2017 Challenge – Week 09 Results

84% 31% 45% 86% 10% 25% 7% 10% 70% 10% 66% 72% 58%
Consensus (9-4) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
16% 69% 55% 14% 90% 75% 93% 90% 30% 90% 34% 28% 42%
Week 9 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
19 Mark Montalbano 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 1 92-40 70%
4 Jordan Bruce 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 2 88-44 67%
4 Craig Mills 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 3 87-45 66%
46 Jonathan Prescott 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 3 87-45 66%
4 Keener STAT 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF WAS KC OAK DET 5 86-46 65%
19 Will Farner 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 5 86-46 65%
46 Chris DiPaolo 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 7 85-47 64%
19 Marc Goodrich 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 7 85-47 64%
85 Massey STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 7 85-47 64%
4 Marie Lutz 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 7 85-47 64%
4 Tucker Morrow 9-4 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 7 85-47 64%
19 Chris Robinson 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 12 84-48 64%
46 NFL Oracle 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 12 84-48 64%
19 Brian Miceli 8-5 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 14 83-49 63%
85 Brent Morgan 6-7 BUF BAL CAR NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 14 83-49 63%
19 Chris Fanick 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 14 83-49 63%
4 Johnny Biology 9-4 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS DAL OAK GB 14 83-49 63%
1 stella artois 10-3 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC IND PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 14 83-49 63%
46 Maddie Heliste 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 14 83-49 63%
19 Bob Nicholson 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 14 83-49 63%
19 Dillon Wolf 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 14 83-49 63%
46 Alexander Krantz 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 22 82-50 62%
85 Colley STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 22 82-50 62%
19 Douglas Dellmore 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC IND PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 22 82-50 62%
98 Ghost of Tony Romo 5-8 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 22 82-50 62%
4 PageRank STAT 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK GB 22 82-50 62%
4 Steven Hargis 9-4 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 22 82-50 62%
19 Sam Hyden 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 22 82-50 62%
4 Arastu Jahanbin 9-4 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 29 81-51 61%
46 Patrick Pringle 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 29 81-51 61%
4 Diana Riddle 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 29 81-37 69%
46 Josh Moczygemba 7-6 NYJ BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 29 81-51 61%
46 Valerie Schweers 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL OAK GB 29 81-51 61%
19 Bryan Fowler 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
85 Biased Voter STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 34 80-52 61%
46 Ben Newhouse 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
19 Clint Schroeder 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
19 Damon Bullis 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
46 Liza Southwick 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
4 Michele Johnson 9-4 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
19 Best OFF STAT 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
85 Oracle/Wins STAT 6-7 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 34 80-52 61%
4 Reese Murphy 9-4 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 34 80-52 61%
85 Brady Walker 6-7 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-52 60%
19 Craig Burton 8-5 NYJ BAL ATL LAR NO CIN IND PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 44 79-53 60%
4 Christina Cooley 9-4 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
4 David Wood 9-4 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Eric Suhler 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-52 60%
46 Harry Wallace 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Jordan Bethea 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 44 79-53 60%
1 Michael Dennis 10-3 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
19 OFF Yds STAT 8-5 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO JAC IND PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Ryan Reynolds 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
46 Keller Murphey 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 44 79-53 60%
85 Deven Nongbri 6-7 NYJ BAL ATL NYG NO CIN IND PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 55 78-54 59%
4 Dylan Holland 9-4 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
19 Jim Freeman 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 55 78-54 59%
85 Jeremy Lynch 6-7 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC MIA DET 55 78-54 59%
46 Liam Crawley 7-6 NYJ TEN ATL NYG NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 55 78-54 59%
19 Kevin Davis 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
19 Tim Ward 8-5 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
46 Tim O’Sullivan 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC MIA DET 55 78-54 59%
46 Dylan Hendel 7-6 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 55 78-54 59%
19 Tanner Kohfield 8-5 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 64 77-41 65%
46 Susan Coker 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 64 77-55 58%
85 Davis King 6-7 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK GB 66 76-56 58%
98 Enrique Alcoreza 5-8 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 66 76-56 58%
46 Ryan Gray 7-6 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 66 76-56 58%
46 Matt Sidhom 7-6 BUF TEN CAR NYG NO JAC HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL MIA DET 66 76-56 58%
46 Mitchell Kight 7-6 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 70 75-57 57%
19 Shawn Sunday 8-5 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL OAK DET 70 75-56 57%
46 Tom Tegtmeyer 7-6 BUF TEN CAR NYG NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA DAL MIA DET 70 75-57 57%
46 WinPct STAT 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 70 75-57 57%
19 Adam Mueller 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 74 74-42 64%
104 Hugh Daschbach 4-9 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI SF SEA KC MIA DET 74 74-58 56%
46 Rebecca Cook 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 76 73-59 55%
46 Les Bleamaster 7-6 BUF BAL CAR NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI WAS DAL MIA DET 76 73-59 55%
46 Best DEF STAT 7-6 NYJ TEN ATL NYG TB CIN IND DEN SF WAS DAL OAK DET 78 72-60 55%
46 Joshua Adame 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 78 72-47 61%
19 Jacob Tingle 8-5 NYJ TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 78 72-44 62%
19 Rick McMullen 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 78 72-60 55%
46 Kipp Smithers 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI SF WAS KC OAK DET 82 71-46 61%
104 Dale Cochran 4-9 BUF BAL ATL LAR TB CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 82 71-61 54%
19 Finlay McCracken 8-5 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK GB 82 71-61 54%
46 Joshua Hernandez 7-6 BUF BAL CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 82 71-48 60%
98 Mary Love 5-8 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 82 71-61 54%
1 Braxton Bartlett 10-3 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI WAS KC OAK DET 87 70-46 60%
46 DEF Yds STAT 7-6 NYJ TEN ATL LAR TB JAC HOU PHI SF WAS KC OAK GB 87 70-62 53%
98 Heather H. Smith 5-8 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA DAL MIA GB 87 70-62 53%
46 Daniel Dahlinger 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU DEN SF SEA KC OAK DET 90 68-49 58%
46 TD Gunslinger 7-6 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK GB 90 68-64 52%
85 Callum Squires 6-7 BUF TEN CAR LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA GB 92 67-49 58%
85 Taylor Stakes 6-7 BUF TEN ATL LAR TB CIN HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK DET 92 67-51 57%
19 Suzy Gray 8-5 NYJ TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 94 66-36 65%
85 Britni Ridolfi 6-7 BUF BAL ATL LAR NO CIN IND DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 95 65-67 49%
46 Manny Gonzalez 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR TB JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 95 65-51 56%
46 Jack Wisniewski 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK GB 97 62-43 59%
98 Nicole Fratto 5-8 NYJ BAL CAR NYG NO CIN HOU DEN SF SEA DAL OAK GB 98 59-58 50%
46 DARRIN Harzewski 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO CIN HOU PHI ARI SEA KC OAK DET 99 50-38 57%
85 Janie Childers 6-7 BUF TEN ATL NYG NO JAC HOU DEN SF WAS DAL OAK GB 100 46-43 52%
19 Paul Willstrop 8-5 BUF TEN CAR LAR NO JAC HOU PHI SF SEA KC OAK DET 101 27-13 68%
46 Jeff Beneski 7-6 NYJ TEN CAR LAR TB CIN HOU DEN ARI SEA DAL OAK GB 102 26-19 58%
46 Devon Wright 7-6 BUF TEN ATL LAR NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 103 15-14 52%
98 Clyde Sikes 5-8 NYJ TEN ATL NYG TB JAC HOU DEN SF SEA DAL MIA DET 104 13-16 45%
46 J Mart 7-6 BUF TEN CAR NYG NO JAC HOU PHI ARI SEA KC MIA DET 105 7-6 54%

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Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 09 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 9

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 09

It was another strong week for Oracle, compiling a 10-3 record during Week 8 of the 2017 NFL season, giving Oracle a 75% success rate over the past two weeks combined. As always, the numbers provide incredible insight, but we also use them as a stepping stone to look beyond the data. In that spirit, the three games Oracle picked incorrectly had confidence levels of 50%, 52%, and 54% respectively (rounding to the nearest whole). Of those three, two were tightly-played contests as the (10) Seattle Seahawks won by three and the (12) Atlanta Falcons won by five, the lone exception being the (8) Buffalo Bills stampeding to a 20-point margin of victory. With that said, take a look at a new aspect of NFL Oracle, now that we’ve passed the midpoint in the 2017 season. In the following chart, you will still see how each team is trending, just as you were able to before. However, Oracle has now expanded to include Postseason Chances, compiling advanced data to make educated guesses on the number of expected wins per team by season’s end, the chances of each team making the playoffs, the chances of each team winning their respective division, the odds of securing the 1st round bye in the AFC or NFC, and, perhaps the source of most intrigue, the odds of each teach making the Super Bowl.

NFL Oracle Postseason Chances – Week 9

Rk Team Rk Change Exp. Wins Playoffs Chance Division 1st Round Bye Super Bowl
1 KC 1 11.2 95.4% 92.3% 53.8% 15.3%
2 PHI 1 11.9 97.3% 90.2% 68.4% 13.8%
3 PIT 2 11.2 95.6% 87.3% 58.2% 8.5%
4 NE 10.9 90.4% 66.6% 39.7% 4.4%
5 MIN 2 10.9 89.4% 81.5% 38.5% 7.9%
6 NO 10.5 84.2% 67.2% 26.8% 4.6%
7 CAR 1 9.6 55.8% 25.3% 6.8% 1.3%
8 BUF 2 9.6 70.7% 29.3% 15.2% 2.1%
9 LAR 2 10.9 86.8% 60.7% 36.1% 16.7%
10 SEA 6 10.0 68.8% 38.2% 15.2% 2.4%
11 GB 8.7 35.0% 13.0% 2.7% 0.7%
12 ATL 5 7.7 20.0% 7.2% 1.7% 0.4%
13 MIA 4 7.5 16.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
14 JAC 2 9.8 79.3% 66.1% 21.3% 16.2%
15 BAL 9 8.9 57.2% 12.0% 5.5% 2.4%
16 TEN 3 8.4 33.2% 21.4% 2.6% 0.7%
17 CHI 2 7.3 6.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
18 OAK 4 7.0 8.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1%
19 DAL 7 8.7 36.2% 9.4% 3.3% 0.9%
20 DEN 2 7.6 18.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.3%
21 DET 1 7.0 6.9% 3.3% 0.2% 0.1%
22 NYJ 3 6.1 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
23 WAS 1 7.3 9.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
24 LAC 3 6.4 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
25 HOU 2 7.6 22.5% 12.3% 0.9% 0.4%
26 CIN 1 6.4 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
27 ARI 2 6.4 2.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
28 TB 5.2 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
29 IND 4.8 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
30 NYG 4.8 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
31 CLE 2.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
32 SF 2.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

The game of leapfrog continues between (1) Kansas City Chiefs and (2) Philadelphia Eagles. Although both teams defended their home field last week, if one were to pick the more likely upset, it would have hands-down been (18) Denver Broncos over the Chiefs, as opposed to (32) San Francisco 49ers over the Eagles. Following that line of reasoning, the Chiefs were able to muscle the (1) rank from the Eagles…for now.

