2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 9

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 09 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma State Southern California

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

For those of you following, there has been some shake-up within the Big 12 and Pac-12 conferences, respectively, that has correspondingly affected the NCAAF Oracle projection for this year’s Valero Alamo Bowl participants. First, let’s give you the updated rankings:

NCAAF Oracle has the Big 12 rankings as follows: (4) Texas Christian, (20) Oklahoma, (21) Oklahoma State, (30) Iowa State, (52) West Virginia, (59) Texas Tech, (82) Texas, (102) Kansas State, (121) Kansas, and (130) Baylor. The only positional changes came with (52) West Virginia leapfrogging (59) Texas Tech, although the top-4 teams all moved up in the overall rankings.

NCAAF Oracle has the Pac-12 rankings as follows: (5) Washington State, (13) Southern California, (19) Washington, (26) Stanford, (39) Arizona, (44) Arizona State, (51) UCLA, (57) Oregon, (58) California, (65) Colorado, (66) Utah, and (124) Oregon State. The big move here is the changing of the guard between (5) Washington State and (13) Southern California, which we will return to momentarily.

(4) Texas Christian has remained resolute atop their conference standings, cushioning their lead with an unforgiving 43-0 domination of (121) Kansas, bringing their record to 7-0 overall and 4-0 in-conference. One week ago, the following three positions in the Big 12 standings appeared neck-and-neck. (20) Oklahoma, who had been the Oracle projection in Week 8, squeezed out a narrow win over (102) Kansas State, but so did (30) Iowa State and (21) Oklahoma State. Remove (30) Iowa State from consideration for the moment, as they are one game back of the two Oklahoma programs in terms of overall record. The difference-maker in determining why (21) Oklahoma State usurped (20) Oklahoma as the Valero Alamo Bowl Big 12 projection may be the fact that the prior is one game better than the latter on the road, something that should not be taken lightly.

Heading into Week 8, we knew (13) Southern California vs. (8) Notre Dame would prove to be a tall order for either team. As always, there’s good and bad news. Unlike last week, we’ll start with the bad news first. (8) Notre Dame pummeled (13) Southern California 49-14, justifying the positional changes for the victor (+14) and for the loser (-9). The good news that comes as a result of this, combined with the bye week for (19) Washington and the unrelenting surge of (5) Washington State, (13) Southern California is actually poised to represent the Pac-12 in the Valero Alamo Bowl. The Trojans are 5-0 at home and 6-2 overall, and they have a slightly favorable match-up against (44) Arizona State late on Saturday night. With other intriguing conference rivalries taking place this week for (5) Washington State vs. (39) Arizona and (19) Washington vs. (51) UCLA, don’t be surprised to see further movement within the Pac-12 standings that could keep (13) Southern California well-positioned for the Valero Alamo Bowl.

Should these two teams in (21) Oklahoma State and (13) Southern California make the 2017 Valero Alamo Bowl, one team would have a distinct advantage as far as familiarity with the San Antonio stage. Going back to 1997, Oklahoma State has appeared in this Bowl Game on four occasions, amassing a 2-2 record. Most recently, the Cowboys handled Colorado 38-8 in last year’s shootout. Meanwhile, the Valero Alamo Bowl would present a new challenge and experience for (13) Southern California, having never participated in this Bowl Game specifically, although the storied program has had its fair share of success in other Bowl Games.

NCAAF Oracle – Week 09

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Alabama(8-0)--
2Georgia(7-0)--
3Penn State(7-0) 3
4Texas Christian(7-0) 1
5Washington State(7-1) 3
6Wisconsin(7-0) 6
7Clemson(6-1) 4
8Notre Dame(6-1) 14
9Central Florida(6-0) 8
10Michigan State(6-1) 3
11Memphis(6-1) 4
12San Diego State(6-2) 5
13Southern California(6-2) 9
14Miami FL_(6-0) 2
15North Carolina State(6-1) 6
16Louisiana State(6-2) 4
17South Florida(7-0) 4
18Ohio State(6-1) 8
19Washington(6-1) 8
20Oklahoma(6-1) 6
21Oklahoma State(6-1) 8
22Virginia Tech(6-1) 6
23Auburn(6-2) 8
24Boise State(5-2) 8
25Toledo(6-1) 8
26Stanford(5-2) 12
27Marshall(6-1) 13
28South Carolina(5-2) 9
29Colorado State(6-2) 9
30Iowa State(5-2) 13
31Troy(5-2) 6
32Texas A&M(5-2) 14
33Mississippi State(5-2) 15
34Kentucky(5-2) 9
35Army(6-2) 4
36Southern Methodist(5-2) 8
37Michigan(5-2) 14
38Virginia(5-2) 14
39Arizona(5-2) 11
40Ohio(6-2) 7
41Navy(5-2) 14
42Fresno State(5-2) 20
43Boston College(4-4) 24
44Arizona State(4-3) 15
45Louisville(5-3) 8
46Southern Mississippi(5-2) 15
47Iowa(4-3) 17
48Western Michigan(5-3) 3
49Northern Illinois(5-2)--
50Syracuse(4-4) 15
51UCLA(4-3) 14
52West Virginia(5-2)--
53North Texas(4-3) 19
54Wake Forest(4-3) 8
55Appalachian State(5-2) 5
56Houston(4-3) 15
57Oregon(4-4) 21
58California(4-4) 16
59Texas Tech(4-3) 14
60Western Kentucky(5-2) 9
61Florida Atlantic(4-3) 21
62Northwestern(4-3) 22
63Georgia Tech(4-2) 26
64Central Michigan(4-4) 15
65Colorado(4-4) 8
66Utah(4-3) 10
67Minnesota(4-3) 13
68Wyoming(4-3) 10
69Akron(4-4) 15
70Alabama-Birmingham(4-3) 15
71Florida International(4-2) 7
72Duke(4-4) 6
73Utah State(4-4) 15
74Florida(3-3) 11
75Purdue(3-4) 4
76Arkansas State(4-2) 20
77Louisiana Tech(3-4) 2
78Middle Tennessee State(3-5) 10
79Nebraska(3-4) 5
80Maryland(3-4) 10
81South Alabama(3-4) 20
82Texas(3-4) 9
83Tulane(3-4) 11
84Texas-San Antonio(4-2) 13
85Mississippi(3-4) 7
86Buffalo(3-5) 9
87Rutgers(3-4) 16
88Tennessee(3-4) 3
89Miami OH_(3-5) 18
90Indiana(3-4) 14
91Connecticut(3-4) 15
92Vanderbilt(3-4) 11
93Pittsburgh(3-5) 18
94New Mexico(3-4) 11
95Louisiana-Lafayette(3-4) 9
96Air Force(3-4) 12
97Louisiana-Monroe(3-4) 10
98Georgia State(3-3) 8
99Temple(3-5) 6
100Hawaii(3-4) 5
101New Mexico State(3-4) 10
102Kansas State(3-4) 4
103Florida State(2-4) 11
104Tulsa(2-6) 10
105Illinois(2-5) 6
106Kent State(2-6) 4
107Ball State(2-5) 7
108Idaho(2-5) 3
109Arkansas(2-5) 5
110Eastern Michigan(2-5) 2
111Missouri(2-5) 12
112Cincinnati(2-6) 2
113East Carolina(2-6) 3
114Nevada-Las Vegas(2-5) 5
115Old Dominion(2-5) 2
116Charlotte(1-7) 19
117Bowling Green State(1-7) 1
118Nevada(1-7) 4
119San Jose State(1-7)--
120Texas State(1-6)--
121Kansas(1-6)--
122North Carolina(1-7) 6
123Brigham Young(1-7) 2
124Oregon State(1-6) 2
125Coastal Carolina(1-6) 1
126Massachusetts(1-6) 6
127Rice(1-6) 2
128Georgia Southern(0-6) 1
129Texas-El Paso(0-7) 1
130Baylor(0-7) 1

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 8 performances. Within the top-10, (8) Notre Dame was the biggest positive mover (+14) thanks to that blowout against (13) Southern California. The biggest negative move ended up being (7) Clemson (-4) through no fault of their own, but rather because of their bye week. Interestingly, with exception to (7) Clemson and the top-2 teams, all of the top-10 teams experienced a positive trend in the rankings.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 9

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Alabama 33% 44% 19% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Georgia 20% 20% 9% 7% 11% 13% 11% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Penn State 42% 7% 3% 4% 7% 10% 11% 9% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Texas Christian 3% 14% 21% 11% 1% 1% 4% 10% 13% 12% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Washington State 1% 9% 19% 15% 5% 1% 2% 6% 11% 13% 10% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Wisconsin 0% 2% 8% 15% 14% 9% 5% 6% 9% 10% 9% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 Clemson 0% 2% 10% 17% 14% 6% 1% 0% 2% 7% 11% 13% 10% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Notre Dame 0% 1% 5% 12% 15% 11% 5% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 8% 7% 4% 3% 1%
9 Central Florida 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 10% 16% 18% 17% 13% 9% 5% 3%
10 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 8% 13% 13% 8% 4% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 6% 5% 3%
11 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 11% 12% 9% 5% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
12 San Diego State 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4%
13 Southern California 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 10% 14% 12% 6% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 7% 6% 4%
14 Miami FL_ 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 9% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3%
15 North Carolina State 0% 0% 3% 9% 14% 13% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5%
16 Louisiana State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 6%
17 South Florida 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9%
18 Ohio State 0% 0% 2% 5% 10% 13% 11% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4%
19 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 11% 12% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
20 Oklahoma 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 12% 11% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Taking a look at this table, you can see that there is a 95% chance the top-rank will belong to one of the currently-ranked top-3 teams. But look closer. (3) Penn State, set to square off with (18) Ohio State, has the strongest odds of taking the throne, with (1) Alabama and (2) Georgia having the next best odds, in that order. I guess the only way to remove Nick Saban from the top of the deck is to wait for (1) Alabama to have a bye week, because it certainly has seemed impossible to do so whenever they’ve taken the field.

