just as you were able to before. However, Oracle has now expanded to include Postseason Chances, compiling advanced data to make educated guesses on the number of expected wins per team by season’s end, the chances of each team making the playoffs, the chances of each team winning their respective division, the odds of securing the 1st round bye in the AFC or NFC, and, perhaps the source of most intrigue, the odds of each teach making the Super Bowl.

NFL Oracle Postseason Chances – Week 9

Rk Team Rk Change Exp. Wins Playoffs Chance Division 1st Round Bye Super Bowl
1 KC 1 11.2 95.4% 92.3% 53.8% 15.3%
2 PHI 1 11.9 97.3% 90.2% 68.4% 13.8%
3 PIT 2 11.2 95.6% 87.3% 58.2% 8.5%
4 NE 10.9 90.4% 66.6% 39.7% 4.4%
5 MIN 2 10.9 89.4% 81.5% 38.5% 7.9%
6 NO 10.5 84.2% 67.2% 26.8% 4.6%
7 CAR 1 9.6 55.8% 25.3% 6.8% 1.3%
8 BUF 2 9.6 70.7% 29.3% 15.2% 2.1%
9 LAR 2 10.9 86.8% 60.7% 36.1% 16.7%
10 SEA 6 10.0 68.8% 38.2% 15.2% 2.4%
11 GB 8.7 35.0% 13.0% 2.7% 0.7%
12 ATL 5 7.7 20.0% 7.2% 1.7% 0.4%
13 MIA 4 7.5 16.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
14 JAC 2 9.8 79.3% 66.1% 21.3% 16.2%
15 BAL 9 8.9 57.2% 12.0% 5.5% 2.4%
16 TEN 3 8.4 33.2% 21.4% 2.6% 0.7%
17 CHI 2 7.3 6.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
18 OAK 4 7.0 8.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1%
19 DAL 7 8.7 36.2% 9.4% 3.3% 0.9%
20 DEN 2 7.6 18.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.3%
21 DET 1 7.0 6.9% 3.3% 0.2% 0.1%
22 NYJ 3 6.1 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
23 WAS 1 7.3 9.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
24 LAC 3 6.4 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
25 HOU 2 7.6 22.5% 12.3% 0.9% 0.4%
26 CIN 1 6.4 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
27 ARI 2 6.4 2.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
28 TB 5.2 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
29 IND 4.8 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
30 NYG 4.8 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
31 CLE 2.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
32 SF 2.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

The game of leapfrog continues between (1) Kansas City Chiefs and (2) Philadelphia Eagles. Although both teams defended their home field last week, if one were to pick the more likely upset, it would have hands-down been (18) Denver Broncos over the Chiefs, as opposed to (32) San Francisco 49ers over the Eagles. Following that line of reasoning, the Chiefs were able to muscle the (1) rank from the Eagles…for now.

As noted above, this is where things take on a whole new level of fun in the NFL season and predictive methods. Looking at the chart above, Oracle anticipates the division winners to be as follows: (4) New England Patriots – AFC East, (1) Kansas City Chiefs – AFC West, (3) Pittsburgh Steelers – AFC North, (14) Jacksonville Jaguars – AFC South, (2) Philadelphia Eagles – NFC East, (9) Los Angeles Rams – NFC West, (5) Minnesota Vikings – NFC North, and (6) New Orleans Saints – NFC South. Of those projected Division Champions, the Rams face the strongest competition in-division, as they have a 22.5% cushion over the (10) Seattle Seahawks, certainly a substantial lead, but by no means should the Rams feel comfortable enough to grow complacent. The next tier of teams currently in position to claim the two wild card berths per conference are the (8) Buffalo Bills at 70.7% and (15) Baltimore Ravens at 57.2% from the AFC, with the Seahawks at 68.8% and (7) Carolina Panthers at 55.8% representing the NFC side of the equation. As you can see, there is another drop-off beyond these four teams, as the next best team in terms of Playoffs Chance is the (19) Dallas Cowboys at 36.2%. Using the Cowboys as an example, with Ezekiel Elliott’s on-again off-again suspension now leaning heavily towards “on,” Dallas is still in the hunt and remains a viable threat in the NFC for one of those wild card spots, but the odds are not in their favor to do much more than that.