As noted above, this is where things take on a whole new level of fun in the NFL season and predictive methods. Looking at the chart above, Oracle anticipates the division winners to be as follows: (4) New England Patriots – AFC East, (1) Kansas City Chiefs – AFC West, (3) Pittsburgh Steelers – AFC North, (14) Jacksonville Jaguars – AFC South, (2) Philadelphia Eagles – NFC East, (9) Los Angeles Rams – NFC West, (5) Minnesota Vikings – NFC North, and (6) New Orleans Saints – NFC South. Of those projected Division Champions, the Rams face the strongest competition in-division, as they have a 22.5% cushion over the (10) Seattle Seahawks, certainly a substantial lead, but by no means should the Rams feel comfortable enough to grow complacent. The next tier of teams currently in position to claim the two wild card berths per conference are the (8) Buffalo Bills at 70.7% and (15) Baltimore Ravens at 57.2% from the AFC, with the Seahawks at 68.8% and (7) Carolina Panthers at 55.8% representing the NFC side of the equation. As you can see, there is another drop-off beyond these four teams, as the next best team in terms of Playoffs Chance is the (19) Dallas Cowboys at 36.2%. Using the Cowboys as an example, with Ezekiel Elliott’s on-again off-again suspension now leaning heavily towards “on,” Dallas is still in the hunt and remains a viable threat in the NFC for one of those wild card spots, but the odds are not in their favor to do much more than that.

From there, the Eagles and Steelers are the favorites for the NFC and AFC first round byes, respectively, but don’t take that to mean they have a cakewalk to the Super Bowl. On the contrary, and somewhat surprisingly at first glance, neither team has the strongest projection within their conference to even make the Super Bowl. That glory belongs to the Rams and Jaguars as things currently stand. On paper, the Eagles and Steelers have been better than both the Rams and Jaguars, and both of the prior two teams are projected to get at least one, if not two, more wins during the regular season than either of the latter two teams, but Oracle takes more than just wins and losses into account; it is when considering strength of schedule through the remainder of the season, as well as relative home field advantage and momentum, that both the Rams and Jaguars earn those extra percentage points in this preliminary projection of the playoff picture.

Take a minute to think how crazy a Rams-Jaguars Super Bowl would be…there’s absolutely a long way for both teams to go before that could even happen, but that doesn’t mean we can’t have fun imagining that match-up. In 2016, the Jaguars finished 3-13, the Rams only one game better. In 2017, both teams have a chance to finish with 10 wins, win their divisions outright, and make the Super Bowl. Both teams drafted high in recent years for a franchise quarterback, but neither has necessarily taken off. Both teams have run-first offenses behind workhorses Todd Gurley for Los Angeles and rookie Leonard Fournette for Jacksonville. Both teams have stellar defenses that can keep any opponent within reach or make any lead feel relatively safe. To emphasize yet again, there’s still a lot of football left to be played, and hopefully injuries are not a factor in how any of those games turn out, just don’t sleep on either of these two teams.

Now that we’ve had our fun, back to reality for the Week 9 predictions.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 09

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Nov 02 2017(8) BUF @ (22) NYJ(8) BUF60.52%
Sun Nov 05 2017(26) CIN @ (14) JAC(14) JAC72.48%
Sun Nov 05 2017(29) IND @ (25) HOU(25) HOU77.61%
Sun Nov 05 2017(15) BAL @ (16) TEN(15) BAL56.91%
Sun Nov 05 2017(20) DEN @ (2) PHI(2) PHI63.31%
Sun Nov 05 2017(12) ATL @ (7) CAR(7) CAR57.25%
Sun Nov 05 2017(28) TB @ (6) NO(6) NO70.02%
Sun Nov 05 2017(9) LAR @ (30) NYG(9) LAR76.68%
Sun Nov 05 2017(23) WAS @ (10) SEA(10) SEA60.39%
Sun Nov 05 2017(27) ARI @ (32) SF(27) ARI63.13%
Sun Nov 05 2017(1) KC @ (19) DAL(1) KC56.80%
Sun Nov 05 2017(18) OAK @ (13) MIA(18) OAK57.83%
Mon Nov 06 2017(21) DET @ (11) GB(11) GB55.53%

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

We hate to pick on one team in particular, but until given a reason not to, the chances are high that the (31) Cleveland Browns will be on the receiving end of our sure-fire picks (give or take). Last week, the (5) Minnesota Vikings and Browns met up across the Atlantic in London, with a closely-played game through the first half. That would prove to be as long as the Browns could keep things tight, as the Vikings pulled away late for a 33-16 victory, backing up Oracle’s 85% confidence level in that outcome.

This week, there isn’t necessarily an anticipated blowout, but the (25) Houston Texans and their revolutionized offense nearly has a 78% confidence level from Oracle in beating the (29) Indianapolis Colts. That being said, there has been a very recent development that budding star Deshaun Watson, who seized the helm of the Texans offense at the start of the season, tore his ACL during practice this week, eliminating any shot of him playing in the Colts match-up, let alone the rest of the season. Oracle’s projection was made prior to this devastating injury, so it will be interesting to see how the Texans offense responds in the wake of this news.

Flip a coin

The flip a coin match-up for Week 8 came down to the unconvincing (12) Atlanta Falcons against the slightly-surprising (22) New York Jets, Oracle favoring the Jets with a compelling 50.18% confidence level. Unfortunately, Oracle was 0.19% in the wrong direction, as the Falcons managed to scrape out a 25-20 win despite poor conditions. The game remained close into the fourth quarter, until Matt Ryan connected with wide receiver Mohamed Sanu early in the fourth to take a lead the Falcons would not relinquish, with both teams exchanging cancelling field goals late in the game.

For Week 9, the closest we can come to a nail biter confidence-wise is the (21) Detroit Lions against the (11) Green Bay Packers, the Pack holding a 5.53% advantage. Even though Green Bay is without star quarterback Aaron Rodgers, they still have the benefit of playing at home and coming off a bye, whereas the Lions recently suffered a tough loss to the Steelers.

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

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Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 9

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 10

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 10 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma Washington State

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

Ladies and gentlemen, there have been some interesting developments within the Pac-12 and Big 12, respectively, that have had implications towards both Valero Alamo Bowl Projections.

Kicking off Week 9, (30) Stanford came back from a five-point deficit heading into the fourth quarter to ultimately squeeze out a 15-14 win against (126) Oregon State, too close for comfort for the Cardinals. The win proved to be incredibly important as it kept Stanford atop the Pac-12 North with their 5-1 conference record, half a game ahead of (15) Washington in-conference following the Huskies handling of the struggling (60) UCLA Bruins, surging in the second and third quarters for a 44-23 win. A look across the standings to the Pac-12 South, and things look eerily similar: (9) Southern California’s anticipated decimation of (55) Arizona State kept the Trojans at one loss in-conference. Just as (15) Washington fought to stay on (30) Stanford’s heels, so too did (26) Arizona with their fierce battle with (11) Washington State, winning by a comfortable margin with the final score of 58-37. For their part, the Cougars loss in this game may not be the worst thing, as it has made them the new Oracle projection for the Valero Alamo Bowl, courtesy of their 4-2 conference record and the uphill climb they face as they try to remain a threat for the Pac-12 title.

Turning our attention to the Big 12, (17) Oklahoma State took care of business just as they needed to, besting (64) West Virginia 50-39. Like their in-state rival, (16) Oklahoma also did what was necessary as they served (67) Texas Tech a 49-27 loss. However, a low-scoring performance between (12) Texas Christian and (18) Iowa State that ended in a 14-7 win for the Cyclones just made the top of the Big 12 standings significantly more heated: between (12) Texas Christian, (16) Oklahoma, (17) Oklahoma State, and (18) Iowa State, there are now four Big 12 teams that are 4-1 in-conference, with all but (18) Iowa State boasting a 7-1 record overall.

It will be intriguing to see how things continue to play out in Week 10 of the 2017 NCAAF season. (30) Stanford will travel north to tackle (11) Washington State; (15) Washington will play host to the floundering (41) Oregon Ducks; and (9) Southern California will duke it out in a clash of the titans with (26) Arizona, the Wildcats looking to usurp the Trojans by dismantling their undefeated start at home. There is guaranteed movement to be expected in the Big 12 next week, starting with another battle of the best between (16) Oklahoma and (17) Oklahoma State. As it stands, (16) Oklahoma is the odds-on favorite to make the Valero Alamo Bowl, but that’s subject to change depending on how this game turns out. Should things remain as they are, it could be exciting to see quarterback Baker Mayfield, number two on the ESPN Heisman Watch, lead (16) Oklahoma in the Valero Alamo Bowl. From the sidelines, (18) Iowa State and (12) Texas Christian will attempt to prolong (64) West Virginia’s and (73) Texas’ suffering, respectively.

Regardless of how things continue to unravel, one thing appears certain: the 2017 Valero Alamo Bowl is poised to be an epic showdown between two elite teams. Heading into Week 10, eight of the top-30 teams as ranked by Oracle belong to either the Pac-12 or Big 12!