Some of the highest potential for movement comes from (13) Southern California, (15) North Carolina State, and (18) Ohio State. (13) Southern California could end as high as (4) with a win, or as low as (20) with a loss. However, what is most likely is a finish between (6) and (8) with a win, as there is a 36% chance of them falling within that range. A loss on the other hand, and (13) Southern California will put their fate in the hands of other teams, explaining the fact that there is a wide array of possible rankings, with none particularly standing out in terms of likelihood. (15) North Carolina State could stamp their ticket into the top-10 with a win over (8) Notre Dame, a 36% chance they would land somewhere between (4) and (6). Unfortunately for them, (15) North Carolina State will have their hands full trying to stop a red-hot (8) Notre Dame team, so the same rules apply to them as does (13) Southern California should they lose. Then there is (18) Ohio State, preparing to clash with the revitalized (3) Penn State Nittany Lions. As of October 24, (3) Penn State running back Saquon Barkley was the hands-down favorite to win the Heisman, and you can be sure he and his team will be hungry to silence the Buckeyes in attempt to claim the (1) ranking. Doing so would likely knock (18) Ohio State out of the top-20, with only an unfavorable 10% chance they’d somehow stay within that window. That being said, should (18) Ohio State upset (3) Penn State, they could catapult themselves up to the (3) spot, although there’s only a 2% chance of that happening. Realistically, they would be positioned between (4) and (8), a much-more-likely 45% chance.

Lastly, (16) Louisiana State fans, you may as well as pack your bags now thanks to your team’s bye week, as it’s a near-certainty the Tigers will geaux outside the top-20.

Have a great rest of the week and weekend.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

>>

Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 9

2017 Challenge – Week 08 Results

44% 96% 50% 5% 3% 3% 15% 75% 55% 44% 73% 71% 8%
Concensus (13-0) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
56% 4% 50% 95% 97% 97% 85% 25% 45% 56% 27% 29% 92%
Week 8 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
6 Mark Montalbano 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 1 84-35 71%
6 Jonathan Prescott 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 2 80-39 67%
18 Jordan Bruce 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 3 79-40 66%
18 Massey STAT 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 3 79-40 66%
6 Chris DiPaolo 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 5 78-41 66%
6 Craig Mills 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 5 78-41 66%
18 Will Farner 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 5 78-41 66%
6 Brent Morgan 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
46 Keener STAT 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
1 Marc Goodrich 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
1 Ghost of Tony Romo 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
46 NFL Oracle 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 8 77-42 65%
18 Chris Robinson 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 13 76-43 64%
18 Colley STAT 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 13 76-43 64%
18 Maddie Heliste 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 13 76-43 64%
18 Marie Lutz 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 13 76-43 64%
82 Tucker Morrow 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL DET KC 13 76-43 64%
6 Alexander Krantz 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT DEN 18 75-44 63%
46 Brian Miceli 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 18 75-44 63%
18 Chris Fanick 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS PIT KC 18 75-44 63%
71 Bob Nicholson 9-4 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 18 75-44 63%
6 Dillon Wolf 12-1 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 18 75-44 63%
46 Biased Voter STAT 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
82 Patrick Pringle 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI LAC CIN ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 23 74-45 62%
82 Douglas Dellmore 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
71 Jesse Gamble 9-4 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS DET DEN 23 74-45 62%
46 Johnny Biology 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
1 Josh Moczygemba 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
18 Oracle/Wins STAT 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
18 Sam Hyden 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
46 Valerie Schweers 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 23 74-45 62%
6 Ben Newhouse 12-1 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
18 Brady Walker 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 32 73-45 62%
46 Liza Southwick 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
71 stella artois 9-4 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
71 PageRank STAT 9-4 MIA MIN OAK CHI PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 32 73-46 61%
71 Steven Hargis 9-4 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 32 73-46 61%
18 Arastu Jahanbin 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE IND ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Bryan Fowler 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Clint Schroeder 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Damon Bullis 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
71 Deven Nongbri 9-4 BAL CLE OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
6 Diana Riddle 12-1 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-33 69%
46 Eric Suhler 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS DET KC 38 72-46 61%
6 Harry Wallace 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
6 Jordan Bethea 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
46 Jeremy Lynch 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU WAS PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
46 Kevin McIntyre 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
82 Best OFF STAT 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 38 72-47 61%
82 Ryan Reynolds 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU WAS PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
18 Keller Murphey 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 38 72-47 61%
46 Craig Burton 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI LAC CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Enrique Alcoreza 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Rick Hover 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 52 71-48 60%
18 Liam Crawley 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Michele Johnson 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
71 OFF Yds STAT 9-4 BAL CLE OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
46 Reese Murphy 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
1 Tim O’Sullivan 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 52 71-48 60%
18 Dylan Hendel 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL DET KC 52 71-48 60%
6 Christina Cooley 12-1 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
18 Davis King 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 David Wood 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL DET KC 61 70-49 59%
71 Hugh Daschbach 9-4 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI LAC CIN NYJ CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 Jim Freeman 10-3 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
18 Matthew Jones 11-2 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
18 Kevin Davis 11-2 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 Susan Coker 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL PIT KC 61 70-49 59%
46 Tim Ward 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL DET KC 61 70-49 59%
82 Dylan Holland 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO SF NE IND ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT DEN 70 69-50 58%
46 Tanner Kohfield 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 70 69-36 66%
18 Michael Dennis 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA WAS PIT KC 70 69-50 58%
82 Ryan Gray 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 70 69-50 58%
1 Matt Sidhom 13-0 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL PIT KC 70 69-50 58%
71 Mitchell Kight 9-4 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT KC 75 68-51 57%
18 Tom Tegtmeyer 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 75 68-51 57%
18 WinPct STAT 11-2 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS PIT KC 75 68-51 57%
82 Dale Cochran 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL CAR HOU DAL DET KC 78 67-52 56%
46 Shawn Sunday 10-2 MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA DAL DET KC 78 67-51 57%
82 Tessa Uviedo 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 78 67-50 57%
18 Adam Mueller 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR SEA WAS DET KC 81 66-37 64%
82 Rebecca Cook 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 81 66-53 55%
71 Les Bleamaster 9-4 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT KC 81 66-53 55%
99 Mary Love 7-6 MIA MIN OAK CHI PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU WAS DET KC 81 66-53 55%
104 Best DEF STAT 4-9 BAL CLE OAK NO SF NE IND NYJ TB HOU WAS DET KC 85 65-54 55%
99 Heather H. Smith 7-6 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND NYJ TB SEA DAL DET DEN 85 65-54 55%
82 Kipp Smithers 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB SEA WAS PIT DEN 87 64-40 62%
18 Jacob Tingle 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 87 64-39 62%
82 Rick McMullen 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT DEN 87 64-55 54%
103 DEF Yds STAT 5-8 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE IND NYJ TB HOU WAS DET KC 90 63-56 53%
101 Finlay McCracken 6-7 MIA CLE BUF CHI PHI NE IND NYJ CAR SEA WAS DET KC 90 63-56 53%
82 Callum Squires 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU WAS PIT KC 92 61-42 59%
46 Daniel Dahlinger 10-3 BAL MIN BUF CHI PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 92 61-43 59%
46 TD Gunslinger 10-3 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU WAS PIT KC 92 61-58 51%
46 Taylor Stakes 10-3 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT KC 92 61-44 58%
18 Braxton Bartlett 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 96 60-43 58%
82 Britni Ridolfi 8-5 BAL MIN OAK NO SF NE IND ATL CAR HOU DAL PIT DEN 97 59-60 50%
82 Manny Gonzalez 8-5 MIA MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL DET KC 98 58-45 56%
18 Suzy Gray 11-2 BAL MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB SEA DAL DET KC 98 58-31 65%
101 Nicole Fratto 6-7 MIA MIN OAK CHI PHI NE IND NYJ TB SEA DAL PIT DEN 100 54-50 52%
46 Ben Nunes 10-3 BAL MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN ATL TB HOU DAL PIT KC 101 45-29 61%
82 Doug Saegesser 8-5 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU WAS PIT KC 102 44-43 51%
71 Paul Willstrop 9-4 MIA MIN BUF NO PHI NE CIN NYJ CAR HOU DAL DET KC 103 19-8 70%
82 Samantha Gonzalez 8-4 MIN OAK NO PHI NE CIN NYJ TB HOU DAL PIT KC 104 8-4 67%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.
>>

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 08 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 8

Hopefully you had as much success predicting outcomes as Oracle did, or for that matter any of the other six predictive methods displayed at the end of this post; if yes, then at the bare minimum you were 11-4 for Week 7 of the 2017 NFL season. So, we’ll go ahead and get that dirt off our shoulder at Oracle, and feel free to do the same if you’re feeling like a boss. Now, a look at how teams are trending heading into Week 8 before we try to provide you with an encore of successful Week 8 predictions.