From there, the Eagles and Steelers are the favorites for the NFC and AFC first round byes, respectively, but don’t take that to mean they have a cakewalk to the Super Bowl. On the contrary, and somewhat surprisingly at first glance, neither team has the strongest projection within their conference to even make the Super Bowl. That glory belongs to the Rams and Jaguars as things currently stand. On paper, the Eagles and Steelers have been better than both the Rams and Jaguars, and both of the prior two teams are projected to get at least one, if not two, more wins during the regular season than either of the latter two teams, but Oracle takes more than just wins and losses into account; it is when considering strength of schedule through the remainder of the season, as well as relative home field advantage and momentum, that both the Rams and Jaguars earn those extra percentage points in this preliminary projection of the playoff picture.

Take a minute to think how crazy a Rams-Jaguars Super Bowl would be…there’s absolutely a long way for both teams to go before that could even happen, but that doesn’t mean we can’t have fun imagining that match-up. In 2016, the Jaguars finished 3-13, the Rams only one game better. In 2017, both teams have a chance to finish with 10 wins, win their divisions outright, and make the Super Bowl. Both teams drafted high in recent years for a franchise quarterback, but neither has necessarily taken off. Both teams have run-first offenses behind workhorses Todd Gurley for Los Angeles and rookie Leonard Fournette for Jacksonville. Both teams have stellar defenses that can keep any opponent within reach or make any lead feel relatively safe. To emphasize yet again, there’s still a lot of football left to be played, and hopefully injuries are not a factor in how any of those games turn out, just don’t sleep on either of these two teams.

Now that we’ve had our fun, back to reality for the Week 9 predictions.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 09

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Nov 02 2017(8) BUF @ (22) NYJ(8) BUF60.52%
Sun Nov 05 2017(26) CIN @ (14) JAC(14) JAC72.48%
Sun Nov 05 2017(29) IND @ (25) HOU(25) HOU77.61%
Sun Nov 05 2017(15) BAL @ (16) TEN(15) BAL56.91%
Sun Nov 05 2017(20) DEN @ (2) PHI(2) PHI63.31%
Sun Nov 05 2017(12) ATL @ (7) CAR(7) CAR57.25%
Sun Nov 05 2017(28) TB @ (6) NO(6) NO70.02%
Sun Nov 05 2017(9) LAR @ (30) NYG(9) LAR76.68%
Sun Nov 05 2017(23) WAS @ (10) SEA(10) SEA60.39%
Sun Nov 05 2017(27) ARI @ (32) SF(27) ARI63.13%
Sun Nov 05 2017(1) KC @ (19) DAL(1) KC56.80%
Sun Nov 05 2017(18) OAK @ (13) MIA(18) OAK57.83%
Mon Nov 06 2017(21) DET @ (11) GB(11) GB55.53%

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

We hate to pick on one team in particular, but until given a reason not to, the chances are high that the (31) Cleveland Browns will be on the receiving end of our sure-fire picks (give or take). Last week, the (5) Minnesota Vikings and Browns met up across the Atlantic in London, with a closely-played game through the first half. That would prove to be as long as the Browns could keep things tight, as the Vikings pulled away late for a 33-16 victory, backing up Oracle’s 85% confidence level in that outcome.

This week, there isn’t necessarily an anticipated blowout, but the (25) Houston Texans and their revolutionized offense nearly has a 78% confidence level from Oracle in beating the (29) Indianapolis Colts. That being said, there has been a very recent development that budding star Deshaun Watson, who seized the helm of the Texans offense at the start of the season, tore his ACL during practice this week, eliminating any shot of him playing in the Colts match-up, let alone the rest of the season. Oracle’s projection was made prior to this devastating injury, so it will be interesting to see how the Texans offense responds in the wake of this news.

Flip a coin

The flip a coin match-up for Week 8 came down to the unconvincing (12) Atlanta Falcons against the slightly-surprising (22) New York Jets, Oracle favoring the Jets with a compelling 50.18% confidence level. Unfortunately, Oracle was 0.19% in the wrong direction, as the Falcons managed to scrape out a 25-20 win despite poor conditions. The game remained close into the fourth quarter, until Matt Ryan connected with wide receiver Mohamed Sanu early in the fourth to take a lead the Falcons would not relinquish, with both teams exchanging cancelling field goals late in the game.

For Week 9, the closest we can come to a nail biter confidence-wise is the (21) Detroit Lions against the (11) Green Bay Packers, the Pack holding a 5.53% advantage. Even though Green Bay is without star quarterback Aaron Rodgers, they still have the benefit of playing at home and coming off a bye, whereas the Lions recently suffered a tough loss to the Steelers.

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

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2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 10

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 10 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma Washington State

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

Ladies and gentlemen, there have been some interesting developments within the Pac-12 and Big 12, respectively, that have had implications towards both Valero Alamo Bowl Projections.