NCAAF Oracle – Week 10

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Georgia(8-0) 1
2Alabama(8-0) 1
3Wisconsin(8-0) 3
4Clemson(7-1) 3
5Penn State(7-1) 2
6Notre Dame(7-1) 2
7Ohio State(7-1) 11
8San Diego State(7-2) 4
9Southern California(7-2) 4
10Central Florida(7-0) 1
11Washington State(7-2) 6
12Texas Christian(7-1) 8
13Memphis(7-1) 2
14Miami FL_(7-0)--
15Washington(7-1) 4
16Oklahoma(7-1) 4
17Oklahoma State(7-1) 4
18Iowa State(6-2) 12
19Boise State(6-2) 5
20Virginia Tech(7-1) 2
21Mississippi State(6-2) 12
22Michigan State(6-2) 12
23Toledo(7-1) 2
24North Carolina State(6-2) 9
25South Carolina(6-2) 3
26Arizona(6-2) 13
27Louisiana State(6-2) 11
28South Florida(7-0) 11
29Kentucky(6-2) 5
30Stanford(6-2) 4
31Troy(6-2)--
32Southern Methodist(6-2) 4
33Michigan(6-2) 4
34Auburn(6-2) 11
35Iowa(5-3) 12
36Boston College(5-4) 7
37Northern Illinois(6-2) 12
38Marshall(6-2) 11
39Wake Forest(5-3) 15
40Northwestern(5-3) 22
41Oregon(5-4) 16
42Texas A&M(5-3) 10
43North Texas(5-3) 10
44Colorado State(6-3) 15
45Army(6-2) 10
46Ohio(6-2) 6
47Navy(5-2) 6
48Florida Atlantic(5-3) 13
49Virginia(5-3) 11
50Fresno State(5-3) 8
51Alabama-Birmingham(5-3) 19
52Colorado(5-4) 13
53Florida International(5-2) 18
54Wyoming(5-3) 14
55Arizona State(4-4) 11
56Southern Mississippi(5-3) 10
57Syracuse(4-4) 7
58Akron(5-4) 11
59Western Michigan(5-3) 11
60UCLA(4-4) 9
61Louisville(5-4) 16
62Appalachian State(5-3) 7
63Houston(4-3) 7
64West Virginia(5-3) 12
65Arkansas State(5-2) 11
66Nebraska(4-4) 13
67Texas Tech(4-4) 8
68California(4-5) 10
69Maryland(4-4) 11
70Western Kentucky(5-3) 10
71Georgia Tech(4-3) 8
72Pittsburgh(4-5) 21
73Texas(4-4) 9
74Air Force(4-4) 22
75Utah(4-4) 9
76Central Michigan(4-4) 12
77Louisiana Tech(4-4)--
78Texas-San Antonio(5-2) 6
79Minnesota(4-4) 12
80Utah State(4-5) 7
81Duke(4-5) 9
82Georgia State(4-3) 16
83Florida(3-4) 9
84Purdue(3-5) 9
85Middle Tennessee State(3-5) 7
86Kansas State(4-4) 16
87South Alabama(3-5) 6
88Buffalo(3-6) 2
89Tulane(3-5) 6
90Tennessee(3-5) 2
91Nevada-Las Vegas(3-5) 23
92Mississippi(3-5) 7
93Idaho(3-5) 15
94Missouri(3-5) 17
95Rutgers(3-5) 8
96Arkansas(3-5) 13
97Miami OH_(3-5) 8
98Vanderbilt(3-5) 6
99New Mexico(3-5) 5
100Connecticut(3-5) 9
101Louisiana-Lafayette(3-4) 6
102Indiana(3-5) 12
103Temple(3-5) 4
104Louisiana-Monroe(3-5) 7
105Hawaii(3-5) 5
106New Mexico State(3-5) 5
107Florida State(2-5) 4
108Tulsa(2-7) 4
109Kent State(2-6) 3
110Ball State(2-6) 3
111Illinois(2-6) 6
112Massachusetts(2-6) 21
113East Carolina(2-6)--
114Eastern Michigan(2-6) 4
115Old Dominion(2-6)--
116Cincinnati(2-6) 4
117Texas State(2-6) 4
118Brigham Young(2-7) 8
119Charlotte(1-7) 3
120Bowling Green State(1-7) 4
121Nevada(1-7) 4
122San Jose State(1-8) 4
123Kansas(1-7) 3
124Coastal Carolina(1-7) 6
125North Carolina(1-8) 4
126Oregon State(1-7) 3
127Rice(1-7)--
128Georgia Southern(0-7)--
129Texas-El Paso(0-8)--
130Baylor(0-8)--

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 9 performances. The most notable moves are a mere (+1) and (-1), by no means extraordinary leaps. But it is the context of those moves that matters, as the (+1) represents the crowning of a new team atop the rankings in the form of (1) Georgia, while the bye-week victim (2) Alabama was forced to relinquish its throne…for now. Also, (7) Ohio State came roaring into the top-10 after an incredible comeback against (5) Penn State, helping the Buckeyes jump up in the rankings (+11).

Also worth noting is rankings (15) through (21) all have new faces thanks to positive trends, albeit some moved up from within that range. Meanwhile, rankings (10) through (13) have been shoulders to cry on for teams trending in the wrong direction. There are a lot of hungry teams that are fighting to break through and into the upper echelon of teams, and those four positions represent weakened prey to capitalize on.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 10

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Georgia 50% 3% 10% 15% 12% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Alabama 22% 24% 4% 3% 5% 8% 9% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Wisconsin 5% 16% 19% 11% 5% 7% 9% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Clemson 14% 23% 11% 2% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Penn State 5% 14% 16% 10% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
6 Notre Dame 3% 9% 14% 13% 8% 3% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 10% 7% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Ohio State 1% 7% 13% 14% 9% 4% 1% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0%
8 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3%
9 Southern California 0% 2% 6% 11% 13% 10% 5% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4%
10 Central Florida 0% 1% 3% 7% 12% 12% 9% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 9%
11 Washington State 0% 1% 3% 8% 13% 13% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 8% 7%
12 Texas Christian 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7%
13 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 7%
14 Miami FL_ 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 10% 11% 9% 6% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%
15 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3%
16 Oklahoma 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%
17 Oklahoma State 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
18 Iowa State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1%
19 Boise State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9%
20 Virginia Tech 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 5% 9% 11% 11% 7% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Each of the top-7 teams has a chance to steal the top ranking this week, although some are more legitimate than others. (1) Georgia has a 50% chance of retaining their position, while (2) Alabama would very much so like their top-spot returned (22%), and don’t sleep on (4) Clemson either (14%). The (1) Georgia Bulldogs will take on the (25) South Carolina Gamecocks, the Bulldogs fresh off a 42-7 obliteration of (83) Florida. (2) Alabama will see (27) Louisiana State, while (4) Clemson has (24) North Carolina State on the radar. A win for the Crimson Tide would realistically keep them in their current slot, at the very least (46%), and a win for the (4) Clemson Tigers would present a strong chance of moving into the top-3 (48%).

One of the more interesting teams in all of this is (8) San Diego State, a team that isn’t even listed among the AP ranked top-25. Still, the Aztecs have amassed a 7-2 record and are right in the thick of things with the big boys, according to Oracle. With that in mind, their fate is largely out of their hands, as they could land anywhere between (4) and (20) for Oracle, and that’s considering the fact that they are facing (122) San Jose State, a game that should be a walk in the park.

At the beginning of this article, we gave you some insight into the Pac-12 and Big 12 matchups. Looking at this chart, you can see that (16) Oklahoma and (17) Oklahoma State have virtually the same odds as one another, so this will prove to be a pivotal game in both the Big 12 and overall standings.

Have a great rest of the week and weekend.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

>>

Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 10

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 9

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 09 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma State Southern California

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

For those of you following, there has been some shake-up within the Big 12 and Pac-12 conferences, respectively, that has correspondingly affected the NCAAF Oracle projection for this year’s Valero Alamo Bowl participants. First, let’s give you the updated rankings:

NCAAF Oracle has the Big 12 rankings as follows: (4) Texas Christian, (20) Oklahoma, (21) Oklahoma State, (30) Iowa State, (52) West Virginia, (59) Texas Tech, (82) Texas, (102) Kansas State, (121) Kansas, and (130) Baylor. The only positional changes came with (52) West Virginia leapfrogging (59) Texas Tech, although the top-4 teams all moved up in the overall rankings.

NCAAF Oracle has the Pac-12 rankings as follows: (5) Washington State, (13) Southern California, (19) Washington, (26) Stanford, (39) Arizona, (44) Arizona State, (51) UCLA, (57) Oregon, (58) California, (65) Colorado, (66) Utah, and (124) Oregon State. The big move here is the changing of the guard between (5) Washington State and (13) Southern California, which we will return to momentarily.

(4) Texas Christian has remained resolute atop their conference standings, cushioning their lead with an unforgiving 43-0 domination of (121) Kansas, bringing their record to 7-0 overall and 4-0 in-conference. One week ago, the following three positions in the Big 12 standings appeared neck-and-neck. (20) Oklahoma, who had been the Oracle projection in Week 8, squeezed out a narrow win over (102) Kansas State, but so did (30) Iowa State and (21) Oklahoma State. Remove (30) Iowa State from consideration for the moment, as they are one game back of the two Oklahoma programs in terms of overall record. The difference-maker in determining why (21) Oklahoma State usurped (20) Oklahoma as the Valero Alamo Bowl Big 12 projection may be the fact that the prior is one game better than the latter on the road, something that should not be taken lightly.

Heading into Week 8, we knew (13) Southern California vs. (8) Notre Dame would prove to be a tall order for either team. As always, there’s good and bad news. Unlike last week, we’ll start with the bad news first. (8) Notre Dame pummeled (13) Southern California 49-14, justifying the positional changes for the victor (+14) and for the loser (-9). The good news that comes as a result of this, combined with the bye week for (19) Washington and the unrelenting surge of (5) Washington State, (13) Southern California is actually poised to represent the Pac-12 in the Valero Alamo Bowl. The Trojans are 5-0 at home and 6-2 overall, and they have a slightly favorable match-up against (44) Arizona State late on Saturday night. With other intriguing conference rivalries taking place this week for (5) Washington State vs. (39) Arizona and (19) Washington vs. (51) UCLA, don’t be surprised to see further movement within the Pac-12 standings that could keep (13) Southern California well-positioned for the Valero Alamo Bowl.