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 08

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Philadelphia Eagles(6-1) 1
2Kansas City Chiefs(5-2) 1
3Minnesota Vikings(5-2)--
4New England Patriots(5-2) 1
5Pittsburgh Steelers(5-2) 1
6New Orleans Saints(4-2) 3
7Los Angeles Rams(5-2) 1
8Carolina Panthers(4-3) 2
9Miami Dolphins(4-2) 4
10Buffalo Bills(4-2)--
11Green Bay Packers(4-3) 4
12Jacksonville Jaguars(4-3) 1
13Tennessee Titans(4-3) 2
14Oakland Raiders(3-4) 10
15Chicago Bears(3-4) 8
16Seattle Seahawks(4-2) 4
17Atlanta Falcons(3-3) 5
18Denver Broncos(3-3) 1
19New York Jets(3-4) 3
20Detroit Lions(3-3) 6
21Los Angeles Chargers(3-4) 7
22Washington Redskins(3-3) 4
23Houston Texans(3-3) 4
24Baltimore Ravens(3-4) 3
25Arizona Cardinals(3-4) 3
26Dallas Cowboys(3-3)--
27Cincinnati Bengals(2-4) 2
28Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-4) 1
29Indianapolis Colts(2-5)--
30New York Giants(1-6)--
31Cleveland Browns(0-7)--
32San Francisco 49ers(0-7)--

The combination of (2) Kansas City Chiefs losing a nail-biter to (14) Oakland Raiders and the (1) Philadelphia Eagles pulling out an exciting Monday Night Football victory over (23) Washington Redskins has presented us with a new leader, the Eagles soaring above the Chiefs, who still stood their ground and only fell one rank. A byproduct of that nail-biter loss for the Chiefs is that the Raiders became our biggest mover (+10) for Week 8, despite their losing record and the lacking presence of their young star quarterback, Derek Carr.

No one team had such a significant move in the opposite direction, although the (20) Detroit Lions gave it their best shot, free falling (-6) due to the week off along with positive trends by other previously-similarly-ranked teams.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 08

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Oct 26 2017(9) MIA @ (24) BAL(24) BAL56.83%
Sun Oct 29 2017(3) MIN @ (31) CLE(3) MIN84.68%
Sun Oct 29 2017(29) IND @ (27) CIN(27) CIN67.89%
Sun Oct 29 2017(14) OAK @ (10) BUF(14) OAK53.32%
Sun Oct 29 2017(8) CAR @ (28) TB(8) CAR59.50%
Sun Oct 29 2017(17) ATL @ (19) NYJ(19) NYJ50.18%
Sun Oct 29 2017(21) LAC @ (4) NE(4) NE62.08%
Sun Oct 29 2017(32) SF @ (1) PHI(1) PHI84.76%
Sun Oct 29 2017(15) CHI @ (6) NO(6) NO61.70%
Sun Oct 29 2017(23) HOU @ (16) SEA(23) HOU51.34%
Sun Oct 29 2017(26) DAL @ (22) WAS(26) DAL54.37%
Sun Oct 29 2017(5) PIT @ (20) DET(5) PIT62.31%
Mon Oct 30 2017(18) DEN @ (2) KC(2) KC60.92%

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

For Week 7, we gave you two sure-fire picks (give or take), predicting with confidence that (12) Jacksonville Jaguars and (15) Tennessee Titans would take care of business against (29) Indianapolis Colts and (31) Cleveland Browns, respectively. The Jaguars had no trouble making that prediction appear, well, sure-fire, trouncing the division-rival Colts 27-0. The Titans, on the other hand, represented more of the “give or take” component of the equation, requiring overtime to beat the winless Browns by an unconvincing score of 12-9. Keep in mind that the confidence levels when making predictions over the outcomes of games has no direct bearing on what the spread might be, so a win is a win, and the Titans (barely) delivered.

This week, there is one game in particular we want to focus on. It is with 85% certainty that Oracle predicts the Browns to, you guessed it, go another week without earning a win. Such a shocking prediction is aided by the fact that the (3) Minnesota Vikings will be the lucky team heading to Cleveland. Be warned though, one week ago the Browns nearly escaped with a win against the once-believed-to-be dominant Titans.

Flip a coin

There were six NFL games with confidence levels in the 50th percentile last week, but we gave you two specifically to flip a coin on: (6) New Orleans Saints @ (11) Green Bay Packers and (17) Atlanta Falcons @ (4) New England Patriots. Here is where we will pay attention to the score of the each game. Oracle did give the Saints the edge, and they backed that prediction up, beating the Packers 26-17 in Wisconsin, taking advantage of the young back-up starting in place of the injured Aaron Rodgers. As for the Patriots, they also supported the Oracle prediction, besting the Falcons 23-7 in the rematch of last year’s epic Super Bowl.

For week 8, there are once again six NFL games with confidence levels in the 50th percentile. However, we’ll simply select one of these match-ups: (17) Atlanta Falcons @ (19) New York Jets. Who would’ve thought the former NFC Champions, with the former MVP as their quarterback, would only have a 50.18% confidence level over the Jets!?! Upon further evaluation though, you can see that the Jets scored more points in their last game than the Falcons have in their last two games combined. On paper, it seems relatively easy to choose the Falcons over the Jets, but things become slightly less clear with the way Atlanta has played since Week 3.

The NFL Oracle was 11-4 (73.33%) during week 7. Here is how we did predicting each game:

[62.32%]: (1) Kansas City Chiefs 30 @ (24) Oakland Raiders 31
[56.72%]: (27) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 @ (10) Buffalo Bills 30
[55.30%]: (16) New York Jets 28 @ (13) Miami Dolphins 31
[84.64%]: (11) Jacksonville Jaguars 27 @ (29) Indianapolis Colts 0
[83.08%]: (15) Tennessee Titans 12 @ (31) Cleveland Browns 9
[54.01%]: (21) Baltimore Ravens 16 @ (3) Minnesota Vikings 24
[73.07%]: (22) Arizona Cardinals 0 @ (8) Los Angeles Rams 33
[61.72%]: (6) Carolina Panthers 3 @ (23) Chicago Bears 17
[54.48%]: (9) New Orleans Saints 26 @ (7) Green Bay Packers 17
[74.57%]: (26) Dallas Cowboys 40 @ (32) San Francisco 49ers 10
[66.45%]: (17) Denver Broncos 0 @ (28) Los Angeles Chargers 21
[63.77%]: (25) Cincinnati Bengals 14 @ (4) Pittsburgh Steelers 29
[63.31%]: (20) Seattle Seahawks 24 @ (30) New York Giants 7
[58.94%]: (12) Atlanta Falcons 7 @ (5) New England Patriots 23
[59.68%]: (18) Washington Redskins 24 @ (2) Philadelphia Eagles 34

This article started by praising Oracle for a fine performance during Week 7, but don’t think that will prevent us from breaking down how Oracle could have reasonably done even better. First, the Chiefs were favored over the Raiders with a decent level of confidence, and the game was ultimately decided by just one point. Second, the way the Jets offense has been playing, and the way the Dolphins team has been playing, who would’ve thought back-up quarterback Matt Moore would relieve Jay Cutler and bring his team back for 17 unanswered points? Third, the Panthers had been looking as if they were returning to their Super Bowl-caliber form, but two 75+ yard defensive touchdowns for the Bears allowed rookie Mitchell Trubisky to only attempt seven passes all game and still beat Carolina 17-3. Fourth…we’ve got nothing for the Broncos, y’all just choked. I’ll settle for 14-1.

>> Newsletter_NFL_Comparison

Win % Massey Colley Biased Voter Keener PageRank NFL Oracle
KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF
MIA NYJ MIA MIA NYJ NYJ NYJ
JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC
TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN
MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN
LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR
CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR CHI CAR
GB NO NO NO NO NO NO
DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL
DEN DEN DEN LAC LAC DEN DEN
PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT
SEA SEA SEA SEA NYG SEA SEA
NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI
11-4 11-4 12-3 13-2 11-4 12-3 11-4

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

Do you think you can pick NFL games better than the NFL Oracle?

See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 8

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 8

Valero Alamo Bowl Projection:

Projection Week 08 Big 12 Pac-12
NCAAF Oracle  Oklahoma Washington

We consider the NCAAF Oracle Ranking below to determine which teams would be selected for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Find out more about how the Oracle works and subscribe to our weekly newsletter

NCAAF Oracle has the Big 12 rankings as follows: (5) Texas Christian, (26) Oklahoma, (29) Oklahoma State, (43) Iowa State, (45) Texas Tech, (52) West Virginia, (73) Texas, (98) Kansas State, (119) Kansas, and (127) Baylor.

NCAAF Oracle has the Pac-12 rankings as follows: (4) Southern California, (8) Washington State, (11) Washington, (14) Stanford, (36) Oregon, (42) California, (50) Arizona, (56) Utah, (57) Colorado, (59) Arizona State, (65) UCLA, and (123) Oregon State.

As far as the Week 8 schedule goes, (26) Oklahoma has a conference match-up against (98) Kansas State while (5) Texas Christian is set for a conference match-up as well against (119) Kansas. This presents (5) Texas Christian an opportunity to remain undefeated overall and in-conference, helping to secure their positioning in advance of the College Football Playoffs and Bowl Games. Likewise, (26) Oklahoma has a chance to stay one game behind (5) Texas Christian in-conference, making them a strong projection for the Valero Alamo Bowl.