Kicking off Week 9, (30) Stanford came back from a five-point deficit heading into the fourth quarter to ultimately squeeze out a 15-14 win against (126) Oregon State, too close for comfort for the Cardinals. The win proved to be incredibly important as it kept Stanford atop the Pac-12 North with their 5-1 conference record, half a game ahead of (15) Washington in-conference following the Huskies handling of the struggling (60) UCLA Bruins, surging in the second and third quarters for a 44-23 win. A look across the standings to the Pac-12 South, and things look eerily similar: (9) Southern California’s anticipated decimation of (55) Arizona State kept the Trojans at one loss in-conference. Just as (15) Washington fought to stay on (30) Stanford’s heels, so too did (26) Arizona with their fierce battle with (11) Washington State, winning by a comfortable margin with the final score of 58-37. For their part, the Cougars loss in this game may not be the worst thing, as it has made them the new Oracle projection for the Valero Alamo Bowl, courtesy of their 4-2 conference record and the uphill climb they face as they try to remain a threat for the Pac-12 title.

Turning our attention to the Big 12, (17) Oklahoma State took care of business just as they needed to, besting (64) West Virginia 50-39. Like their in-state rival, (16) Oklahoma also did what was necessary as they served (67) Texas Tech a 49-27 loss. However, a low-scoring performance between (12) Texas Christian and (18) Iowa State that ended in a 14-7 win for the Cyclones just made the top of the Big 12 standings significantly more heated: between (12) Texas Christian, (16) Oklahoma, (17) Oklahoma State, and (18) Iowa State, there are now four Big 12 teams that are 4-1 in-conference, with all but (18) Iowa State boasting a 7-1 record overall.

It will be intriguing to see how things continue to play out in Week 10 of the 2017 NCAAF season. (30) Stanford will travel north to tackle (11) Washington State; (15) Washington will play host to the floundering (41) Oregon Ducks; and (9) Southern California will duke it out in a clash of the titans with (26) Arizona, the Wildcats looking to usurp the Trojans by dismantling their undefeated start at home. There is guaranteed movement to be expected in the Big 12 next week, starting with another battle of the best between (16) Oklahoma and (17) Oklahoma State. As it stands, (16) Oklahoma is the odds-on favorite to make the Valero Alamo Bowl, but that’s subject to change depending on how this game turns out. Should things remain as they are, it could be exciting to see quarterback Baker Mayfield, number two on the ESPN Heisman Watch, lead (16) Oklahoma in the Valero Alamo Bowl. From the sidelines, (18) Iowa State and (12) Texas Christian will attempt to prolong (64) West Virginia’s and (73) Texas’ suffering, respectively.

Regardless of how things continue to unravel, one thing appears certain: the 2017 Valero Alamo Bowl is poised to be an epic showdown between two elite teams. Heading into Week 10, eight of the top-30 teams as ranked by Oracle belong to either the Pac-12 or Big 12!