Should these two teams in (21) Oklahoma State and (13) Southern California make the 2017 Valero Alamo Bowl, one team would have a distinct advantage as far as familiarity with the San Antonio stage. Going back to 1997, Oklahoma State has appeared in this Bowl Game on four occasions, amassing a 2-2 record. Most recently, the Cowboys handled Colorado 38-8 in last year’s shootout. Meanwhile, the Valero Alamo Bowl would present a new challenge and experience for (13) Southern California, having never participated in this Bowl Game specifically, although the storied program has had its fair share of success in other Bowl Games.

NCAAF Oracle – Week 09

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Alabama(8-0)--
2Georgia(7-0)--
3Penn State(7-0) 3
4Texas Christian(7-0) 1
5Washington State(7-1) 3
6Wisconsin(7-0) 6
7Clemson(6-1) 4
8Notre Dame(6-1) 14
9Central Florida(6-0) 8
10Michigan State(6-1) 3
11Memphis(6-1) 4
12San Diego State(6-2) 5
13Southern California(6-2) 9
14Miami FL_(6-0) 2
15North Carolina State(6-1) 6
16Louisiana State(6-2) 4
17South Florida(7-0) 4
18Ohio State(6-1) 8
19Washington(6-1) 8
20Oklahoma(6-1) 6
21Oklahoma State(6-1) 8
22Virginia Tech(6-1) 6
23Auburn(6-2) 8
24Boise State(5-2) 8
25Toledo(6-1) 8
26Stanford(5-2) 12
27Marshall(6-1) 13
28South Carolina(5-2) 9
29Colorado State(6-2) 9
30Iowa State(5-2) 13
31Troy(5-2) 6
32Texas A&M(5-2) 14
33Mississippi State(5-2) 15
34Kentucky(5-2) 9
35Army(6-2) 4
36Southern Methodist(5-2) 8
37Michigan(5-2) 14
38Virginia(5-2) 14
39Arizona(5-2) 11
40Ohio(6-2) 7
41Navy(5-2) 14
42Fresno State(5-2) 20
43Boston College(4-4) 24
44Arizona State(4-3) 15
45Louisville(5-3) 8
46Southern Mississippi(5-2) 15
47Iowa(4-3) 17
48Western Michigan(5-3) 3
49Northern Illinois(5-2)--
50Syracuse(4-4) 15
51UCLA(4-3) 14
52West Virginia(5-2)--
53North Texas(4-3) 19
54Wake Forest(4-3) 8
55Appalachian State(5-2) 5
56Houston(4-3) 15
57Oregon(4-4) 21
58California(4-4) 16
59Texas Tech(4-3) 14
60Western Kentucky(5-2) 9
61Florida Atlantic(4-3) 21
62Northwestern(4-3) 22
63Georgia Tech(4-2) 26
64Central Michigan(4-4) 15
65Colorado(4-4) 8
66Utah(4-3) 10
67Minnesota(4-3) 13
68Wyoming(4-3) 10
69Akron(4-4) 15
70Alabama-Birmingham(4-3) 15
71Florida International(4-2) 7
72Duke(4-4) 6
73Utah State(4-4) 15
74Florida(3-3) 11
75Purdue(3-4) 4
76Arkansas State(4-2) 20
77Louisiana Tech(3-4) 2
78Middle Tennessee State(3-5) 10
79Nebraska(3-4) 5
80Maryland(3-4) 10
81South Alabama(3-4) 20
82Texas(3-4) 9
83Tulane(3-4) 11
84Texas-San Antonio(4-2) 13
85Mississippi(3-4) 7
86Buffalo(3-5) 9
87Rutgers(3-4) 16
88Tennessee(3-4) 3
89Miami OH_(3-5) 18
90Indiana(3-4) 14
91Connecticut(3-4) 15
92Vanderbilt(3-4) 11
93Pittsburgh(3-5) 18
94New Mexico(3-4) 11
95Louisiana-Lafayette(3-4) 9
96Air Force(3-4) 12
97Louisiana-Monroe(3-4) 10
98Georgia State(3-3) 8
99Temple(3-5) 6
100Hawaii(3-4) 5
101New Mexico State(3-4) 10
102Kansas State(3-4) 4
103Florida State(2-4) 11
104Tulsa(2-6) 10
105Illinois(2-5) 6
106Kent State(2-6) 4
107Ball State(2-5) 7
108Idaho(2-5) 3
109Arkansas(2-5) 5
110Eastern Michigan(2-5) 2
111Missouri(2-5) 12
112Cincinnati(2-6) 2
113East Carolina(2-6) 3
114Nevada-Las Vegas(2-5) 5
115Old Dominion(2-5) 2
116Charlotte(1-7) 19
117Bowling Green State(1-7) 1
118Nevada(1-7) 4
119San Jose State(1-7)--
120Texas State(1-6)--
121Kansas(1-6)--
122North Carolina(1-7) 6
123Brigham Young(1-7) 2
124Oregon State(1-6) 2
125Coastal Carolina(1-6) 1
126Massachusetts(1-6) 6
127Rice(1-6) 2
128Georgia Southern(0-6) 1
129Texas-El Paso(0-7) 1
130Baylor(0-7) 1

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 8 performances. Within the top-10, (8) Notre Dame was the biggest positive mover (+14) thanks to that blowout against (13) Southern California. The biggest negative move ended up being (7) Clemson (-4) through no fault of their own, but rather because of their bye week. Interestingly, with exception to (7) Clemson and the top-2 teams, all of the top-10 teams experienced a positive trend in the rankings.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 9

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Alabama 33% 44% 19% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Georgia 20% 20% 9% 7% 11% 13% 11% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Penn State 42% 7% 3% 4% 7% 10% 11% 9% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Texas Christian 3% 14% 21% 11% 1% 1% 4% 10% 13% 12% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Washington State 1% 9% 19% 15% 5% 1% 2% 6% 11% 13% 10% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Wisconsin 0% 2% 8% 15% 14% 9% 5% 6% 9% 10% 9% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Clemson 0% 2% 10% 17% 14% 6% 1% 0% 2% 7% 11% 13% 10% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Notre Dame 0% 1% 5% 12% 15% 11% 5% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 8% 7% 4% 3% 1%
9 Central Florida 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 10% 16% 18% 17% 13% 9% 5% 3%
10 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 8% 13% 13% 8% 4% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 6% 5% 3%
11 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 11% 12% 9% 5% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
12 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4%
13 Southern California 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 10% 14% 12% 6% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 7% 6% 4%
14 Miami FL_ 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 9% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3%
15 North Carolina State 0% 0% 3% 9% 14% 13% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5%
16 Louisiana State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 6%
17 South Florida 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9%
18 Ohio State 0% 0% 2% 5% 10% 13% 11% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4%
19 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 11% 12% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
20 Oklahoma 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 12% 11% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Taking a look at this table, you can see that there is a 95% chance the top-rank will belong to one of the currently-ranked top-3 teams. But look closer. (3) Penn State, set to square off with (18) Ohio State, has the strongest odds of taking the throne, with (1) Alabama and (2) Georgia having the next best odds, in that order. I guess the only way to remove Nick Saban from the top of the deck is to wait for (1) Alabama to have a bye week, because it certainly has seemed impossible to do so whenever they’ve taken the field.

Some of the highest potential for movement comes from (13) Southern California, (15) North Carolina State, and (18) Ohio State. (13) Southern California could end as high as (4) with a win, or as low as (20) with a loss. However, what is most likely is a finish between (6) and (8) with a win, as there is a 36% chance of them falling within that range. A loss on the other hand, and (13) Southern California will put their fate in the hands of other teams, explaining the fact that there is a wide array of possible rankings, with none particularly standing out in terms of likelihood. (15) North Carolina State could stamp their ticket into the top-10 with a win over (8) Notre Dame, a 36% chance they would land somewhere between (4) and (6). Unfortunately for them, (15) North Carolina State will have their hands full trying to stop a red-hot (8) Notre Dame team, so the same rules apply to them as does (13) Southern California should they lose. Then there is (18) Ohio State, preparing to clash with the revitalized (3) Penn State Nittany Lions. As of October 24, (3) Penn State running back Saquon Barkley was the hands-down favorite to win the Heisman, and you can be sure he and his team will be hungry to silence the Buckeyes in attempt to claim the (1) ranking. Doing so would likely knock (18) Ohio State out of the top-20, with only an unfavorable 10% chance they’d somehow stay within that window. That being said, should (18) Ohio State upset (3) Penn State, they could catapult themselves up to the (3) spot, although there’s only a 2% chance of that happening. Realistically, they would be positioned between (4) and (8), a much-more-likely 45% chance.

Lastly, (16) Louisiana State fans, you may as well as pack your bags now thanks to your team’s bye week, as it’s a near-certainty the Tigers will geaux outside the top-20.

Have a great rest of the week and weekend.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