On the Pac-12 side of things, (4) Southern California is tied with (8) Washington State and (11) Washington for the best record in-conference at 6-1 overall, but (4) Southern California has the edge with a half game lead for best record in-conference at 4-1 to the two Washington teams’ 3-1 mark. (4) South California is safe from any movement in-conference this week, although their overall record may take a hit depending on how their game against Notre Dame plays out. (8) Washington State does have a conference game this week against (57) Colorado so, barring an upset, they will move into a tie for first with a 4-1 record in-conference. As it stands, this is a tight race atop the Pac-12, but the bye week for (11) Washington makes them a favorable projection to meet (26) Oklahoma in the Valero Alamo Bowl.

(11) Washington has only had one appearance in the Valero Alamo Bowl, coming back in 2011 in an epic offensive performance that even the 2016 TCU vs. Oregon match-up couldn’t surpass, with Baylor outlasting Washington 67-56. In the other corner, (26) Oklahoma has never appeared in the Valero Alamo Bowl. For those of you unfamiliar with that wild 2016 Valero Alamo Bowl showdown, take a look at the breakdown of that game compared to games in prior years, as well as compared to other Bowl Games

NCAAF Oracle – Week 08

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Alabama(7-0) 2
2Georgia(7-0)--
3Clemson(6-1) 2
4Southern California(6-1) 4
5Texas Christian(6-0) 4
6Penn State(6-0) 1
7San Diego State(6-1) 1
8Washington State(6-1) 4
9North Carolina State(6-1) 1
10Ohio State(6-1) 1
11Washington(6-1) 4
12Wisconsin(6-0) 2
13Michigan State(5-1) 3
14Stanford(5-2) 9
15Memphis(5-1) 17
16Miami FL_(5-0) 10
17Central Florida(5-0) 3
18Texas A&M(5-2) 7
19South Carolina(5-2) 3
20Louisiana State(5-2) 13
21South Florida(6-0)--
22Notre Dame(5-1) 10
23Michigan(5-1) 1
24Virginia(5-1) 7
25Kentucky(5-1) 12
26Oklahoma(5-1) 9
27Navy(5-1) 12
28Virginia Tech(5-1) 11
29Oklahoma State(5-1) 8
30Iowa(4-2) 11
31Auburn(5-2) 13
32Boise State(4-2) 18
33Toledo(5-1) 10
34North Texas(4-2) 18
35Syracuse(4-3) 25
36Oregon(4-3) 7
37Troy(4-2) 7
38Colorado State(5-2) 4
39Army(5-2) 5
40Marshall(5-1) 5
41Houston(4-2) 13
42California(4-3) 29
43Iowa State(4-2) 5
44Southern Methodist(4-2) 8
45Texas Tech(4-2) 18
46Wake Forest(4-2) 12
47Ohio(5-2)--
48Mississippi State(4-2) 6
49Northern Illinois(4-2) 18
50Arizona(4-2) 22
51Western Michigan(4-3) 13
52West Virginia(4-2) 28
53Louisville(4-3) 14
54Akron(4-3) 25
55Alabama-Birmingham(4-2) 20
56Utah(4-2) 15
57Colorado(4-3) 7
58Wyoming(4-2) 20
59Arizona State(3-3) 30
60Appalachian State(4-2) 14
61Southern Mississippi(4-2) 5
62Fresno State(4-2) 19
63Florida(3-3) 23
64Florida International(4-2) 21
65UCLA(3-3) 14
66Duke(4-3) 20
67Boston College(3-4) 21
68Middle Tennessee State(3-4) 11
69Western Kentucky(4-2) 14
70Maryland(3-3) 21
71Purdue(3-3) 18
72Tulane(3-3) 7
73Texas(3-3) 18
74Nebraska(3-4) 13
75Louisiana Tech(3-3) 5
76Indiana(3-3) 13
77Buffalo(3-4) 9
78Mississippi(3-3) 21
79Central Michigan(3-4) 17
80Minnesota(3-3) 22
81Vanderbilt(3-4) 22
82Florida Atlantic(3-3) 16
83New Mexico(3-3) 1
84Northwestern(3-3) 17
85Tennessee(3-3) 16
86Louisiana-Lafayette(3-3) 7
87Louisiana-Monroe(3-3) 10
88Utah State(3-4) 15
89Georgia Tech(3-2) 13
90Georgia State(3-2) 16
91New Mexico State(3-4) 4
92Florida State(2-3) 15
93Temple(3-4) 9
94Tulsa(2-5) 16
95Hawaii(3-4) 7
96Arkansas State(3-2) 9
97Texas-San Antonio(3-2) 11
98Kansas State(3-3) 11
99Illinois(2-4) 9
100Ball State(2-4) 9
101South Alabama(2-4) 28
102Kent State(2-5) 6
103Rutgers(2-4) 18
104Arkansas(2-4) 10
105Idaho(2-4) 7
106Connecticut(2-4) 10
107Miami OH_(2-5) 15
108Air Force(2-4) 9
109Nevada-Las Vegas(2-4) 13
110Cincinnati(2-5) 13
111Pittsburgh(2-5) 11
112Eastern Michigan(2-4) 8
113Old Dominion(2-4) 10
114Nevada(1-6) 1
115East Carolina(1-6) 6
116North Carolina(1-6) 6
117Bowling Green State(1-6) 6
118San Jose State(1-7) 5
119Kansas(1-5) 3
120Missouri(1-5) 3
121Texas State(1-6) 3
122Brigham Young(1-6) 3
123Oregon State(1-6) 3
124Coastal Carolina(1-5) 1
125Rice(1-5)--
126Georgia Southern(0-5)--
127Baylor(0-6)--
128Charlotte(0-7)--
129Texas-El Paso(0-7)--
130Massachusetts(0-6)--

The table above allows you to see how different teams are trending after their Week 7 performances. Within the top-10, (4) Southern California and (5) Texas Christian were the biggest positive movers (+4), while (8) Washington State was the biggest negative mover (-4) after an embarrassing blowout to California. Interestingly, when comparing this information with the table below, you can see that (4) Southern California has a strong chance of continuing to trend in a positive direction, whereas (5) Texas Christian isn’t projected to climb more than 2 ranks, if they even manage to trend positively.

NCAAF Oracle: Poll prediction feature for Week 8

The current top 20 teams are listed in the columns below. In the rows, we indicate the chances each team has to be ranked in that column by the end of the week.

Rk Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 Alabama 66% 20% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 Georgia 6% 23% 32% 23% 12% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 Clemson 0% 0% 2% 8% 19% 27% 23% 13% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 Southern California 16% 27% 6% 1% 3% 6% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 Texas Christian 0% 0% 7% 16% 17% 13% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 Penn State 12% 24% 13% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 San Diego State 0% 4% 17% 18% 8% 3% 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 8% 5% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 Washington State 0% 0% 11% 20% 14% 4% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0%
9 North Carolina State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 17% 16% 12% 8% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
10 Ohio State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 11% 13% 14% 13% 11% 8% 5% 2% 1%
11 Washington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 7% 13% 18% 20% 17% 11% 6%
12 Wisconsin 0% 0% 2% 7% 14% 15% 9% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 10% 8% 5% 3%
13 Michigan State 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% 6% 9% 9%
14 Stanford 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3%
15 Memphis 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%
16 Miami FL_ 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 8% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17 Central Florida 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 5% 8% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
18 Texas A&M 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
19 South Carolina 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4%
20 Louisiana State 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%

Looking at this table, you can see that the #1 rank will be decided between four teams: Alabama, Georgia, Southern California, and Penn State. As they currently hold the #1 rank, Alabama possesses the strongest change of maintaining their position (66%). Take into account that their Week 8 match-up is against an unranked Tennessee team that has played inconsistent football and only registered 9 total points in their last two games combined, and it makes sense that, even if Alabama were to lose the #1 rank, their fall from grace would likely be minimized to only the #3 rank (11%).

Although Georgia holds the #2 rank at present, it is (4) Southern California (16%) and (6) Penn State (12%) that have the next best chances of dethroning the Crimson Tide. This is largely attributable to the fact that (2) Georgia is on a bye week, leaving their fate in the hands of other teams. As such, if (4) Southern California can perform better than they had in Week 7 against Utah (they’ll be facing a far-stronger opponent in Notre Dame), there is a good chance they may, if nothing else, leapfrog Georgia for the #2 rank (27%). Likewise, (6) Penn State can make a strong case for the #2 rank (24%) if they pull out a win against Michigan Saturday evening. The Nittany Lions are coming off a bye week, so expect a well-rested team that is hungry to remain unbeaten. All that being said, a loss for either of these teams would present a significant setback, as (4) Southern California could fall anywhere from #6 to #13, and (6) Penn State could fall anywhere from #7 to #15. Such significant drops are highly unlikely, even with a loss, but that does not mean it can’t happen.

Heading into Week 8, the team that faces the widest range for possible ranking by week’s end is (8) Washington State. Facing a 4-3 Colorado team, there is only a 2% chance that Washington State retains their #8 ranking, which presents two vastly different interpretations: the optimistic and more favorable of these two involves the Cougars winning, which could elevate them all the way up to #3 (11%) but has the strongest chance of stopping the climb at #4 (20%), if not #5 (14%). It’s still good that there’s a 45% chance Washington State will finish between #3 and #5, but here comes the second of those two interpretations: the pessimistic and less favorable scenario would likely arise following a Washington State loss. Should this occur, there is a 34% chance the team could fall anywhere between #11 and #15, although all of the wrong dominos could fall and drop the Cougars to #18.