NCAAF Oracle – Week 10

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Georgia(8-0) 1
2Alabama(8-0) 1
3Wisconsin(8-0) 3
4Clemson(7-1) 3
5Penn State(7-1) 2
6Notre Dame(7-1) 2
7Ohio State(7-1) 11
8San Diego State(7-2) 4
9Southern California(7-2) 4
10Central Florida(7-0) 1
11Washington State(7-2) 6
12Texas Christian(7-1) 8
13Memphis(7-1) 2
14Miami FL_(7-0)--
15Washington(7-1) 4
16Oklahoma(7-1) 4
17Oklahoma State(7-1) 4
18Iowa State(6-2) 12
19Boise State(6-2) 5
20Virginia Tech(7-1) 2
21Mississippi State(6-2) 12
22Michigan State(6-2) 12
23Toledo(7-1) 2
24North Carolina State(6-2) 9
25South Carolina(6-2) 3
26Arizona(6-2) 13
27Louisiana State(6-2) 11
28South Florida(7-0) 11
29Kentucky(6-2) 5
30Stanford(6-2) 4
31Troy(6-2)--
32Southern Methodist(6-2) 4
33Michigan(6-2) 4
34Auburn(6-2) 11
35Iowa(5-3) 12
36Boston College(5-4) 7
37Northern Illinois(6-2) 12
38Marshall(6-2) 11
39Wake Forest(5-3) 15
40Northwestern(5-3) 22
41Oregon(5-4) 16
42Texas A&M(5-3) 10
43North Texas(5-3) 10
44Colorado State(6-3) 15
45Army(6-2) 10
46Ohio(6-2) 6
47Navy(5-2) 6
48Florida Atlantic(5-3) 13
49Virginia(5-3) 11
50Fresno State(5-3) 8
51Alabama-Birmingham(5-3) 19
52Colorado(5-4) 13
53Florida International(5-2) 18
54Wyoming(5-3) 14
55Arizona State(4-4) 11
56Southern Mississippi(5-3) 10
57Syracuse(4-4) 7
58Akron(5-4) 11
59Western Michigan(5-3) 11
60UCLA(4-4) 9
61Louisville(5-4) 16
62Appalachian State(5-3) 7
63Houston(4-3) 7
64West Virginia(5-3) 12
65Arkansas State(5-2) 11
66Nebraska(4-4) 13
67Texas Tech(4-4) 8
68California(4-5) 10
69Maryland(4-4) 11
70Western Kentucky(5-3) 10
71Georgia Tech(4-3) 8
72Pittsburgh(4-5) 21
73Texas(4-4) 9
74Air Force(4-4) 22
75Utah(4-4) 9
76Central Michigan(4-4) 12
77Louisiana Tech(4-4)--
78Texas-San Antonio(5-2) 6
79Minnesota(4-4) 12
80Utah State(4-5) 7
81Duke(4-5) 9
82Georgia State(4-3) 16
83Florida(3-4) 9
84Purdue(3-5) 9
85Middle Tennessee State(3-5) 7
86Kansas State(4-4) 16
87South Alabama(3-5) 6
88Buffalo(3-6) 2
89Tulane(3-5) 6
90Tennessee(3-5) 2
91Nevada-Las Vegas(3-5) 23
92Mississippi(3-5) 7
93Idaho(3-5) 15
94Missouri(3-5) 17
95Rutgers(3-5) 8
96Arkansas(3-5) 13
97Miami OH_(3-5) 8
98Vanderbilt(3-5) 6
99New Mexico(3-5) 5
100Connecticut(3-5) 9
101Louisiana-Lafayette(3-4) 6
102Indiana(3-5) 12
103Temple(3-5) 4
104Louisiana-Monroe(3-5) 7
105Hawaii(3-5) 5
106New Mexico State(3-5) 5
107Florida State(2-5) 4
108Tulsa(2-7) 4
109Kent State(2-6) 3
110Ball State(2-6) 3
111Illinois(2-6) 6
112Massachusetts(2-6) 21
113East Carolina(2-6)--
114Eastern Michigan(2-6) 4
115Old Dominion(2-6)--
116Cincinnati(2-6) 4
117Texas State(2-6) 4
118Brigham Young(2-7) 8
119Charlotte(1-7) 3
120Bowling Green State(1-7) 4
121Nevada(1-7) 4
122San Jose State(1-8) 4
123Kansas(1-7) 3
124Coastal Carolina(1-7) 6
125North Carolina(1-8) 4
126Oregon State(1-7) 3
127Rice(1-7)--
128Georgia Southern(0-7)--
129Texas-El Paso(0-8)--
130Baylor(0-8)--

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 9 performances. The most notable moves are a mere (+1) and (-1), by no means extraordinary leaps. But it is the context of those moves that matters, as the (+1) represents the crowning of a new team atop the rankings in the form of (1) Georgia, while the bye-week victim (2) Alabama was forced to relinquish its throne…for now. Also, (7) Ohio State came roaring into the top-10 after an incredible comeback against (5) Penn State, helping the Buckeyes jump up in the rankings (+11).

Also worth noting is rankings (15) through (21) all have new faces thanks to positive trends, albeit some moved up from within that range. Meanwhile, rankings (10) through (13) have been shoulders to cry on for teams trending in the wrong direction. There are a lot of hungry teams that are fighting to break through and into the upper echelon of teams, and those four positions represent weakened prey to capitalize on.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 10

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Georgia 50% 3% 10% 15% 12% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Alabama 22% 24% 4% 3% 5% 8% 9% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Wisconsin 5% 16% 19% 11% 5% 7% 9% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Clemson 14% 23% 11% 2% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Penn State 5% 14% 16% 10% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
6 Notre Dame 3% 9% 14% 13% 8% 3% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 10% 7% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Ohio State 1% 7% 13% 14% 9% 4% 1% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0%
8 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3%
9 Southern California 0% 2% 6% 11% 13% 10% 5% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4%
10 Central Florida 0% 1% 3% 7% 12% 12% 9% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 9%
11 Washington State 0% 1% 3% 8% 13% 13% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 8% 7%
12 Texas Christian 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7%
13 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 7%
14 Miami FL_ 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 10% 11% 9% 6% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%
15 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3%
16 Oklahoma 0%