>>

Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 9

2017 Challenge – Week 08 Results

44% 96% 50% 5% 3% 3% 15% 75% 55% 44% 73% 71% 8%
Concensus (13-0) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
56% 4% 50% 95% 97% 97% 85% 25% 45% 56% 27% 29% 92%
Week 8 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
6 Mark Montalbano 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 1 84-35 71%
6 Jonathan Prescott 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 2 80-39 67%
18 Jordan Bruce 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 3 79-40 66%
18 Massey STAT 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 3 79-40 66%
6 Chris DiPaolo 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 5 78-41 66%
6 Craig Mills 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 5 78-41 66%
18 Will Farner 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 5 78-41 66%
6 Brent Morgan 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
46 Keener STAT 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
1 Marc Goodrich 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
1 Ghost of Tony Romo 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
46 NFL Oracle 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
18 Chris Robinson 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 13 76-43 64%
18 Colley STAT 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 13 76-43 64%
18 Maddie Heliste 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 13 76-43 64%
18 Marie Lutz 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 13 76-43 64%
82 Tucker Morrow 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL DET KC 13 76-43 64%
6 Alexander Krantz 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT DEN 18 75-44 63%
46 Brian Miceli 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 18 75-44 63%
18 Chris Fanick 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS PIT KC 18 75-44 63%
71 Bob Nicholson 9-4 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 18 75-44 63%
6 Dillon Wolf 12-1 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 18 75-44 63%
46 Biased Voter STAT 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
82 Patrick Pringle 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI LAC CIN ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 23 74-45 62%
82 Douglas Dellmore 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
71 Jesse Gamble 9-4 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS DET DEN 23 74-45 62%
46 Johnny Biology 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
1 Josh Moczygemba 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
18 Oracle/Wins STAT 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
18 Sam Hyden 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
46 Valerie Schweers 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
6 Ben Newhouse 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
18 Brady Walker 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 32 73-45 62%
46 Liza Southwick 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
71 stella artois 9-4 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
71 PageRank STAT 9-4 MIA MIN OAK CHI PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
71 Steven Hargis 9-4 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 32 73-46 61%
18 Arastu Jahanbin 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE IND ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Bryan Fowler 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Clint Schroeder 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Damon Bullis 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
71 Deven Nongbri 9-4 BAL CLE OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
6 Diana Riddle 12-1 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-33 69%
46 Eric Suhler 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS DET KC 38 72-46 61%
6 Harry Wallace 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
6 Jordan Bethea 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
46 Jeremy Lynch 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU WAS PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
46 Kevin McIntyre 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
82 Best OFF STAT 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 38 72-47 61%
82 Ryan Reynolds 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU WAS PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Keller Murphey 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
46 Craig Burton 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI LAC CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Enrique Alcoreza 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Rick Hover 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 52 71-48 60%
18 Liam Crawley 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Michele Johnson 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
71 OFF Yds STAT 9-4 BAL CLE OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Reese Murphy 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
1 Tim O’Sullivan 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
18 Dylan Hendel 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL DET KC 52 71-48 60%
6 Christina Cooley 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
18 Davis King 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 David Wood 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL DET KC 61 70-49 59%
71 Hugh Daschbach 9-4 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI LAC CIN NYJ CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 Jim Freeman 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
18 Matthew Jones 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
18 Kevin Davis 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 Susan Coker 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 Tim Ward 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL DET KC 61 70-49 59%
82 Dylan Holland 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO SF NE IND ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT DEN 70 69-50 58%
46 Tanner Kohfield 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 70 69-36 66%
18 Michael Dennis 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS PIT KC 70 69-50 58%
82 Ryan Gray 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 70 69-50 58%
1 Matt Sidhom 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 70 69-50 58%
71 Mitchell Kight 9-4 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT KC 75 68-51 57%
18 Tom Tegtmeyer 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 75 68-51 57%
18 WinPct STAT 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 75 68-51 57%
82 Dale Cochran 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL CAR HOU DAL DET KC 78 67-52 56%
46 Shawn Sunday 10-2 MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 78 67-51 57%
82 Tessa Uviedo 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 78 67-50 57%
18 Adam Mueller 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS DET KC 81 66-37 64%
82 Rebecca Cook 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 81 66-53 55%
71 Les Bleamaster 9-4 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT KC 81 66-53 55%
99 Mary Love 7-6 MIA MIN OAK CHI PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS DET KC 81 66-53 55%
104 Best DEF STAT 4-9 BAL CLE OAK NO SF NE IND NYJ TB HOU WAS DET KC 85 65-54 55%
99 Heather H. Smith 7-6 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND NYJ TB SEA DAL DET DEN 85 65-54 55%
82 Kipp Smithers 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA WAS PIT DEN 87 64-40 62%
18 Jacob Tingle 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 87 64-39 62%
82 Rick McMullen 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT DEN 87 64-55 54%
103 DEF Yds STAT 5-8 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND NYJ TB HOU WAS DET KC 90 63-56 53%
101 Finlay McCracken 6-7 MIA CLE BUF CHI PHI NE IND NYJ CAR SEA WAS DET KC 90 63-56 53%
82 Callum Squires 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU WAS PIT KC 92 61-42 59%
46 Daniel Dahlinger 10-3 BAL MIN BUF CHI PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 92 61-43 59%
46 TD Gunslinger 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 92 61-58 51%
46 Taylor Stakes 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 92 61-44 58%
18 Braxton Bartlett 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 96 60-43 58%
82 Britni Ridolfi 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO SF NE IND ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT DEN 97 59-60 50%
82 Manny Gonzalez 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 98 58-45 56%
18 Suzy Gray 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 98 58-31 65%
101 Nicole Fratto 6-7 MIA MIN OAK CHI PHI NE IND NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT DEN 100 54-50 52%
46 Ben Nunes 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 101 45-29 61%
82 Doug Saegesser 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU WAS PIT KC 102 44-43 51%
71 Paul Willstrop 9-4 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL DET KC 103 19-8 70%
82 Samantha Gonzalez 8-4 MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT KC 104 8-4 67%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.
>>

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 08 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 8

Hopefully you had as much success predicting outcomes as Oracle did, or for that matter any of the other six predictive methods displayed at the end of this post; if yes, then at the bare minimum you were 11-4 for Week 7 of the 2017 NFL season. So, we’ll go ahead and get that dirt off our shoulder at Oracle, and feel free to do the same if you’re feeling like a boss. Now, a look at how teams are trending heading into Week 8 before we try to provide you with an encore of successful Week 8 predictions.

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 08

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Philadelphia Eagles(6-1) 1
2Kansas City Chiefs(5-2) 1
3Minnesota Vikings(5-2)--
4New England Patriots(5-2) 1
5Pittsburgh Steelers(5-2) 1
6New Orleans Saints(4-2) 3
7Los Angeles Rams(5-2) 1
8Carolina Panthers(4-3) 2
9Miami Dolphins(4-2) 4
10Buffalo Bills(4-2)--
11Green Bay Packers(4-3) 4
12Jacksonville Jaguars(4-3) 1
13Tennessee Titans(4-3) 2
14Oakland Raiders(3-4) 10
15Chicago Bears(3-4) 8
16Seattle Seahawks(4-2) 4
17Atlanta Falcons(3-3) 5
18Denver Broncos(3-3) 1
19New York Jets(3-4) 3
20Detroit Lions(3-3) 6
21Los Angeles Chargers(3-4) 7
22Washington Redskins(3-3) 4
23Houston Texans(3-3) 4
24Baltimore Ravens(3-4) 3
25Arizona Cardinals(3-4) 3
26Dallas Cowboys(3-3)--
27Cincinnati Bengals(2-4) 2
28Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-4) 1
29Indianapolis Colts(2-5)--
30New York Giants(1-6)--
31Cleveland Browns(0-7)--
32San Francisco 49ers(0-7)--

The combination of (2) Kansas City Chiefs losing a nail-biter to (14) Oakland Raiders and the (1) Philadelphia Eagles pulling out an exciting Monday Night Football victory over (23) Washington Redskins has presented us with a new leader, the Eagles soaring above the Chiefs, who still stood their ground and only fell one rank. A byproduct of that nail-biter loss for the Chiefs is that the Raiders became our biggest mover (+10) for Week 8, despite their losing record and the lacking presence of their young star quarterback, Derek Carr.

No one team had such a significant move in the opposite direction, although the (20) Detroit Lions gave it their best shot, free falling (-6) due to the week off along with positive trends by other previously-similarly-ranked teams.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 08

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Oct 26 2017(9) MIA @ (24) BAL(24) BAL56.83%
Sun Oct 29 2017(3) MIN @ (31) CLE(3) MIN84.68%
Sun Oct 29 2017(29) IND @ (27) CIN(27) CIN67.89%
Sun Oct 29 2017(14) OAK @ (10) BUF(14) OAK53.32%
Sun Oct 29 2017(8) CAR @ (28) TB(8) CAR59.50%
Sun Oct 29 2017(17) ATL @ (19) NYJ(19) NYJ50.18%
Sun Oct 29 2017(21) LAC @ (4) NE(4) NE62.08%
Sun Oct 29 2017(32) SF @ (1) PHI(1) PHI84.76%
Sun Oct 29 2017(15) CHI @ (6) NO(6) NO61.70%
Sun Oct 29 2017(23) HOU @ (16) SEA(23) HOU51.34%
Sun Oct 29 2017(26) DAL @ (22) WAS(26) DAL54.37%
Sun Oct 29 2017(5) PIT @ (20) DET(5) PIT62.31%
Mon Oct 30 2017(18) DEN @ (2) KC(2) KC60.92%

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

For Week 7, we gave you two sure-fire picks (give or take), predicting with confidence that (12) Jacksonville Jaguars and (15) Tennessee Titans would take care of business against (29) Indianapolis Colts and (31) Cleveland Browns, respectively. The Jaguars had no trouble making that prediction appear, well, sure-fire, trouncing the division-rival Colts 27-0. The Titans, on the other hand, represented more of the “give or take” component of the equation, requiring overtime to beat the winless Browns by an unconvincing score of 12-9. Keep in mind that the confidence levels when making predictions over the outcomes of games has no direct bearing on what the spread might be, so a win is a win, and the Titans (barely) delivered.

This week, there is one game in particular we want to focus on. It is with 85% certainty that Oracle predicts the Browns to, you guessed it, go another week without earning a win. Such a shocking prediction is aided by the fact that the (3) Minnesota Vikings will be the lucky team heading to Cleveland. Be warned though, one week ago the Browns nearly escaped with a win against the once-believed-to-be dominant Titans.

Flip a coin

There were six NFL games with confidence levels in the 50th percentile last week, but we gave you two specifically to flip a coin on: (6) New Orleans Saints @ (11) Green Bay Packers and (17) Atlanta Falcons @ (4) New England Patriots. Here is where we will pay attention to the score of the each game. Oracle did give the Saints the edge, and they backed that prediction up, beating the Packers 26-17 in Wisconsin, taking advantage of the young back-up starting in place of the injured Aaron Rodgers. As for the Patriots, they also supported the Oracle prediction, besting the Falcons 23-7 in the rematch of last year’s epic Super Bowl.

For week 8, there are once again six NFL games with confidence levels in the 50th percentile. However, we’ll simply select one of these match-ups: (17) Atlanta Falcons @ (19) New York Jets. Who would’ve thought the former NFC Champions, with the former MVP as their quarterback, would only have a 50.18% confidence level over the Jets!?! Upon further evaluation though, you can see that the Jets scored more points in their last game than the Falcons have in their last two games combined. On paper, it seems relatively easy to choose the Falcons over the Jets, but things become slightly less clear with the way Atlanta has played since Week 3.