Lastly, for those of you who are fans of (14) Stanford, (18) Texas A&M, or (19) South Carolina, the odds are not ever in your favor; with all three of these teams on a bye, consider their chances of remaining in the top-20 very slim.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

>>

Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 8

2017 Challenge – Week 07 Results

92% 97% 27% 83% 7% 38% 78% 88% 34% 14% 94% 73% 90% 28% 11%
Concensus (12-3) @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
8% 3% 73% 17% 93% 62% 22% 12% 66% 86% 6% 27% 10% 72% 89%
Week 7 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
4 Mark Montalbano 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 1 72-34 68%
20 Jordan Bruce 11-4 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 2 68-38 64%
4 Jonathan Prescott 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 2 68-38 64%
20 Massey STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 2 68-38 64%
55 Tucker Morrow 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 2 68-38 64%
20 Keener STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC NYG NE PHI 6 67-39 63%
20 NFL Oracle 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 6 67-39 63%
20 Will Farner 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC NYG NE PHI 6 67-39 63%
55 Patrick Pringle 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 9 66-40 62%
4 Chris DiPaolo 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 9 66-40 62%
55 Craig Mills 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 9 66-40 62%
55 Douglas Dellmore 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI BAL DAL LAC NYG NE PHI 9 66-40 62%
20 Bob Nicholson 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO CIN NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 9 66-40 62%
81 Brian Miceli 9-6 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN SF DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
20 Brent Morgan 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
55 Chris Robinson 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 14 65-41 61%
4 Colley STAT 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
81 Joshua Adame 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 14 65-41 61%
20 Jesse Gamble 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 14 65-41 61%
1 Maddie Heliste 13-2 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
4 Marie Lutz 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 14 65-41 61%
1 Biased Voter STAT 13-2 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
20 Chris Fanick 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Johnny Biology 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG ATL PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Joshua Hernandez 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 stella artois 10-5 KC TEN TB NO CIN MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 22 64-42 60%
4 Marc Goodrich 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
20 Ghost of Tony Romo 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Best OFF STAT 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
4 PageRank STAT 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
20 Ryan Reynolds 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
55 Steven Hargis 10-5 OAK TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 22 64-42 60%
20 Valerie Schweers 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO CIN NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 22 64-42 60%
81 Alexander Krantz 9-6 KC TEN BUF GB PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
55 Deven Nongbri 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
55 Liza Southwick 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
20 Oracle/Wins STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
81 Sam Hyden 9-6 KC TEN TB GB PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
4 Dillon Wolf 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 34 63-43 59%
81 Brady Walker 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-43 59%
4 Eric Suhler 12-2 TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-43 59%
55 Jeremy Lynch 10-5 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
55 Kevin McIntyre 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
107 OFF Yds STAT 6-9 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CAR ARI BAL SF LAC NYG NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
4 Sarah Farrell 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 40 62-44 58%
20 Arastu Jahanbin 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
4 Bryan Fowler 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
55 Ben Newhouse 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
95 Craig Burton 8-7 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Clint Schroeder 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Damon Bullis 11-4 OAK TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI BAL DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
104 Best DEF STAT 7-8 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CHI ARI BAL DAL LAC NYG NE WAS 46 61-45 58%
81 Enrique Alcoreza 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
4 Hugh Daschbach 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 46 61-45 58%
4 Dylan Holland 12-3 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
81 Rick Hover 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI BAL DAL DEN NYG NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Josh Moczygemba 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Michele Johnson 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 46 61-45 58%
55 Ryan Gray 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO CIN MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 46 61-45 58%
95 Reese Murphy 8-7 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL WAS 46 61-45 58%
81 Keller Murphey 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 46 61-45 58%
20 Diana Riddle 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-32 65%
55 David Wood 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Harry Wallace 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Jordan Bethea 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Jim Freeman 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
55 Liam Crawley 10-5 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CAR ARI BAL DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
81 Susan Coker 9-6 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
81 Tim Ward 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 62 60-46 57%
20 Dylan Hendel 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 62 60-46 57%
55 Davis King 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
95 Dale Cochran 8-7 KC TEN TB GB PIT MIA IND CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
20 Tanner Kohfield 11-4 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 71 59-33 64%
20 Mitchell Kight 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 71 59-47 56%
20 Matthew Jones 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
55 Mary Love 10-5 OAK TEN BUF GB CIN MIA IND CHI LAR MIN SF DEN SEA NE PHI 71 59-47 56%
4 Kevin Davis 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 71 59-47 56%
81 Tessa Uviedo 9-5 TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 71 59-45 57%
20 Christina Cooley 11-4 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 79 58-48 55%
55 Rebecca Cook 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CHI ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 79 58-48 55%
55 DEF Yds STAT 10-5 KC TEN TB NO CIN NYJ JAC CHI LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA NE WAS 79 58-48 55%
95 Heather H. Smith 8-7 KC CLE BUF NO CIN MIA IND CHI ARI BAL DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 79 58-48 55%
20 Michael Dennis 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 79 58-48 55%
81 Tim O’Sullivan 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 79 58-48 55%
95 Finlay McCracken 8-7 KC CLE BUF GB PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
20 Les Bleamaster 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO CIN MIA JAC CAR LAR BAL DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
55 Shawn Sunday 10-5 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 85 57-49 54%
55 Tom Tegtmeyer 10-5 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA IND CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
20 WinPct STAT 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 85 57-49 54%
20 Kipp Smithers 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 90 56-35 62%
81 Rick McMullen 9-6 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 90 56-50 53%
20 Matt Sidhom 11-4 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 90 56-50 53%
20 Adam Mueller 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL PHI 93 55-35 61%
20 Jack Wisniewski 11-4 KC TEN BUF GB PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 93 55-37 60%
95 Callum Squires 8-7 KC TEN TB GB PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 95 53-37 59%
1 Jacob Tingle 13-2 OAK TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN SF LAC SEA NE PHI 95 53-37 59%
104 Britni Ridolfi 7-8 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ IND CHI ARI BAL DAL DEN SEA NE WAS 97 51-55 48%
95 TD Gunslinger 8-7 KC TEN BUF NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI BAL SF LAC SEA NE WAS 97 51-55 48%
20 Taylor Stakes 11-4 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA IND CHI LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA ATL PHI 97 51-41 55%
95 Manny Gonzalez 8-7 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 100 50-40 56%
81 Braxton Bartlett 9-6 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 101 49-41 54%
4 Jana Bleamaster 12-3 KC TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA NE PHI 102 47-30 61%
4 Suzy Gray 12-3 OAK TEN TB NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 102 47-29 62%
104 Janie Childers 7-8 KC CLE BUF GB PIT MIA IND CHI ARI MIN SF DEN NYG NE PHI 104 40-36 53%
55 Doug Saegesser 10-5 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN SEA NE PHI 105 36-38 49%
95 Josh Huskin 8-7 KC TEN TB NO PIT NYJ JAC CAR ARI MIN DAL LAC SEA ATL WAS 106 34-25 58%
55 Paul Willstrop 10-4 TEN BUF NO PIT MIA JAC CAR LAR MIN DAL DEN NYG ATL PHI 107 10-4 71%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 07 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 7

Good news, bad news. The good news is that Week 6 of the 2017 NFL season had plenty of highs for those of you that saw your team pull out a victory, or if you had success predicting the outcomes of each game. The bad news is that, if you aren’t a fan of any of those winning teams, or if you had as much luck picking correct outcomes as the (31) Cleveland Browns do winning games, then Week 6 had plenty of lows. So, with that being said, take a look at the rankings heading into Week 7, as well as how each team is trending.

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 07

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Kansas City Chiefs(5-1)--
2Philadelphia Eagles(5-1) 3
3Minnesota Vikings(4-2) 6
4Pittsburgh Steelers(4-2) 6
5New England Patriots(4-2) 3
6Carolina Panthers(4-2) 4
7Green Bay Packers(4-2) 4
8Los Angeles Rams(4-2) 8
9New Orleans Saints(3-2) 8
10Buffalo Bills(3-2) 6
11Jacksonville Jaguars(3-3) 4
12Atlanta Falcons(3-2) 6
13Miami Dolphins(3-2) 10
14Detroit Lions(3-3) 2
15Tennessee Titans(3-3) 3
16New York Jets(3-3) 5
17Denver Broncos(3-2) 4
18Washington Redskins(3-2) 2
19Houston Texans(3-3) 2
20Seattle Seahawks(3-2) 5
21Baltimore Ravens(3-3) 7
22Arizona Cardinals(3-3) 3
23Chicago Bears(2-4) 5
24Oakland Raiders(2-4) 5
25Cincinnati Bengals(2-3) 3
26Dallas Cowboys(2-3) 2
27Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-3) 1
28Los Angeles Chargers(2-4) 1
29Indianapolis Colts(2-4) 2
30New York Giants(1-5) 1
31Cleveland Browns(0-6) 1
32San Francisco 49ers(0-6)--

Let’s take a moment and really give a round of applause to the (13) Miami Dolphins, as they were our big movers (+10) thanks to an almost-incredible comeback against the (12) Atlanta Falcons. To be clear, the Dolphins did come back to win the game 20-17, hence the “incredible” since their season started with a season-ending injury to quarterback Ryan Tannehill and was followed with the out-of-necessity signing of Jay “mediocre” Cutler. But then there’s the “almost” part: don’t forget, the Falcons are the team that blew a 28-3 to the (5) New England Patriots in last year’s Super Bowl, so blowing a 17-point lead on Sunday wasn’t entirely unprecedented.