The NFL Oracle was 11-4 (73.33%) during week 7. Here is how we did predicting each game:

[62.32%]: (1) Kansas City Chiefs 30 @ (24) Oakland Raiders 31
[56.72%]: (27) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 @ (10) Buffalo Bills 30
[55.30%]: (16) New York Jets 28 @ (13) Miami Dolphins 31
[84.64%]: (11) Jacksonville Jaguars 27 @ (29) Indianapolis Colts 0
[83.08%]: (15) Tennessee Titans 12 @ (31) Cleveland Browns 9
[54.01%]: (21) Baltimore Ravens 16 @ (3) Minnesota Vikings 24
[73.07%]: (22) Arizona Cardinals 0 @ (8) Los Angeles Rams 33
[61.72%]: (6) Carolina Panthers 3 @ (23) Chicago Bears 17
[54.48%]: (9) New Orleans Saints 26 @ (7) Green Bay Packers 17
[74.57%]: (26) Dallas Cowboys 40 @ (32) San Francisco 49ers 10
[66.45%]: (17) Denver Broncos 0 @ (28) Los Angeles Chargers 21
[63.77%]: (25) Cincinnati Bengals 14 @ (4) Pittsburgh Steelers 29
[63.31%]: (20) Seattle Seahawks 24 @ (30) New York Giants 7
[58.94%]: (12) Atlanta Falcons 7 @ (5) New England Patriots 23
[59.68%]: (18) Washington Redskins 24 @ (2) Philadelphia Eagles 34

This article started by praising Oracle for a fine performance during Week 7, but don’t think that will prevent us from breaking down how Oracle could have reasonably done even better. First, the Chiefs were favored over the Raiders with a decent level of confidence, and the game was ultimately decided by just one point. Second, the way the Jets offense has been playing, and the way the Dolphins team has been playing, who would’ve thought back-up quarterback Matt Moore would relieve Jay Cutler and bring his team back for 17 unanswered points? Third, the Panthers had been looking as if they were returning to their Super Bowl-caliber form, but two 75+ yard defensive touchdowns for the Bears allowed rookie Mitchell Trubisky to only attempt seven passes all game and still beat Carolina 17-3. Fourth…we’ve got nothing for the Broncos, y’all just choked. I’ll settle for 14-1.

>> Newsletter_NFL_Comparison

Win % Massey Colley Biased Voter Keener PageRank NFL Oracle
KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF
MIA NYJ MIA MIA NYJ NYJ NYJ
JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC
TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN
MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN
LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR
CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR CHI CAR
GB NO NO NO NO NO NO
DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL
DEN DEN DEN LAC LAC DEN DEN
PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT
SEA SEA SEA SEA NYG SEA SEA
NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI
11-4 11-4 12-3 13-2 11-4 12-3 11-4

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

Do you think you can pick NFL games better than the NFL Oracle?

See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 8

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 8

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 08 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma Washington

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

NCAAF Oracle has the Big 12 rankings as follows: (5) Texas Christian, (26) Oklahoma, (29) Oklahoma State, (43) Iowa State, (45) Texas Tech, (52) West Virginia, (73) Texas, (98) Kansas State, (119) Kansas, and (127) Baylor.

NCAAF Oracle has the Pac-12 rankings as follows: (4) Southern California, (8) Washington State, (11) Washington, (14) Stanford, (36) Oregon, (42) California, (50) Arizona, (56) Utah, (57) Colorado, (59) Arizona State, (65) UCLA, and (123) Oregon State.

As far as the Week 8 schedule goes, (26) Oklahoma has a conference match-up against (98) Kansas State while (5) Texas Christian is set for a conference match-up as well against (119) Kansas. This presents (5) Texas Christian an opportunity to remain undefeated overall and in-conference, helping to secure their positioning in advance of the College Football Playoffs and Bowl Games. Likewise, (26) Oklahoma has a chance to stay one game behind (5) Texas Christian in-conference, making them a strong projection for the Valero Alamo Bowl.

On the Pac-12 side of things, (4) Southern California is tied with (8) Washington State and (11) Washington for the best record in-conference at 6-1 overall, but (4) Southern California has the edge with a half game lead for best record in-conference at 4-1 to the two Washington teams’ 3-1 mark. (4) South California is safe from any movement in-conference this week, although their overall record may take a hit depending on how their game against Notre Dame plays out. (8) Washington State does have a conference game this week against (57) Colorado so, barring an upset, they will move into a tie for first with a 4-1 record in-conference. As it stands, this is a tight race atop the Pac-12, but the bye week for (11) Washington makes them a favorable projection to meet (26) Oklahoma in the Valero Alamo Bowl.

(11) Washington has only had one appearance in the Valero Alamo Bowl, coming back in 2011 in an epic offensive performance that even the 2016 TCU vs. Oregon match-up couldn’t surpass, with Baylor outlasting Washington 67-56. In the other corner, (26) Oklahoma has never appeared in the Valero Alamo Bowl. For those of you unfamiliar with that wild 2016 Valero Alamo Bowl showdown, take a look at the breakdown of that game compared to games in prior years, as well as compared to other Bowl Games

NCAAF Oracle – Week 08

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Alabama(7-0) 2
2Georgia(7-0)--
3Clemson(6-1) 2
4Southern California(6-1) 4
5Texas Christian(6-0) 4
6Penn State(6-0) 1
7San Diego State(6-1) 1
8Washington State(6-1) 4
9North Carolina State(6-1) 1
10Ohio State(6-1) 1
11Washington(6-1) 4
12Wisconsin(6-0) 2
13Michigan State(5-1) 3
14Stanford(5-2) 9
15Memphis(5-1) 17
16Miami FL_(5-0) 10
17Central Florida(5-0) 3
18Texas A&M(5-2) 7
19South Carolina(5-2) 3
20Louisiana State(5-2) 13
21South Florida(6-0)--
22Notre Dame(5-1) 10
23Michigan(5-1) 1
24Virginia(5-1) 7
25Kentucky(5-1) 12
26Oklahoma(5-1) 9
27Navy(5-1) 12
28Virginia Tech(5-1) 11
29Oklahoma State(5-1) 8
30Iowa(4-2) 11
31Auburn(5-2) 13
32Boise State(4-2) 18
33Toledo(5-1) 10
34North Texas(4-2) 18
35Syracuse(4-3) 25
36Oregon(4-3) 7
37Troy(4-2) 7
38Colorado State(5-2) 4
39Army(5-2) 5
40Marshall(5-1) 5
41Houston(4-2) 13
42California(4-3) 29
43Iowa State(4-2) 5
44Southern Methodist(4-2) 8
45Texas Tech(4-2) 18
46Wake Forest(4-2) 12
47Ohio(5-2)--
48Mississippi State(4-2) 6
49Northern Illinois(4-2) 18
50Arizona(4-2) 22
51Western Michigan(4-3) 13
52West Virginia(4-2) 28
53Louisville(4-3) 14
54Akron(4-3) 25
55Alabama-Birmingham(4-2) 20
56Utah(4-2) 15
57Colorado(4-3) 7
58Wyoming(4-2) 20
59Arizona State(3-3) 30
60Appalachian State(4-2) 14
61Southern Mississippi(4-2) 5
62Fresno State(4-2) 19
63Florida(3-3) 23
64Florida International(4-2) 21
65UCLA(3-3) 14
66Duke(4-3) 20
67Boston College(3-4) 21
68Middle Tennessee State(3-4) 11
69Western Kentucky(4-2) 14
70Maryland(3-3) 21
71Purdue(3-3) 18
72Tulane(3-3) 7
73Texas(3-3) 18
74Nebraska(3-4) 13
75Louisiana Tech(3-3) 5
76Indiana(3-3) 13
77Buffalo(3-4) 9
78Mississippi(3-3) 21
79Central Michigan(3-4) 17
80Minnesota(3-3) 22
81Vanderbilt(3-4) 22
82Florida Atlantic(3-3) 16
83New Mexico(3-3) 1
84Northwestern(3-3) 17
85Tennessee(3-3) 16
86Louisiana-Lafayette(3-3) 7
87Louisiana-Monroe(3-3) 10
88Utah State(3-4) 15
89Georgia Tech(3-2) 13
90Georgia State(3-2) 16
91New Mexico State(3-4) 4
92Florida State(2-3) 15
93Temple(3-4) 9
94Tulsa(2-5) 16
95Hawaii(3-4) 7
96Arkansas State(3-2) 9
97Texas-San Antonio(3-2) 11
98Kansas State(3-3) 11
99Illinois(2-4) 9
100Ball State(2-4) 9
101South Alabama(2-4) 28
102Kent State(2-5) 6
103Rutgers(2-4) 18
104Arkansas(2-4) 10
105Idaho(2-4) 7
106Connecticut(2-4) 10
107Miami OH_(2-5) 15
108Air Force(2-4) 9
109Nevada-Las Vegas(2-4) 13
110Cincinnati(2-5) 13
111Pittsburgh(2-5) 11
112Eastern Michigan(2-4) 8
113Old Dominion(2-4) 10
114Nevada(1-6) 1
115East Carolina(1-6) 6
116North Carolina(1-6) 6
117Bowling Green State(1-6) 6
118San Jose State(1-7) 5
119Kansas(1-5) 3
120Missouri(1-5) 3
121Texas State(1-6) 3
122Brigham Young(1-6) 3
123Oregon State(1-6) 3
124Coastal Carolina(1-5) 1
125Rice(1-5)--
126Georgia Southern(0-5)--
127Baylor(0-6)--
128Charlotte(0-7)--
129Texas-El Paso(0-7)--
130Massachusetts(0-6)--

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 7 performances. Within the top-10, (4) Southern California and (5) Texas Christian were the biggest positive movers (+4), while (8) Washington State was the biggest negative mover (-4) after an embarrassing blowout to California. Interestingly, when comparing this information with the table below, you can see that (4) Southern California has a strong chance of continuing to trend in a positive direction, whereas (5) Texas Christian isn’t projected to climb more than 2 ranks, if they even manage to trend positively.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 8

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Alabama 66% 20% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Georgia 6% 23% 32% 23% 12% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Clemson 0% 0% 2% 8% 19% 27% 23% 13% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Southern California 16% 27% 6% 1% 3% 6% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Texas Christian 0% 0% 7% 16% 17% 13% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Penn State 12% 24% 13% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 San Diego State 0% 4% 17% 18% 8% 3% 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 8% 5% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Washington State 0% 0% 11% 20% 14% 4% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0%
9 North Carolina State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 17% 16% 12% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
10 Ohio State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 11% 13% 14% 13% 11% 8% 5% 2% 1%
11 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 13% 18% 20% 17% 11% 6%
12 Wisconsin 0% 0% 2% 7% 14% 15% 9% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 10% 8% 5% 3%
13 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 9% 9%
14 Stanford 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3%
15 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%
16 Miami FL_ 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 8% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17 Central Florida 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
18 Texas A&M 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
19 South Carolina 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4%
20 Louisiana State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%

Looking at this table, you can see that the #1 rank will be decided between four teams: Alabama, Georgia, Southern California, and Penn State. As they currently hold the #1 rank, Alabama possesses the strongest change of maintaining their position (66%). Take into account that their Week 8 match-up is against an unranked Tennessee team that has played inconsistent football and only registered 9 total points in their last two games combined, and it makes sense that, even if Alabama were to lose the #1 rank, their fall from grace would likely be minimized to only the #3 rank (11%).

Although Georgia holds the #2 rank at present, it is (4) Southern California (16%) and (6) Penn State (12%) that have the next best chances of dethroning the Crimson Tide. This is largely attributable to the fact that (2) Georgia is on a bye week, leaving their fate in the hands of other teams. As such, if (4) Southern California can perform better than they had in Week 7 against Utah (they’ll be facing a far-stronger opponent in Notre Dame), there is a good chance they may, if nothing else, leapfrog Georgia for the #2 rank (27%). Likewise, (6) Penn State can make a strong case for the #2 rank (24%) if they pull out a win against Michigan Saturday evening. The Nittany Lions are coming off a bye week, so expect a well-rested team that is hungry to remain unbeaten. All that being said, a loss for either of these teams would present a significant setback, as (4) Southern California could fall anywhere from #6 to #13, and (6) Penn State could fall anywhere from #7 to #15. Such significant drops are highly unlikely, even with a loss, but that does not mean it can’t happen.

Heading into Week 8, the team that faces the widest range for possible ranking by week’s end is (8) Washington State. Facing a 4-3 Colorado team, there is only a 2% chance that Washington State retains their #8 ranking, which presents two vastly different interpretations: the optimistic and more favorable of these two involves the Cougars winning, which could elevate them all the way up to #3 (11%) but has the strongest chance of stopping the climb at #4 (20%), if not #5 (14%). It’s still good that there’s a 45% chance Washington State will finish between #3 and #5, but here comes the second of those two interpretations: the pessimistic and less favorable scenario would likely arise following a Washington State loss. Should this occur, there is a 34% chance the team could fall anywhere between #11 and #15, although all of the wrong dominos could fall and drop the Cougars to #18.

Lastly, for those of you who are fans of (14) Stanford, (18) Texas A&M, or (19) South Carolina, the odds are not ever in your favor; with all three of these teams on a bye, consider their chances of remaining in the top-20 very slim.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

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Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 8

2017 Challenge – Week 07 Results

92% 97% 27% 83% 7% 38% 78% 88% 34% 14% 94% 73% 90% 28% 11%
Concensus (12-3) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
8% 3% 73% 17% 93% 62% 22% 12% 66% 86% 6% 27% 10% 72% 89%
Week 7 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
4 Mark Montalbano 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 1 72-34 68%
20 Jordan Bruce 11-4 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 2 68-38 64%
4 Jonathan Prescott 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 2 68-38 64%
20 Massey STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 2 68-38 64%
55 Tucker Morrow 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 2 68-38 64%
20 Keener STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC NYG NE PHI 6 67-39 63%
20 NFL Oracle 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 6 67-39 63%
20 Will Farner 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC NYG NE PHI 6 67-39 63%
55 Patrick Pringle 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 9 66-40 62%
4 Chris DiPaolo 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 9 66-40 62%
55 Craig Mills 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 9 66-40 62%
55 Douglas Dellmore 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI BAL DAL LAC NYG NE PHI 9 66-40 62%
20 Bob Nicholson 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO CIN NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 9 66-40 62%
81 Brian Miceli 9-6 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN SF DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
20 Brent Morgan 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
55 Chris Robinson 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 14 65-41 61%
4 Colley STAT 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
81 Joshua Adame 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 14 65-41 61%
20 Jesse Gamble 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 14 65-41 61%
1 Maddie Heliste 13-2 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
4 Marie Lutz 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
1 Biased Voter STAT 13-2 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
20 Chris Fanick 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Johnny Biology 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG ATL PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Joshua Hernandez 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 stella artois 10-5 KC TEN TB NO CIN MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 22 64-42 60%
4 Marc Goodrich 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
20 Ghost of Tony Romo 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Best OFF STAT 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
4 PageRank STAT 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
20 Ryan Reynolds 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Steven Hargis 10-5 OAK TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 22 64-42 60%
20 Valerie Schweers 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO CIN NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
81 Alexander Krantz 9-6 KC TEN BUF GB PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
55 Deven Nongbri 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
55 Liza Southwick 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
20 Oracle/Wins STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
81 Sam Hyden 9-6 KC TEN TB GB PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
4 Dillon Wolf 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
81 Brady Walker 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-43 59%
4 Eric Suhler 12-2 TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-43 59%
55 Jeremy Lynch 10-5 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
55 Kevin McIntyre 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
107 OFF Yds STAT 6-9 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CAR ARI BAL SF LAC NYG NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
4 Sarah Farrell 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
20 Arastu Jahanbin 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
4 Bryan Fowler 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
55 Ben Newhouse 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
95 Craig Burton 8-7 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Clint Schroeder 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Damon Bullis 11-4 OAK TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI BAL DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
104 Best DEF STAT 7-8 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CHI ARI BAL DAL LAC NYG NE WAS 46 61-45 58%
81 Enrique Alcoreza 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
4 Hugh Daschbach 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 46 61-45 58%
4 Dylan Holland 12-3 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
81 Rick Hover 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI BAL DAL DEN NYG NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Josh Moczygemba 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Michele Johnson 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 46 61-45 58%
55 Ryan Gray 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO CIN MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
95 Reese Murphy 8-7 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL WAS 46 61-45 58%
81 Keller Murphey 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Diana Riddle 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-32 65%
55 David Wood 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Harry Wallace 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Jordan Bethea 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Jim Freeman 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
55 Liam Crawley 10-5 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR ARI BAL DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
81 Susan Coker 9-6 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
81 Tim Ward 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Dylan Hendel 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
55 Davis King 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
95 Dale Cochran 8-7 KC TEN TB GB PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
20 Tanner Kohfield 11-4 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 71 59-33 64%
20 Mitchell Kight 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 71 59-47 56%
20 Matthew Jones 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
55 Mary Love 10-5 OAK TEN BUF GB CIN MIA IND CHI LAR MIN SF DEN SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
4 Kevin Davis 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 71 59-47 56%
81 Tessa Uviedo 9-5 TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 71 59-45 57%
20 Christina Cooley 11-4 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 79 58-48 55%
55 Rebecca Cook 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CHI ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 79 58-48 55%
55 DEF Yds STAT 10-5 KC TEN TB NO CIN NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE WAS 79 58-48 55%
95 Heather H. Smith 8-7 KC CLE BUF NO CIN MIA IND CHI ARI BAL DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 79 58-48 55%
20 Michael Dennis 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 79 58-48 55%
81 Tim O’Sullivan 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 79 58-48 55%
95 Finlay McCracken 8-7 KC CLE BUF GB PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
20 Les Bleamaster 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO CIN MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
55 Shawn Sunday 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 85 57-49 54%
55 Tom Tegtmeyer 10-5 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
20 WinPct STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
20 Kipp Smithers 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 90 56-35 62%
81 Rick McMullen 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 90 56-50 53%
20 Matt Sidhom 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 90 56-50 53%
20 Adam Mueller 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 93 55-35 61%
20 Jack Wisniewski 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 93 55-37 60%
95 Callum Squires 8-7 KC TEN TB GB PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 95 53-37 59%
1 Jacob Tingle 13-2 OAK TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN SF LAC SEA NE PHI 95 53-37 59%
104 Britni Ridolfi 7-8 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CHI ARI BAL DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 97 51-55 48%
95 TD Gunslinger 8-7 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI BAL SF LAC SEA NE WAS 97 51-55 48%
20 Taylor Stakes 11-4 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 97 51-41 55%
95 Manny Gonzalez 8-7 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 100 50-40 56%
81 Braxton Bartlett 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 101 49-41 54%
4 Jana Bleamaster 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 102 47-30 61%
4 Suzy Gray 12-3 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 102 47-29 62%
104 Janie Childers 7-8 KC CLE BUF GB PIT MIA IND CHI ARI MIN SF DEN NYG NE PHI 104 40-36 53%
55 Doug Saegesser 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 105 36-38 49%
95 Josh Huskin 8-7 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 106 34-25 58%
55 Paul Willstrop 10-4 TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG ATL PHI 107 10-4 71%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 07 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 7

Good news, bad news. The good news is that Week 6 of the 2017 NFL season had plenty of highs for those of you that saw your team pull out a victory, or if you had success predicting the outcomes of each game. The bad news is that, if you aren’t a fan of any of those winning teams, or if you had as much luck picking correct outcomes as the (31) Cleveland Browns do winning games, then Week 6 had plenty of lows. So, with that being said, take a look at the rankings heading into Week 7, as well as how each team is trending.