On the other side of the coin, our biggest movers in the wrong direction were the (21) Baltimore Ravens (-7). Not that their Week 6 game against the (23) Chicago Bears was in the bag, but Oracle did have roughly 72% confidence in the Ravens to not blow it. I can’t even justify this by saying 2017 No. 2 overall pick Mitchell Trubisky was stellar in his debut; the kid certainly played well, but to expect the Bears to pull out a 27-24 overtime win on the road would have been a bit much…although apparently it wasn’t.

In any event, now that the top-5 have been shaken up (with exception to the not-so-undefeated-anymore (1) Kansas City Chiefs) let’s take a look at the Oracle picks for Week 7.

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 07

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Oct 19 2017(1) KC @ (24) OAK(1) KC62.32%
Sun Oct 22 2017(16) NYJ @ (13) MIA(16) NYJ55.30%
Sun Oct 22 2017(25) CIN @ (4) PIT(4) PIT63.77%
Sun Oct 22 2017(11) JAC @ (29) IND(11) JAC84.64%
Sun Oct 22 2017(21) BAL @ (3) MIN(3) MIN54.01%
Sun Oct 22 2017(6) CAR @ (23) CHI(6) CAR61.72%
Sun Oct 22 2017(22) ARI @ (8) LAR(8) LAR73.07%
Sun Oct 22 2017(15) TEN @ (31) CLE(15) TEN83.08%
Sun Oct 22 2017(27) TB @ (10) BUF(10) BUF56.72%
Sun Oct 22 2017(9) NO @ (7) GB(9) NO54.48%
Sun Oct 22 2017(26) DAL @ (32) SF(26) DAL74.57%
Sun Oct 22 2017(17) DEN @ (28) LAC(17) DEN66.45%
Sun Oct 22 2017(20) SEA @ (30) NYG(20) SEA63.31%
Sun Oct 22 2017(12) ATL @ (5) NE(5) NE58.94%
Mon Oct 23 2017(18) WAS @ (2) PHI(2) PHI59.68%

Sure-fire picks (give or take)

We’ve got two games this week that should be overflowing with one-sided action: (11) Jacksonville Jaguars @ (29) Indianapolis Colts and (15) Tennessee Titans @ (31) Cleveland Browns. Behind an elite defense with an offense predicated on rookie Leonard Fournette bulldozing players and Blake Bortles never throwing the ball, the Jaguars have become a threat to many. This remains the case against the AFC South-rival and Andrew Luck-less Colts, with Oracle nearly 85% certain Jacksonville can move to 4-3.

Unfortunately for Jacksonville, Tennessee is also expected to move to 4-3, which would keep both teams locked atop the division standings with the (19) Houston Texans facing a bye. Whether the Browns have Kevin Hogan or DeShone Kizer at the helm, the Titans will look to continue what the Texans started in Week 6 against Cleveland; Oracle has 83% confidence in the Titans chances of winning…or is it the Browns chances of losing?

Flip a coin

There are six NFL games this week that Oracle has a confidence level in the 50th percentile, indicative of a likely-close performance in each game. Arguably the two most-interesting of these games are (9) New Orleans Saints @ (7) Green Bay Packers and (12) Atlanta Falcons @ (5) New England Patriots. Originally, the Saints-Packers match-up was going to be an offensive showdown between elite quarterbacks in Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers…until Rodgers suffered a broken collarbone on his throwing shoulder in Week 6. New Orleans is given the edge at 54%, but still, no team likes to go on the road to Lambeau Field.

On that same note, teams generally don’t like to head to Foxborough to face Bill Belichick and Tom Brady…except this year, opponents have had no trouble scoring points on the road against the Patriots, so maybe the Falcons can spread their wings and soar high after facing some turbulence in Week 6. Oracle gives the Patriots a 59% chance of winning in this rematch of last year’s Super Bowl.

The NFL Oracle was 5-9 (35.71%) during week 6. Here is how we did predicting each game:

[50.33%]: (5) Philadelphia Eagles 28 @ (2) Carolina Panthers 23
[68.58%]: (23) Miami Dolphins 20 @ (6) Atlanta Falcons 17
[97.39%]: (32) San Francisco 49ers 24 @ (20) Washington Redskins 26
[54.50%]: (8) New England Patriots 24 @ (11) New York Jets 17
[98.24%]: (30) Cleveland Browns 17 @ (21) Houston Texans 33
[53.89%]: (3) Green Bay Packers 10 @ (9) Minnesota Vikings 23
[79.18%]: (28) Chicago Bears 27 @ (14) Baltimore Ravens 24
[55.76%]: (12) Detroit Lions 38 @ (17) New Orleans Saints 52
[68.47%]: (16) Los Angeles Rams 27 @ (7) Jacksonville Jaguars 17
[76.70%]: (26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33 @ (25) Arizona Cardinals 38
[61.75%]: (10) Pittsburgh Steelers 19 @ (1) Kansas City Chiefs 13
[89.28%]: (29) Los Angeles Chargers 17 @ (19) Oakland Raiders 16
[97.77%]: (31) New York Giants 23 @ (13) Denver Broncos 10
[87.99%]: (27) Indianapolis Colts 22 @ (18) Tennessee Titans 36

Can we please agree that numbers can be deceiving? For starters, apparently anything can happen during 2017 when it comes to Thursday Night Football, and it’s not like Oracle was 99% confident the Eagles would beat the Panthers. In saying that, I concede that I have no excuse for the 98% confidence-level the Broncos would beat the Giants, whose season appeared to end at the same moment star wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr.’s did. Besides that, few anticipated the Falcons blowing a late-lead to the Dolphins, Aaron Rodgers getting injured early in the game, the Bears forcing and winning overtime, or the Steelers offense finally waking up against the then-undefeated Chiefs. So, as I previously proposed, numbers can be deceiving, since Oracle realistically could have gone 10-4. But I digress. Here’s how Oracle stacked up to other predictive ranking methods.

Win % Massey Colley Biased Voter Keener PageRank NFL Oracle
CAR PHI CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR
ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL
WAS WAS WAS WAS WAS WAS WAS
NYJ NE NE NE NE NE NE
HOU HOU HOU HOU HOU HOU HOU
GB GB GB GB MIN MIN GB
BAL BAL BAL BAL CHI BAL BAL
DET NO DET NO NO NO NO
JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC JAC
TB TB TB TB TB TB TB
KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
OAK LAC OAK OAK LAC OAK OAK
DEN DEN DEN DEN DEN DEN DEN
TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN
3-11 7-7 4-10 5-9 8-6 6-8 5-9

Thanks for checking in. We’ll see you again in one week’s time. Hopefully there will be just as much to write about, with fewer injuries and incorrect predictions.

Written and published by Tyler Caldwell

Do you think you can pick NFL games better than the NFL Oracle?

See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 7

2017 Challenge – Week 06 Results


Week 6 Picks Season
Rk __Entry_Name__ Win-Loss Rk Record PCT
11 Mark Montalbano 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 1 60-31 66%
11 Tucker Morrow 7-7 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK PIT DEN TEN 2 58-33 64%
36 Jordan Bruce 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 3 57-34 63%
11 Massey STAT 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 3 57-34 63%
3 Brian Miceli 8-6 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
67 Patrick Pringle 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
3 Craig Mills 8-6 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE ARI JAC OAK PIT DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
96 Douglas Dellmore 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN IND 5 56-35 62%
11 Joshua Adame 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
67 Jonathan Prescott 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
3 Keener STAT 8-6 CAR CHI HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
11 OFF Yds STAT 7-7 PHI BAL CLE SF NO ATL MIN NE TB LAR LAC KC NYG IND 5 56-35 62%
67 NFL Oracle 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
36 Will Farner 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 5 56-35 62%
36 Chris Robinson 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 15 55-36 60%
11 Bob Nicholson 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 15 55-36 60%
96 Alexander Krantz 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
67 Brent Morgan 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
11 Chris DiPaolo 7-7 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
1 Best DEF STAT 9-5 PHI CHI HOU SF NO ATL GB NE ARI LAR LAC KC NYG IND 17 54-37 59%
67 Jesse Gamble 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
3 Johnny Biology 8-6 PHI CHI HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
36 Joshua Hernandez 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN IND 17 54-37 59%
36 stella artois 6-8 CAR BAL CLE WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
36 Best OFF STAT 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
67 Steven Hargis 5-9 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
11 Sam Hyden 7-7 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 17 54-37 59%
36 Brady Walker 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-37 59%
3 Craig Burton 8-6 CAR CHI HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK PIT DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
36 Chris Fanick 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
96 Colley STAT 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
11 Deven Nongbri 7-7 PHI BAL HOU SF NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC PIT DEN IND 28 53-38 58%
67 Liza Southwick 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN IND 28 53-38 58%
36 Marie Lutz 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
36 Ghost of Tony Romo 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
3 Reese Murphy 8-6 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL MIN NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
67 Ryan Reynolds 5-9 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN IND 28 53-38 58%
3 Valerie Schweers 8-6 PHI CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 28 53-38 58%
67 Enrique Alcoreza 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN IND 39 52-39 57%
67 Rick Hover 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC NYG IND 39 52-39 57%
67 Jeremy Lynch 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Kevin McIntyre 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
36 Marc Goodrich 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Maddie Heliste 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Oracle/Wins STAT 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
36 PageRank STAT 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
36 Keller Murphey 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 39 52-39 57%
67 Biased Voter STAT 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
67 Ben Newhouse 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
11 Daniel Dahlinger 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK PIT DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
96 Dale Cochran 4-10 PHI BAL HOU SF DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN IND 48 51-40 56%
67 Ryan Gray 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
67 Susan Coker 5-9 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
11 Dillon Wolf 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK PIT DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
11 Tim Ward 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 48 51-40 56%
36 Arastu Jahanbin 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
67 Clint Schroeder 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
67 Damon Bullis 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
96 David Wood 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
36 Eric Suhler 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
36 Heather H. Smith 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NYJ ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
67 Josh Moczygemba 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK PIT DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
67 Liam Crawley 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
67 Michele Johnson 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 56 50-41 55%
67 Sarah Farrell 5-9 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN IND 56 50-41 55%
67 Tessa Uviedo 5-9 PHI CHI CLE SF DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC KC DEN IND 56 50-40 56%
96 Bryan Fowler 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
11 Davis King 7-7 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
1 Diana Riddle 9-5 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO MIA GB NE ARI JAC LAC PIT DEN TEN 67 49-28 64%
96 Finlay McCracken 4-10 PHI BAL CLE SF DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN IND 67 49-42 54%
11 Hugh Daschbach 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
11 Dylan Holland 7-7 PHI BAL HOU SF NO MIA GB NE TB LAR OAK PIT DEN IND 67 49-42 54%
67 Harry Wallace 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
96 Jordan Bethea 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN IND 67 49-42 54%
36 Jim Freeman 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
11 Mary Love 7-7 CAR CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
67 Tim O’Sullivan 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
67 Dylan Hendel 5-9 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 67 49-42 54%
36 Rebecca Cook 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN IND 79 48-43 53%
3 DEF Yds STAT 8-6 PHI CHI HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN IND 79 48-43 53%
36 Tanner Kohfield 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 79 48-29 62%
67 Mitchell Kight 5-9 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN IND 79 48-43 53%
36 Matthew Jones 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 79 48-43 53%
96 Nicole Fratto 4-10 PHI BAL CLE SF DET MIA GB NYJ ARI LAR OAK KC DEN IND 79 48-43 53%
96 Christina Cooley 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN IND 85 47-44 52%
36 Rick McMullen 6-8 PHI CHI HOU WAS NO ATL GB NYJ TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 85 47-44 52%
96 Michael Dennis 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 85 47-44 52%
36 Kevin Davis 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 85 47-44 52%
96 Shawn Sunday 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 85 47-44 52%
36 Tom Tegtmeyer 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 85 47-44 52%
36 Les Bleamaster 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 91 46-45 51%
109 WinPct STAT 3-11 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NYJ TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 91 46-45 51%
36 Kipp Smithers 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 93 45-31 59%
36 Callum Squires 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO MIA GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 93 45-30 60%
96 Matt Sidhom 4-10 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 93 45-46 49%
11 Adam Mueller 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 96 44-31 59%
11 Britni Ridolfi 7-7 PHI BAL HOU SF NO ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK PIT DEN IND 96 44-47 48%
11 Ivan Mireles 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 96 44-47 48%
36 Jack Wisniewski 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 96 44-33 57%
11 DARRIN Harzewski 7-7 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 100 43-32 57%
36 TD Gunslinger 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 100 43-48 47%
11 John Pederson 7-7 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL MIN NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 102 42-33 56%
36 Manny Gonzalez 6-8 PHI BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN IND 102 42-33 56%
11 Braxton Bartlett 7-7 PHI CHI HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 104 40-35 53%
36 Jacob Tingle 6-8 CAR BAL HOU SF NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC LAC KC DEN TEN 104 40-35 53%
11 Taylor Stakes 7-7 PHI BAL HOU SF NO ATL GB NE TB LAR LAC KC DEN TEN 104 40-37 52%
11 Ben Nunes 7-7 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 107 35-26 57%
36 Suzy Gray 6-8 CAR BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE ARI JAC OAK KC DEN TEN 107 35-26 57%
109 Doug Saegesser 3-11 CAR BAL HOU WAS DET ATL GB NE TB JAC OAK KC DEN IND 109 26-33 44%
11 Josh Huskin 7-7 PHI BAL HOU WAS NO ATL GB NE TB LAR OAK KC DEN TEN 109 26-18 59%

When you enter your picks, you will be automatically added to receive a reminder for your picks every week a few days before the first game of the week.

Posted in NFL, NFL Challenge | Comments Off on 2017 Challenge – Week 06 Results

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 6

 

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 06

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Kansas City Chiefs(5-0)--
2Carolina Panthers(4-1) 2
3Green Bay Packers(4-1) 5
4Buffalo Bills(3-2) 2
5Philadelphia Eagles(4-1) 5
6Atlanta Falcons(3-1) 3
7Jacksonville Jaguars(3-2) 10
8New England Patriots(3-2) 6
9Minnesota Vikings(3-2) 3
10Pittsburgh Steelers(3-2) 4
11New York Jets(3-2) 7
12Detroit Lions(3-2) 5
13Denver Broncos(3-1) 8
14Baltimore Ravens(3-2) 8
15Seattle Seahawks(3-2) 9
16Los Angeles Rams(3-2) 7
17New Orleans Saints(2-2) 4
18Tennessee Titans(2-3) 2
19Oakland Raiders(2-3) 4
20Washington Redskins(2-2) 9
21Houston Texans(2-3) 2
22Cincinnati Bengals(2-3) 5
23Miami Dolphins(2-2) 3
24Dallas Cowboys(2-3) 4
25Arizona Cardinals(2-3) 2
26Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-2) 5
27Indianapolis Colts(2-3) 1
28Chicago Bears(1-4) 3
29Los Angeles Chargers(1-4) 1
30Cleveland Browns(0-5) 1
31New York Giants(0-5)--
32San Francisco 49ers(0-5)--

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 06

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Oct 12 2017(5) PHI @ (2) CAR(2) CAR50.26%
Sun Oct 15 2017(8) NE @ (11) NYJ(8) NE53.52%
Sun Oct 15 2017(3) GB @ (9) MIN(3) GB53.13%
Sun Oct 15 2017(32) SF @ (20) WAS(20) WAS79.33%
Sun Oct 15 2017(28) CHI @ (14) BAL(14) BAL71.85%
Sun Oct 15 2017(30) CLE @ (21) HOU(21) HOU84.10%
Sun Oct 15 2017(12) DET @ (17) NO(17) NO54.54%
Sun Oct 15 2017(23) MIA @ (6) ATL(6) ATL62.93%
Sun Oct 15 2017(26) TB @ (25) ARI(26) TB65.40%
Sun Oct 15 2017(16) LAR @ (7) JAC(7) JAC65.87%
Sun Oct 15 2017(10) PIT @ (1) KC(1) KC59.96%
Sun Oct 15 2017(29) LAC @ (19) OAK(19) OAK76.98%
Sun Oct 15 2017(31) NYG @ (13) DEN(13) DEN81.30%
Mon Oct 16 2017(27) IND @ (18) TEN(18) TEN76.55%

The NFL Oracle was 9-5 (64.29%) during week 5. Here is how we did predicting each game:

[57.54%]: (14) New England Patriots 19 @ (21) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14
[80.80%]: (16) Tennessee Titans 10 @ (26) Miami Dolphins 16
[78.68%]: (18) New York Jets 17 @ (29) Cleveland Browns 14
[57.94%]: (17) Jacksonville Jaguars 30 @ (6) Pittsburgh Steelers 9
[55.63%]: (32) San Francisco 49ers 23 @ (28) Indianapolis Colts 26
[67.17%]: (23) Arizona Cardinals 7 @ (10) Philadelphia Eagles 34
[63.41%]: (2) Buffalo Bills 16 @ (27) Cincinnati Bengals 20
[50.00%]: (30) Los Angeles Chargers 27 @ (31) New York Giants 22
[51.84%]: (4) Carolina Panthers 27 @ (7) Detroit Lions 24
[55.53%]: (22) Baltimore Ravens 30 @ (15) Oakland Raiders 17
[58.76%]: (24) Seattle Seahawks 16 @ (9) Los Angeles Rams 10
[59.11%]: (8) Green Bay Packers 35 @ (20) Dallas Cowboys 31
[52.10%]: (1) Kansas City Chiefs 42 @ (19) Houston Texans 34
[65.89%]: (12) Minnesota Vikings 20 @ (25) Chicago Bears 17

>> Newsletter_NFL_Comparison

Win % Massey Colley Biased Voter Keener PageRank NFL Oracle
TB NE NE NE NE NE NE
TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN TEN
NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ
PIT JAC PIT PIT PIT PIT JAC
IND SF IND SF SF IND IND
PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI
BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF
NYG LAC LAC LAC LAC NYG NYG
DET CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR
OAK OAK OAK OAK OAK OAK OAK
LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR
GB GB GB GB GB GB GB
KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN MIN
6-8 9-5 9-5 8-6 8-6 8-6 9-5

 

Do you think you can pick NFL games better than the NFL Oracle?

See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 6

2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 7

NCAAF Oracle – Week 07

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Clemson(6-0)--
2Georgia(6-0)--
3Alabama(6-0)--
4Washington State(6-0) 2
5Penn State(6-0)--
6San Diego State(6-0) 2
7Washington(6-0)--
8Southern California(5-1) 1
9Texas Christian(5-0) 1
10North Carolina State(5-1) 4
11Ohio State(5-1) 4
12Notre Dame(5-1) 1
13Kentucky(5-1) 3
14Wisconsin(5-0) 9
15Navy(5-0) 7
16Michigan State(4-1) 26
17Virginia Tech(5-1) 3
18Auburn(5-1) 10
19Iowa(4-2) 16
20Central Florida(4-0) 4
21South Florida(5-0) 11
22South Carolina(4-2) 11
23Stanford(4-2) 18
24Michigan(4-1) 13
25Texas A&M(4-2) 8
26Miami FL_(4-0) 12
27Texas Tech(4-1) 10
28Houston(4-1) 25
29Oregon(4-2) 17
30Troy(4-1) 9
31Virginia(4-1) 13
32Memphis(4-1) 7
33Louisiana State(4-2) 25
34Wake Forest(4-2) 16
35Oklahoma(4-1) 9
36Southern Methodist(4-2) 11
37Oklahoma State(4-1) 18
38Western Michigan(4-2) 7
39Louisville(4-2) 12
40Florida(3-2) 11
41Utah(4-1) 11
42Colorado State(4-2) 20
43Toledo(4-1) 22
44Army(4-2) 12
45Marshall(4-1) 4
46Duke(4-2) 12
47Ohio(4-2) 15
48Iowa State(3-2) 34
49Maryland(3-2) 13
50Boise State(3-2) 14
51UCLA(3-2) 20
52North Texas(3-2) 9
53Purdue(3-2) 17
54Mississippi State(3-2) 14
55Texas(3-2) 22
56Southern Mississippi(3-2) 25
57Middle Tennessee State(3-3) 36
58Minnesota(3-2) 12
59Vanderbilt(3-3) 11
60Syracuse(3-3) 19
61Nebraska(3-3) 14
62Central Michigan(3-3) 25
63Indiana(3-2) 11
64Colorado(3-3) 14
65Tulane(3-2) 10
66Florida Atlantic(3-3) 22
67Northern Illinois(3-2) 6
68Buffalo(3-3) 13
69Tennessee(3-2) 18
70Louisiana Tech(3-3) 16
71California(3-3) 19
72Arizona(3-2) 24
73Utah State(3-3) 13
74Appalachian State(3-2) 16
75Alabama-Birmingham(3-2) 20
76Georgia Tech(3-1) 19
77Louisiana-Monroe(3-2) 12
78Wyoming(3-2) 19
79Akron(3-3) 23
80West Virginia(3-2) 19
81Fresno State(3-2) 16
82New Mexico(3-2) 19
83Western Kentucky(3-2) 1
84Temple(3-3) 16
85Florida International(3-2) 18
86Texas-San Antonio(3-1) 18
87Kansas State(3-2) 18
88Boston College(2-4) 17
89Arizona State(2-3) 23
90Illinois(2-3) 18
91Ball State(2-4) 15
92Miami OH_(2-4) 7
93Louisiana-Lafayette(2-3) 22
94Arkansas(2-3) 16
95New Mexico State(2-4) 12
96Nevada-Las Vegas(2-3) 16
97Cincinnati(2-4) 11
98Idaho(2-3) 7
99Mississippi(2-3) 7
100Pittsburgh(2-4) 6
101Northwestern(2-3) 2
102Hawaii(2-4) 4
103Old Dominion(2-3) 4
104Eastern Michigan(2-3) 3
105Arkansas State(2-2) 18
106Georgia State(2-2) 21
107Florida State(1-3) 3
108Kent State(1-5) 3
109Tulsa(1-5) 1
110North Carolina(1-5) 5
111Bowling Green State(1-5) 20
112Nevada(1-5) 20
113San Jose State(1-6) 4
114Connecticut(1-4) 4
115Air Force(1-4) 4
116Kansas(1-4) 4
117Missouri(1-4) 3
118Texas State(1-5) 3
119Rutgers(1-4) 3
120East Carolina(1-5) 12
121Brigham Young(1-5) 6
122Oregon State(1-5) 6
123South Alabama(1-4) 5
124Coastal Carolina(1-4)--
125Rice(1-5) 7
126Baylor(0-5)--
127Charlotte(0-6)--
128Texas-El Paso(0-6)--
129Georgia Southern(0-4)--
130Massachusetts(0-6)--
Posted in NCAAF | Comments Off on 2017 NCAAF Oracle – Week 7

2017 NFL Oracle – Week 5

 

NFL Oracle Rankings – Week 05

RankTeamRecordTrending
1Kansas City Chiefs(4-0) 1
2Buffalo Bills(3-1) 12
3Atlanta Falcons(3-1) 2
4Carolina Panthers(3-1) 4
5Denver Broncos(3-1) 4
6Pittsburgh Steelers(3-1) 1
7Detroit Lions(3-1) 10
8Green Bay Packers(3-1) 1
9Los Angeles Rams(3-1) 9
10Philadelphia Eagles(3-1) 3
11Washington Redskins(2-2) 5
12Minnesota Vikings(2-2) 1
13New Orleans Saints(2-2) 9
14New England Patriots(2-2) 11
15Oakland Raiders(2-2) 11
16Tennessee Titans(2-2) 4
17Jacksonville Jaguars(2-2) 2
18New York Jets(2-2) 9
19Houston Texans(2-2) 5
20Dallas Cowboys(2-2) 10
21Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-1)--
22Baltimore Ravens(2-2) 2
23Arizona Cardinals(2-2) 7
24Seattle Seahawks(2-2) 5
25Chicago Bears(1-3) 2
26Miami Dolphins(1-2) 1
27Cincinnati Bengals(1-3) 1
28Indianapolis Colts(1-3) 2
29Cleveland Browns(0-4) 3
30Los Angeles Chargers(0-4)--
31New York Giants(0-4) 2
32San Francisco 49ers(0-4) 1

NFL Oracle Predictions – Week 05

DateGamesOracle_PicksConfidence
Thu Oct 05 2017(14) NE @ (21) TB(14) NE57.54%
Sun Oct 08 2017(17) JAC @ (6) PIT(17) JAC57.94%
Sun Oct 08 2017(4) CAR @ (7) DET(4) CAR51.84%
Sun Oct 08 2017(30) LAC @ (31) NYG(31) NYG50.00%
Sun Oct 08 2017(32) SF @ (28) IND(28) IND55.63%
Sun Oct 08 2017(23) ARI @ (10) PHI(10) PHI67.17%
Sun Oct 08 2017(16) TEN @ (26) MIA(16) TEN80.80%
Sun Oct 08 2017(2) BUF @ (27) CIN(2) BUF63.41%
Sun Oct 08 2017(18) NYJ @ (29) CLE(18) NYJ78.68%
Sun Oct 08 2017(22) BAL @ (15) OAK(15) OAK55.53%
Sun Oct 08 2017(24) SEA @ (9) LAR(9) LAR58.76%
Sun Oct 08 2017(8) GB @ (20) DAL(8) GB59.11%
Sun Oct 08 2017(1) KC @ (19) HOU(1) KC52.10%
Mon Oct 09 2017(12) MIN @ (25) CHI(12) MIN65.89%

The NFL Oracle was 9-7 (56.25%) during week 4. Here is how we did predicting each game:

[68.35%]: (26) Chicago Bears 14 @ (6) Green Bay Packers 35
[65.84%]: (22) New Orleans Saints 20 @ (24) Miami Dolphins 0
[57.70%]: (21) Los Angeles Rams 35 @ (9) Dallas Cowboys 30
[73.19%]: (17) Jacksonville Jaguars 20 @ (28) New York Jets 23
[60.33%]: (15) Detroit Lions 14 @ (11) Minnesota Vikings 7
[71.97%]: (7) Tennessee Titans 14 @ (23) Houston Texans 57
[56.83%]: (4) Pittsburgh Steelers 26 @ (20) Baltimore Ravens 9
[88.37%]: (30) Cincinnati Bengals 31 @ (31) Cleveland Browns 7
[64.75%]: (13) Carolina Panthers 33 @ (3) New England Patriots 30
[59.92%]: (14) Buffalo Bills 23 @ (1) Atlanta Falcons 17
[77.07%]: (10) Philadelphia Eagles 26 @ (29) Los Angeles Chargers 24
[82.36%]: (32) San Francisco 49ers 15 @ (19) Arizona Cardinals 18
[66.91%]: (27) New York Giants 23 @ (18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25
[55.18%]: (5) Oakland Raiders 10 @ (12) Denver Broncos 16
[59.26%]: (25) Indianapolis Colts 18 @ (16) Seattle Seahawks 46
[55.02%]: (8) Washington Redskins 20 @ (2) Kansas City Chiefs 29

Win % Massey Colley Biased Voter Keener PageRank NFL Oracle
GB GB GB GB GB GB GB
MIA NO MIA MIA NO MIA NO
DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL
JAC JAC NYJ NYJ JAC NYJ JAC
MIN MIN DET DET MIN MIN MIN
TEN TEN HOU HOU HOU HOU TEN
BAL PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT PIT
CLE CIN CIN CIN CIN CIN CIN
NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL
PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI
ARI ARI ARI ARI ARI ARI ARI
TB NYG NYG NYG NYG NYG TB
DEN DEN OAK OAK DEN OAK OAK
SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA
KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
7-9 9-7 10-6 10-6 10-6 9-7 9-7

 

Do you think you can pick NFL games better than the NFL Oracle?

See how you do in the 2017 NFL Oracle versus Trinity Challenge

Posted in NFL | Comments Off on 2017 NFL Oracle – Week 5