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 07

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Kansas City Chiefs(5-1)--
2Philadelphia Eagles(5-1) 3
3Minnesota Vikings(4-2) 6
4Pittsburgh Steelers(4-2) 6
5New England Patriots(4-2) 3
6Carolina Panthers(4-2) 4
7Green Bay Packers(4-2) 4
8Los Angeles Rams(4-2) 8
9New Orleans Saints(3-2) 8
10Buffalo Bills(3-2) 6
11Jacksonville Jaguars(3-3) 4
12Atlanta Falcons(3-2) 6
13Miami Dolphins(3-2) 10
14Detroit Lions(3-3) 2
15Tennessee Titans(3-3) 3
16New York Jets(3-3) 5
17Denver Broncos(3-2) 4
18Washington Redskins(3-2) 2
19Houston Texans(3-3) 2
20Seattle Seahawks(3-2) 5
21Baltimore Ravens(3-3) 7
22Arizona Cardinals(3-3) 3
23Chicago Bears(2-4) 5
24Oakland Raiders(2-4) 5
25Cincinnati Bengals(2-3) 3
26Dallas Cowboys(2-3) 2
27Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-3) 1
28Los Angeles Chargers(2-4) 1
29Indianapolis Colts(2-4) 2
30New York Giants(1-5) 1
31Cleveland Browns(0-6) 1
32San Francisco 49ers(0-6)--

Let’s take a moment and really give a round of applause to the (13) Miami Dolphins, as they were our big movers (+10) thanks to an almost-incredible comeback against the (12) Atlanta Falcons. To be clear, the Dolphins did come back to win the game 20-17, hence the “incredible” since their season started with a season-ending injury to quarterback Ryan Tannehill and was followed with the out-of-necessity signing of Jay “mediocre” Cutler. But then there’s the “almost” part: don’t forget, the Falcons are the team that blew a 28-3 to the (5) New England Patriots in last year’s Super Bowl, so blowing a 17-point lead on Sunday wasn’t entirely unprecedented.

On the other side of the coin, our biggest movers in the wrong direction were the (21) Baltimore Ravens (-7). Not that their Week 6 game against the (23) Chicago Bears was in the bag, but Oracle did have roughly 72% confidence in the Ravens to not blow it. I can’t even justify this by saying 2017 No. 2 overall pick Mitchell Trubisky was stellar in his debut; the kid certainly played well, but to expect the Bears to pull out a 27-24 overtime win on the road would have been a bit much…although apparently it wasn’t.

In any event, now that the top-5 have been shaken up (with exception to the not-so-undefeated-anymore (1) Kansas City Chiefs) let’s take a look at the Oracle picks for Week 7.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 07

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Oct 19 2017(1) KC @ (24) OAK(1) KC62.32%
Sun Oct 22 2017(16) NYJ @ (13) MIA(16) NYJ55.30%
Sun Oct 22 2017(25) CIN @ (4) PIT(4) PIT63.77%
Sun Oct 22 2017(11) JAC @ (29) IND(11) JAC84.64%
Sun Oct 22 2017(21) BAL @ (3) MIN(3) MIN54.01%
Sun Oct 22 2017(6) CAR @ (23) CHI(6) CAR61.72%
Sun Oct 22 2017(22) ARI @ (8) LAR(8) LAR73.07%
Sun Oct 22 2017(15) TEN @ (31) CLE(15) TEN83.08%
Sun Oct 22 2017(27) TB @ (10) BUF(10) BUF56.72%
Sun Oct 22 2017(9) NO @ (7) GB(9) NO54.48%
Sun Oct 22 2017(26) DAL @ (32) SF(26) DAL74.57%
Sun Oct 22 2017(17) DEN @ (28) LAC(17) DEN66.45%
Sun Oct 22 2017(20) SEA @ (30) NYG(20) SEA63.31%
Sun Oct 22 2017(12) ATL @ (5) NE(5) NE58.94%
Mon Oct 23 2017(18) WAS @ (2) PHI(2) PHI59.68%

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

We’ve got two games this week that should be overflowing with one-sided action: (11) Jacksonville Jaguars @ (29) Indianapolis Colts and (15) Tennessee Titans @ (31) Cleveland Browns. Behind an elite defense with an offense predicated on rookie Leonard Fournette bulldozing players and Blake Bortles never throwing the ball, the Jaguars have become a threat to many. This remains the case against the AFC South-rival and Andrew Luck-less Colts, with Oracle nearly 85% certain Jacksonville can move to 4-3.

Unfortunately for Jacksonville, Tennessee is also expected to move to 4-3, which would keep both teams locked atop the division standings with the (19) Houston Texans facing a bye. Whether the Browns have Kevin Hogan or DeShone Kizer at the helm, the Titans will look to continue what the Texans started in Week 6 against Cleveland; Oracle has 83% confidence in the Titans chances of winning…or is it the Browns chances of losing?

Flip a coin

There are six NFL games this week that Oracle has a confidence level in the 50th percentile, indicative of a likely-close performance in each game. Arguably the two most-interesting of these games are (9) New Orleans Saints @ (7) Green Bay Packers and (12) Atlanta Falcons @ (5) New England Patriots. Originally, the Saints-Packers match-up was going to be an offensive showdown between elite quarterbacks in Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers…until Rodgers suffered a broken collarbone on his throwing shoulder in Week 6. New Orleans is given the edge at 54%, but still, no team likes to go on the road to Lambeau Field.

On that same note, teams generally don’t like to head to Foxborough to face Bill Belichick and Tom Brady…except this year, opponents have had no trouble scoring points on the road against the Patriots, so maybe the Falcons can spread their wings and soar high after facing some turbulence in Week 6. Oracle gives the Patriots a 59% chance of winning in this rematch of last year’s Super Bowl.

The NFL Oracle was 5-9 (35.71%) during week 6. Here is how we did predicting each game:

[50.33%]: (5) Philadelphia Eagles 28 @ (2) Carolina Panthers 23
[68.58%]: (23) Miami Dolphins 20 @ (6) Atlanta Falcons 17
[97.39%]: (32) San Francisco 49ers 24 @ (20) Washington Redskins 26
[54.50%]: (8) New England Patriots 24 @ (11) New York Jets 17
[98.24%]: (30) Cleveland Browns 17 @ (21) Houston Texans 33
[53.89%]: (3) Green Bay Packers 10 @ (9) Minnesota Vikings 23
[79.18%]: (28) Chicago Bears 27 @ (14) Baltimore Ravens 24
[55.76%]: (12) Detroit Lions 38 @ (17) New Orleans Saints 52
[68.47%]: (16) Los Angeles Rams 27 @ (7) Jacksonville Jaguars 17
[76.70%]: (26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33 @ (25) Arizona Cardinals 38
[61.75%]: (10) Pittsburgh Steelers 19 @ (1) Kansas City Chiefs 13
[89.28%]: (29) Los Angeles Chargers 17 @ (19) Oakland Raiders 16
[97.77%]: (31) New York Giants 23 @ (13) Denver Broncos 10
[87.99%]: (27) Indianapolis Colts 22 @ (18) Tennessee Titans 36

Can we please agree that numbers can be deceiving? For starters, apparently anything can happen during 2017 when it comes to Thursday Night Football, and it’s not like Oracle was 99% confident the Eagles would beat the Panthers. In saying that, I concede that I have no excuse for the 98% confidence-level the Broncos would beat the Giants, whose season appeared to end at the same moment star wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr.’s did. Besides that, few anticipated the Falcons blowing a late-lead to the Dolphins, Aaron Rodgers getting injured early in the game, the Bears forcing and winning overtime, or the Steelers offense finally waking up against the then-undefeated Chiefs. So, as I previously proposed, numbers can be deceiving, since Oracle realistically could have gone 10-4. But I digress. Here’s how Oracle stacked up to other predictive ranking methods.

Win % Massey Colley Biased Voter Keener PageRank NFL Oracle
CAR PHI CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR
ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL
WAS WAS WAS WAS WAS WAS WAS
NYJ NE NE NE NE NE NE
HOU HOU HOU HOU HOU HOU HOU
GB GB GB GB MIN MIN GB
BAL BAL BAL BAL CHI BAL BAL
DET NO DET NO NO NO NO
JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC
TB TB TB TB TB TB TB
KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
OAK LAC OAK OAK LAC OAK OAK
DEN DEN DEN DEN DEN DEN DEN
TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN
3-11 7-7 4-10 5-9 8-6 6-8 5-9

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

Do you think you can pick NFL games better than the NFL Oracle?

See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 7

2017 Challenge – Week 06 Results


Week 6 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
11 Mark Montalbano 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 1 60-31 66%
11 Tucker Morrow 7-7 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK PIT DEN TEN 2 58-33 64%
36 Jordan Bruce 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 3 57-34 63%
11 Massey STAT 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 3 57-34 63%
3 Brian Miceli 8-6 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
67 Patrick Pringle 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
3 Craig Mills 8-6 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE ARI JAC OAK PIT DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
96 Douglas Dellmore 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN IND 5 56-35 62%
11 Joshua Adame 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
67 Jonathan Prescott 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
3 Keener STAT 8-6 CAR CHI HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
11 OFF Yds STAT 7-7 PHI BAL CLE SF NO ATL MIN NE TB LAR LAC KC NYG IND 5 56-35 62%
67 NFL Oracle 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
36 Will Farner 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
36 Chris Robinson 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 15 55-36 60%
11 Bob Nicholson 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 15 55-36 60%
96 Alexander Krantz 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
67 Brent Morgan 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
11 Chris DiPaolo 7-7 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
1 Best DEF STAT 9-5 PHI CHI HOU SF NO ATL GB NE ARI LAR LAC KC NYG IND 17 54-37 59%
67 Jesse Gamble 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
3 Johnny Biology 8-6 PHI CHI HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
36 Joshua Hernandez 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN IND 17 54-37 59%
36 stella artois 6-8 CAR BAL CLE WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
36 Best OFF STAT 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
67 Steven Hargis 5-9 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
11 Sam Hyden 7-7 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
36 Brady Walker 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-37 59%
3 Craig Burton 8-6 CAR CHI HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK PIT DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
36 Chris Fanick 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
96 Colley STAT 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
11 Deven Nongbri 7-7 PHI BAL HOU SF NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC PIT DEN IND 28 53-38 58%
67 Liza Southwick 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN IND 28 53-38 58%
36 Marie Lutz 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
36 Ghost of Tony Romo 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
3 Reese Murphy 8-6 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL MIN NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
67 Ryan Reynolds 5-9 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN IND 28 53-38 58%
3 Valerie Schweers 8-6 PHI CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
67 Enrique Alcoreza 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN IND 39 52-39 57%
67 Rick Hover 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC NYG IND 39 52-39 57%
67 Jeremy Lynch 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Kevin McIntyre 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
36 Marc Goodrich 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Maddie Heliste 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Oracle/Wins STAT 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
36 PageRank STAT 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
36 Keller Murphey 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Biased Voter STAT 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
67 Ben Newhouse 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS